Posted by Sportsbulls on 2/4/2020 2:44:00 PM (view original):
Posted by metsmax on 2/4/2020 12:01:00 PM (view original):
I believe that player performance deteriorates when allocated more than some percentage of distro.
My understanding is that distro actually operates - as I think someone noted - for the five guys on the floor at a given time.
SO, if your starters all set at 10....10-10-10-10-10
BUT at some point in the game three of your starters are out and the guys on the floor look more like 10-1-5-10-4 then each of the guys who show 10 as their number will be allocated 33% of the distro.
That doesnt determine what one should do, but folks should keep in mind that distro is applied in the moment and not as an aggregate calculation over the game
Agreed to this. Also, on a team last year I had a PG with +2 3PT frequency with 15 distro and a C with 25 distro at -2 3PT frequency and they shot equal amounts. Positioning and 3PT frequency and other factors play into how many shots people shoot. If your team is constantly getting played negative, your one 3PT shooter will shoot more. Stuff like that play into it.
I'm thinking this is classified under the "the PG touches the ball on every possession. So his distro is sometimes is wacky" theory.
I'm not sure the 3pt frequency is affected very much by the defense played against you. Unless they are set at 0 (I think). If they are at 0 I think the defense positioning can alter how many 3s are taken. But if a player is set at +2, he's forcing 3s as much as possible, no matter what. At least that's how I see it game thru my eyes.
The numbers you used above, 25 C and 15 PG.... you would know much more than I would, it wasn't my team. But it could've been impacted by WHO was subbed in. For instance, if those were your two highest distros, when the game began, the C took most of the shots. But if he was first to sub out, then your distro could've became 15-3-3-0-0 in favor of the PG and now HE took all the shots. (The "-3-3-0-0" was an example of other distros on his team. I do not know what they actually were).
It's things like this why distro can confuse some coaches