“So do i likely have to spend my recruiting budget at Early RS2 just to keep ahead of him a little more?
Or Should i just spend my budget on The Last Cycle's of RS2 where i get off the "red light"?”
That’s a call you have to make on your own. Personally, I like to change it up, so I’m not predictable. It’s definitely an advanced tactic, because to make a good decision on timing of resources, you have to have a feel for how your rival is treating the recruit. Your D2 rival could be just tying to do enough to get into signing range once his red light lifts (which is right away in RS2). Or he might have a number of other recruits he’s heavily invested in already, and won’t be willing or able to invest in this one.
If you really want the recruit, he’s your top priority, and it won’t kill you to swing and miss (ie, you have some acceptable backups lined up), go ahead and swing for the fence that first cycle of RS2. At least you make the D2 team work for it a bit, which is good for the game. And if he doesn’t have enough left to do the number of visits it will take for him to get into signing range (that number will vary depending on preference, promises, and attention already invested), then you’ll get your target (unless someone with more juice comes along, of course). If he does have enough, you’ll be out all those resources, so know the risk.