Conference Prestige is Stupid Topic

Posted by girt25 on 9/28/2011 10:02:00 PM (view original):
Logically, I don't really think that holds much water. 

You're talking about the baseline prestiges of the individual schools, and that's decidedly not the culprit here. If it were, then we wouldn't be holding Cuse and Florida up as examples of what's gone a bit awry. It's the overall conference success (or lack thereof) that's clearly and heavily outweighing individual baseline prestige.

It's also worth noting that in the other world I'm in (Rupp), the ACC is terrible, easily the worst BCS conference and arguably lower on the totem pole than that. And the baseline prestiges are not propping anyone up. So it's also not as if the ACC is just automatically dominant in every world, either.
I agree with you here daalt. Raising the Conference prestige is something that can be done with a successful conference, however each schools baseline prestige can handicap it in some situations. I would have to say that a schools baseline prestige is more detrimental than conference prestige tie in.
9/28/2011 10:30 PM
Posted by professor17 on 9/28/2011 9:41:00 PM (view original):
Problem No. 1 is that the average baseline prestige of the ACC schools, when converted to numerical values, is nearly a full letter grade higher than the average baseline prestige of all of the other BCS schools combined. That is way too big a gap, and inherently sets up the ACC to be a super-conference. People are talking about Allen alot, but it's a very similar scenario in Phelan as well. Two of the past three seasons, the ACC has had around $56K in bonus money per team, while the 2nd best conference was around $25K. Last season was a "down" season, so the advantage was a mere $43K to $28K.

I think the high ACC baseline prestige is the real culprit here. That's what's feeding the conference prestige effect, because they're already starting out a full letter grade higher than everyone else. I say bring the ACC baseline prestiges back down to earth a bit, and keep the conference prestige effect. After all, a team's conference affiliation can certainly enhance a school's appeal to recruits.
Exactly what I've been saying. There is really no reason why the ACC isn't the best conference in every world.
9/28/2011 10:38 PM
My problem, along with this is why aren't certain coaches fired? One coach over there  in Allen ACC, even with the 60k every year has made 2 nts in the last 14 years, and won a total of one NT game during that time frame. If the conf is going to be that good, you should have to earn your keep instead of simply trash talking while riding the coat tails of your conf mates.
9/29/2011 12:40 AM (edited)
Posted by nbstowman on 9/29/2011 12:40:00 AM (view original):
My problem, along with this is why aren't certain coaches fired? One coach over there  in Allen ACC, even with the 60k every year has made 2 nts in the last 14 years, and won a total of one NT game during that time frame. If the conf is going to be that good, you should have to earn your keep instead of simply trash talking while riding the coat tails of your conf mates.
In anticipation of the day when I'm at the mercy of a simulated AD wondering if my job is over, I typically don't like the posts advocating more firings, but in this case I'd have to agree. If the success of the ACC as a whole is doing such great things propping everyone up, those that under-perform and can't succeed in the postseason ought to be moved along and let others get a shot...
9/29/2011 3:57 AM
Posted by kmasonbx on 9/28/2011 10:38:00 PM (view original):
Posted by professor17 on 9/28/2011 9:41:00 PM (view original):
Problem No. 1 is that the average baseline prestige of the ACC schools, when converted to numerical values, is nearly a full letter grade higher than the average baseline prestige of all of the other BCS schools combined. That is way too big a gap, and inherently sets up the ACC to be a super-conference. People are talking about Allen alot, but it's a very similar scenario in Phelan as well. Two of the past three seasons, the ACC has had around $56K in bonus money per team, while the 2nd best conference was around $25K. Last season was a "down" season, so the advantage was a mere $43K to $28K.

I think the high ACC baseline prestige is the real culprit here. That's what's feeding the conference prestige effect, because they're already starting out a full letter grade higher than everyone else. I say bring the ACC baseline prestiges back down to earth a bit, and keep the conference prestige effect. After all, a team's conference affiliation can certainly enhance a school's appeal to recruits.
Exactly what I've been saying. There is really no reason why the ACC isn't the best conference in every world.
Because coaching matters.
9/29/2011 7:04 AM
How much does it matter once the baseline/conference/NT money juggernaut has set up?  I think you or any other great coach would have a tough tough time at Villanova or Florida in Allen.  Pretty much zero chance of making the final four in 10 seasons, despite good baselines, decent rosters, and everything else, simply because the ACC power factor is so great.

But I'd love to see 'nova or Florida get a good coach.  They need it.
9/29/2011 10:12 AM

I did a study on how teams in the Smith world were performing compared to their baseline prestige.  I was surprised to find that, except for the SEC (which dominates this world), most Big 6 teams are underperforming vs. their baseline.    This would lead you to believe that a mid-major conference made up of strong coaches could compete the the Big 6.   On the charts below the numbers next to the conference mean # of team above baseline prestige, number of teams at baseline, and number of teams below.  The 1st letter next to each team is their Season #53 prestige.  The 2nd letter next to each team is their baseline.

9/29/2011 11:36 AM (edited)
Season 53 ACC - 2 / 2 / 8   Season 53 Big 10 - 2 / 3 / 7
A A+ Duke   A+ A+ Michigan State
A A+ North Carolina   A A+ Illinois
A+ A Maryland   B- A- Indiana
A- A- Georgia Tech   A- A- Wisconsin
C A- Wake Forest   B+ B+ Ohio State
C+ A- North Carolina State   C B+ Purdue
A- A- Boston College   B- B Iowa
B- B+ Virginia   A B Michigan
B- B Clemson   C+ B Minnesota
C B Florida State   C+ B Notre Dame
A B Miami (Fla)   C+ B- Penn State
B- B Virginia Tech   A- B- Northwestern
9/29/2011 11:33 AM
  Big East - 1 / 5 / 6     SEC - 10 / 1 / 1
A+ A+ Connecticut   A+ A+ Kentucky
A+ A+ Syracuse   A A- Florida
B+ A- Georgetown   A+ B+ Arkansas
B A- Louisville   B B+ Tennessee
C+ A- Cincinnati   A+ B LSU
B+ B+ Villanova   B+ B South Carolina
B B+ Pittsburgh   A- B Vanderbilt
B- B West Virginia   A+ B Georgia
A- B Providence   A+ B Alabama
B B Seton Hall   A+ B Auburn
B B St. John's   A B Mississippi
C B- Rutgers   A B Mississippi State
9/29/2011 11:33 AM
  Pac 10- 3 / 3 / 6     Big 12- 3 / 1 / 8
A+ A+ UCLA   A A+ Kansas
A A+ Arizona   B A- Oklahoma
A- A- Stanford   C B Oklahoma State
B- B California   A- B Texas
C+ B Oregon   B B Missouri
A+ B Oregon State   B- B Iowa State
C B Washington State   B- B Texas Tech
C- B Washington   C B Texas A&M
A- B Arizona State   C- B- Kansas State
A- B USC   B+ B- Colorado
B- B- Hawaii   C B- Nebraska
C+ B- Fresno State   B B- Baylor
9/29/2011 11:33 AM
  A10 - 0 / 1 / 11     WCC - 1 / 4 / 7
C- B St. Joseph's   C- B  Gonzaga
C- B Temple   C C  Pepperdine
C B Xavier   D C  Portland
C B Dayton   C C  San Francisco
B- B- UMass   D- C  Santa Clara
D+ B- Charlotte   D- C  Loyola Marymount
D+ B- Rhode Island   C C  Nevada
C- B- St. Bonaventure   D C  San Jose St.
D+ B- Richmond   D- D+ Grambling St.
D+ B- St. Louis   D+ D+ Lipscomb
D+ B- George Washington   D D+ San Diego
D+ B- La Salle   C- D+ Boise St.
9/29/2011 11:35 AM
  Mountain West - 5 / 3 / 4     CUSA
A- B  Utah   B+ B Memphis
B B  UNLV     The rest = C
B B-  New Mexico      
B C  BYU      
C C  Denver     Horizon
D C  Texas Christian   C- B Marquette
A- C  Texas Southern   C- B-  DePaul
D+ C  Wyoming     The rest = C
B C  Air Force      
C- C  N. Texas      
C- C  San Diego St.     Missouri Valley
C C  Colorado St.     All teams = C
9/29/2011 11:35 AM
I coached Austin Peay into the top 25 in Allen (Gonzaga was the only other team from a non-power conference). It is not easy - outspent seriously on recruiting and 16 games of RPI-killing basically fluff competition. So, I am done. Looking for a job in a top conference. Perhaps they should expand those conferences to 16 or 20 teams. Wouldn't be too unrealistic and would resolve some of the issues of weak mid- and mid-major conferences.

Just a thought.

Jason
9/29/2011 4:55 PM
Given your UNC slaying of last season, you should fit right in at Florida State, no? 

Agreed that prestige is the biggest factor here.  Teams shouldn't be able to go 0-27 and miss the world's supply of postseason tournaments and be able to rebound in a season or two with strategic recruiting. And that is what has happened to at least one team in Allen ACC. 

Reinsel, you bring up Wake, but take a look at Northwestern.  Obviously, I have a particular slant on this, but despite having as many players drafted as pretty much any other program and a modicum of recent sucess (last season excepted), we've been stuck at "A" forever.  Now, regardless of whether NW deserves that mark, I sure as heck know we deserve an "A" more than Wake does. 
9/29/2011 5:48 PM
Oh I agree, I could use NW as an example like Syracuse or Florida...consistent 20 win seasons, NT berths and NT wins.  Heck even my Colorado team with 4 20 win, 2nd rnd NT performances is a reasonable comparison.
9/30/2011 6:15 AM
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Conference Prestige is Stupid Topic

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