ML Potential? Topic

schuyler101
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Quote: Originally posted by pirateswin2 on 1/29/2010right but if a guy is playing well abpove his ratings why not keep playing him ( while resting the better player in the process) and then play the better playing at the 1st sign of the bubble bursting. seems like common sense to me.
If you want to rest a guy that's fine.

But there is no "bubble", a player's at bats are independent events. It's not common sense, it's stupid and demonstrates a complete lack of understanding of basic probability.
1/29/2010 3:43 PM
MikeT23
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That's right! ME!!!!
1/29/2010 4:31 PM
MikeT23
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Damn. I was expecting to see some amazing record coming from someone who is so sure that his way is the only right way. Guess who was surprised?

Hardball Dynasty

Total Seasons: 13
Record: 1052-1054
Playoff Record: 29-26
Division Titles: 4
Championships: 0
1/29/2010 4:31 PM
iain
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Quote: Originally Posted By schuyler101 on 1/29/2010
Quote: Originally posted by iain on 1/29/2010
What's wrong with going with the "hot hand"?

Developers have said that streaks and "clutch" play aren't hidden anywhere, but I don't see the problem with playing the guys who are performing over the guys who aren't.

Build your team based on ratings, of course, but once you're playing games, the ratings are secondary to performance, imho.

The bubble will burst, eventually, but why not ride it while you can?

That's like saying "whats wrong with riding the hot hand in a series of coin flips?"

Tails comes up 5 times in a row, why not ride it while you can? I hope you see the problem with this logic. You said it right off the bat, there are no streaks or "hot hands".
Well, first off... no it's not, and you're fabricating false arguments to prove a closed-minded point.

I'm assuming that you don't have LoA-quality players on your ML roster. As long as he's a legit MLer, he's still worthy of a few ABs or IPs, and if he's playing what I deem to be "above his ratings" he's going to get to play until he's not anymore.

I'm not going to bat my defensive C and his single-digit splits clean-up because he's 2 for 3 in PH appearances, or something insane like that... but I think it's fun to play my bench guys more when they seem to be doing well.
1/29/2010 4:38 PM
iain
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Quote: Originally Posted By schuyler101 on 1/29/2010

Quote: Originally posted by pirateswin2 on 1/29/2010




right but if a guy is playing well abpove his ratings why not keep playing him ( while resting the better player in the process) and then play the better playing at the 1st sign of the bubble bursting. seems like common sense to me.


If you want to rest a guy that's fine.

But there is no "bubble", a player's at bats are independent events. It's not common sense, it's stupid and demonstrates a complete lack of understanding of basic probability.
Wow. You must be a blast at parties!!

No chance that people might play internet games to... get this...... have FUN???!??!?!!
1/29/2010 4:40 PM
MikeT23
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"You have a complete lack of understanding of basic probability!" (sniff)
1/29/2010 4:46 PM
soxfan121
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it's a 66.32% probability that playing HBD can be "fun".

there is a 0.004% chance that playing HBD will get you laid.

In the end, it depends on your definition of fun.

Wanna see my nightstick? Wouldn't that be fun?
1/29/2010 4:48 PM
MikeT23
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I'm 99.97% certain that your numbers are off on the getting laid part. Way too high.

1/29/2010 4:51 PM
snake_p
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Quote: Originally Posted By schuyler101 on 1/29/2010

Quote: Originally posted by iain on 1/29/2010

What's wrong with going with the "hot hand"?

Developers have said that streaks and "clutch" play aren't hidden anywhere, but I don't see the problem with playing the guys who are performing over the guys who aren't.

Build your team based on ratings, of course, but once you're playing games, the ratings are secondary to performance, imho.

The bubble will burst, eventually, but why not ride it while you can?

That's like saying "whats wrong with riding the hot hand in a series of coin flips?"
Actually, it isn't. It's more like saying there may be something in a player's attributes that he didn't understand or appreciate fully, or some interaction between his attributes that is giving good performance he hadn't expected. We all have disappointing players for those reasons, why not ones that perform better than we expect because there is some nuance about the game that is working in our favor?


Surely no one buys the crap that some people hand out that they know everything about the game that there is to know and can walk on water without getting their hems wet.
1/29/2010 5:34 PM
hartjh14
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Quote: Originally posted by snake_p on 1/29/2010Surely no one buys the crap that some people hand out that they know everything about the game that there is to know and can walk on water without getting their hems wet.

Nobody buys it coming from you, that's for sure.
1/29/2010 5:57 PM
soxfan121
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Quote: Originally posted by MikeT23 on 1/29/2010I'm 99.97% certain that your numbers are off on the getting laid part.  Way too high. 

Just cause it ain't workin for you, don't mean it can't work for another brother.

I said, WANNA SEE MY NIGHTSTICK?!

1/29/2010 6:12 PM
MikeT23
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I'm sure Mall Security doesn't get much action, either.
1/29/2010 6:55 PM
hartjh14
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Kevin James begs to differ.
1/29/2010 7:22 PM
soxfan121
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As you've told us many times before, 0 contact does not mean the guy will never get a hit.
1/29/2010 7:23 PM
cbriese
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Quote: Originally Posted By tecwrg on 1/28/2010
Quote: Originally Posted By zbrent716 on 1/28/2010
For what it's worth, Jerome Burkett thinks your guy has a decent shot.
Wow. Sample size fluke. Has to be.

****** splits and only one above average pitch. Three ****** pitches.

(tick, tick, tick . . .
I suppose the clock is ticking on Brian Nickle. He's a 774 inning sample size fluke. Of course, he would bring nothing in trade, because guys like tec will tell you he does not belong in the majors.
1/29/2010 7:42 PM
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