Time to post something positive...
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I just had my luckiest session in recent memory. My 16 teams combined to go 12-4, which included 6-0 in 1-run games (although only one 1-run win was a 9th inning come-from behind win. The others I was ahead in the 9th and held on). What's even more shocking is the low number of runs scored. Here are the sixteen scores...

W 9-5
L 5-13
W 6-5
W 7-6
W 6-3
W 5-3
W 4-3
W 2-1
W 3-1
L 0-3
W 7-6
W 5-4
L 0-2
W 3-0
W 3-0
L 1-4

Overall, I scored a total of 66 runs (4.1 per game) and allowed 59 runs (3.7 per game). So this is what the sim would be like if RPs actually performed reasonably well (24 IPs, 5 ERs, 1.88 ERA). This excludes my 13-5 loss, where the bullpen gave up 8 runs in 3.1 ips (this is what I'm usually used to).

The typical bullpen shenanigans (for both my team and my opponent's team) are back in full force . All these examples are just from this mornings games...

My 1907 Giants are leading 5-0 going into 9th. '08 Mathewson is out due to pitch count. '09 Mathewson (1.59 erc#) gives up 4 runs in the 9th. We hold on to win 5-4

My 1966 Yankees are leading 7-5 heading into the 8th. Fritz Peterson is out. S.Hamilton comes in (1.72 erc#) and gives up 2 runs. I score a run in the bottom of the inning to win in 8-7.

My 1910 Red Sox are leading 7-3 going into the bottom of the 8th. Cicotte is out. Frank Arellanes (2.28 erc#) and Charlie Smith (2.02 erc#) give up 6 runs and we lose 9-7.

My 1907 Naps are tied going into the 8th. I score a run in the top of the inning. Bill Bernhard (1.84 erc#) relieves Addie Joss and gives up 2 in the bottom of the 8th. I tie it in the 9th, but Bernhard gives up a game winning HR (he allowed 4 all season) in the bottom if the inning at a park with -3 HR. Lose 9-8.

My 1902 Pirates were up 5-4 in 8th. A passed ball ties the game. Fast forward to the 11th inning. Jesse Tannehill pitching (2.63 erc#). He allowed 1 HR in 295 real life innings. Junior Ortiz (93% fatigue) pinch hits. He had 0 HRs in 170 ABs in real life. So of course, he hits the game-winning HR. Lose 5-4.

My 1912 Phillies were losing 6-4 heading into the 9th. Billy Wagner gives up 5 runs to my mostly right-handed lineup. I win 9-6.

In the same league, my 1975 Orioles were winning 6-3 going into the 9th. Closer Grant Jackson (1.82 erc#) comes in for the save and gives up 5 runs on only 15 pitches without recording an out. Then I score 3 in the bottom of the 9th to win 9-8.



In my previous post, my bullpens (on 15 teams) allowed 5 total runs. This morning, multiple different bullpens allowed 5+ runs in less than an inning.

Been a tough run for many of my teams as of late... Here are the latest streaks.

'07 Giants: 31-12 start, 5-8 since
'66 Yankees: 22-12 start, 10-12 since
'10 Red Sox: 25-22 start, 1-8 since
'41 Dodgers: 27-16 start, 6-7 since
'07 Naps: 28-19 start, 1-8 since
'82 Cardinals: 31-20 start, 1-4 since
'02 Pirates: 19-16 start, 7-14 since
'62 White Sox: 28-22 start, 1-5 since
'21 Senators: 27-14 start, 3-12 since
'23 Reds: 23-19 start, 4-10 since

That adds up to: 267-162 start (.622) and 39-88 since (.307). Basically, these ten teams aggregately were winning at a 101-61 pace and are now on a stretch where they are on a 50-112 pace.

My Dodger division is entirely over .500. My Twins division is entirely under .500.

Posted by redcped on 1/16/2025 10:32:00 PM (view original):
Only two on my four teams:

2017 J.D. Martinez (2023 Dodgers)
RL: .302/.366/.741 (1.107)
Sim: .190/.239/.270 (.509)
Difference: 598

2002 Torii Hunter (2004 Twins)
RL: .289/.334/.524 (.859)
Sim: .197/.248/.231 (.480)
Difference: 379

I have a couple Yankees in the low 300s. Boog Powell for my O's just misses the cut at .343 below RL, but I suppose if I wait another cycle he might get there. Same with 2012 Jason Heyward (340 points), 2018 J.D. Martinez (338), and two other Dodgers just above 300. Seems to be a Dodger problem. Also a J.D. Martinez problem.

J.D. has actually gotten worse and is now at .182/.224/.264 (.488). That's up to a .619 difference.

That Hunter is up to .626 now, though.

Has anyone been able to figure out footballmm11's secret sauce? I notice many of his teams don't steal bases as to eliminate caught stealing, but I just can't figure it out.

Posted by chewy3344 on 1/28/2025 9:11:00 AM (view original):
Has anyone been able to figure out footballmm11's secret sauce? I notice many of his teams don't steal bases as to eliminate caught stealing, but I just can't figure it out.

Well, the obvious thing that stands out is that all of his teams are using a 3-man rotation and these three pitchers tend to only pitch 3-4 innings per start. This of course means he uses his bullpen a lot. He typically rosters a bunch of relief pitchers. Generally speaking, RPs have better real life stats than SPs. By removing the SP early, they never will give up hits/walks due to fatigue. And each time a RP comes in, he is presumed to be fresh.

We all know how I feel about RPs.

I have seven teams participating in this round. Three of them have records at or below .500, and all three of those are in second place in their respective divisions. Four of them have records above .500, and three of those are in third place in their respective divisions.

My ‘09 Giants team started 15-3 and is 17-43 since.

I didn’t expect to dominate but I figured my losses would be low scoring games. Instead, my two Mathewsons are getting shelled game after game while worse pitchers shut my offense down.

We’ll see if Sparky can run things better than me the rest of the way.

Posted by schwarze on 1/17/2025 2:32:00 PM (view original):
Time to post something positive...
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I just had my luckiest session in recent memory. My 16 teams combined to go 12-4, which included 6-0 in 1-run games (although only one 1-run win was a 9th inning come-from behind win. The others I was ahead in the 9th and held on). What's even more shocking is the low number of runs scored. Here are the sixteen scores...

W 9-5
L 5-13
W 6-5
W 7-6
W 6-3
W 5-3
W 4-3
W 2-1
W 3-1
L 0-3
W 7-6
W 5-4
L 0-2
W 3-0
W 3-0
L 1-4

Overall, I scored a total of 66 runs (4.1 per game) and allowed 59 runs (3.7 per game). So this is what the sim would be like if RPs actually performed reasonably well (24 IPs, 5 ERs, 1.88 ERA). This excludes my 13-5 loss, where the bullpen gave up 8 runs in 3.1 ips (this is what I'm usually used to).

It was bound to happen, but to offset the 12-4 session I had a few weeks ago, I had my worst session ever... 3-13.
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Jtpsops always likes to complain about losing streaks. I think pretty much every team goes through these during the season. Here are my Best teams losing stretches... sorted by best overall record.

1912 Cubs: 66-37. Went thru a 7-16 stretch, then later a 1-7 stretch.
1913 Athletics: 64-39. Went through a 4-11 stretch, currently on an L4 (all against below .500 teams)
1907 Giants: 59-44. Multiple different 1-6 and 1-5 stretches...
1982 Cardinals: 58-45. Went 4-8 then two different 2-7 stretches
1907 Naps: 57-46. Went on a 2-8 stretch, then a 1-9 stretch.
1941 Dodgers: 56-47. Multiple L3 and L4, and a recent 3-11 stretch.

Obviously, the teams with worse records have more and longer losing stretches. But it happens. Its randomness. Good teams will have more winning stretches than losing stretches, but we tend to ignore those. It's like poker. People always remember (and complain about) the bad beat that knocked you out of the tournament, but forget the fact that you hit a 3 outer to stay alive earlier in the tournament.

My teams are currently in the "bad beat" stages, Way too many 4-12, 5-11, 6-10 sessions with my 16 teams, as of late.

Back to back sessions of 3-13 and 5-11. That is all.

Naturally half my teams in position to advance hitting their final-20 game collapse. Three of my teams were up 4-6 games for advancement with 17 left. One is now tied for the final spot, one is already 3 games back of the 6th team, 8 games later.