Cap Athletic Conf - Red Recruit Rankings Topic

Cornfused

Point taken, I'm a numbers guy and a statistical guy, so I'll humbly crawl back into my corner.

I have a legitimate question for you though. I played #4 Lebanon Valley (16 RPI) last night and was leading most of the first half. Ended up losing the game which I figured I would, but can you explain to me how my RPI goes up 36 points and my SOS 27 points with a loss to a team of that caliber. It's not like I got blown out by a lightweight.

To clarify one of your comments, this year I have 6 of my own recruits and 6 SIM AI's.
8/1/2009 11:12 AM
a) A loss to a team of that caliber is still a loss, and a home loss counts even more.

b) Only nine games into the season, the RPI is very volatile - maybe a lot of your previous opps lost, maybe a lot of your previous opps' previous opps lost. It's going to move a lot, sometimes unpredictably, for the first half of the season or so.

c) If you're a numbers guy, the formula for RPI and SOS are in the FAQ and you can set up an Excel spreadsheet to track them - RPI has three components, so you could check which component dropped the most. My guess, though, is that it was you taking a 1.4x-weighted loss that got you. It'll drift back up if you keep winning and drift back up a bit more when Lebanon Valley does.
8/1/2009 12:36 PM
Go Lebanon Valley....the best D3 team in the land!
8/1/2009 1:53 PM
Note: "if you keep winning" and "when Lebanon Valley does." Those damn LV boys just keep winning.
8/1/2009 4:08 PM
Cornfused

I went through the whole FAQ section and couldn't find the Formula thing you were refering to. All I saw was some generic stuff about homecourt advantage and some generic stuff comparing RPI Rank to WIS Rank.
8/2/2009 12:16 AM
Compute weighted win/loss by giving +1.4 for a road win, -1.4 for a home loss, and +/- .6 for the others. RPI is .25 your record, .50 your opponents', and .25 your opps' opps; SOS is the 2/3 your opponents' and 1/3 your opps' opps.
8/2/2009 4:35 PM
Ok fellas, I fell a little short of my original to plan to post these each season. But after a two season hiatus, the Red Recruit Rankings are back with a vengeance. For anyone new to this thread, see my first post for a brief explanation.

Now let’s get to business…
12/19/2009 12:31 AM
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12/19/2009 12:35 AM
Not a bumper crop of PG's for the CAP, though the conference's top schools did not recruit at this position. Knyzewski looks like a pretty solid court general though his stamina is pretty low for a PG. The others are likely going to have to depend on potential and solid improvement over the next few seasons to make names for themsleves.
12/19/2009 12:44 AM
Yes, excited as hell about these!!! Thanks for the hard work there red!!!
12/19/2009 9:11 AM
agreed, thanks red, these are great getting to see these! Thanks for doing it all!
12/19/2009 10:14 AM
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12/20/2009 12:00 AM
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12/20/2009 12:01 AM
Let me start off by saying I'm sure rating my own SG as the top SG recruit in all of DIII is sure to raise some eyebrows. Fair enough for people to be skeptical. All I can offer is my word - the rating system I use is my best attempt to objectively rate recruits. It’s a simple quantitative analysis, and the output merely reflects the results of the calculations. If people disagree or want to debate the merits of my system, I sincerely welcome all opinions, criticisms and suggestions. In fact I encourage it – it would be interesting to see where people agree/disagree with my output, and it could help me refine my formulas.

Now onto my commentary…

Overall the conference had a much stronger showing at SG landing 4 of the top 20 SG’s. Aside from the top SG in DIII coming from my pride and joy, I’m intrigued by the #2 CAP/#11 DIII SG – Galludet’s Allen Samuel. First off, I think Mafioso deserves some credit for landing such a highly rated recruit with only a C- prestige. Hopefully this is a sign of things to come there. However, I’m sure that 5 WE scared most schools away. It should be interesting to see how Samuel works out. I’ve never taken a chance on someone with such a low WE. Regardless, I think it’s a good risk for Galludet to take considering where that program is.

Moving on, Chestnut Hill landed a couple of pretty good SG’s, including #13 Irwin Issac. Both recruits lack in SPD and aren’t the best shooters, but they’re very well rounded players and should bolster jk’s backcourt. Great job too by Salisbury reeling in a top 20 SG – last year’s NT appearance and recruits like this surely point to groomer having that program pointed in the right direction. Loads of SPD/ATH coming from MW’s Robert Rich. If his potential is decent and his low WE doesn’t impede his progress, he could end up much better than his current #37 ranking suggests. Speaking candidly, I’m a little disappointed at Hood’s additions. Wooten is well rounded across many categories and can shoot, but his low WE and uninspiring ATH/SPD are cause for concern. Clay on the other hand, at #81, with his 25 in PE and BH leaves something to be desired. For a school whose RPI has steadily improved each of the last 4 seasons leading up to a sweet 16 and 22 RPI last season (and #23 preseason ranking), I would have expected better.

No backcourt recruits this season for two of the conference’s top programs – Goucher and York, but I’m sure we’ll see a strong frontcourt showing from them.
12/20/2009 12:42 AM
Thats Right Red... after havomg ,my first selection jumped by a couple of thugs from Illinois, I turned to Samuel, who comes with a big upside, but poor WE. However, after dropping 19 off the bench last night, I think we are already reaping the rewards....Time will tell. Thanks for doing this every season...makes for good fodder!



MM
12/21/2009 7:57 AM
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Cap Athletic Conf - Red Recruit Rankings Topic

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