I like the change. What it means is that, when in rebuild mode, there is no advantage to cutting payroll budget below a certain point, other than tanking for draft picks. As a consequence, rebuilders, once they've cut the dead-weight, will pobably move back into the FA market a little quicker. We're a little closer to having a payroll floor.
This won't do anything about people who break teams for fun, or are just unable to win games, or who are obsessed with #1 draft picks. But I'm not sure anything will stop these actual "tankers" except being in a private world that keeps them out. What this change will do is modify the incentive structure on honest rebuilding projects to keep payroll a bit higher and do the turnaround a bit faster.
Another effect it will have which no one seems to be talking about, but which seems to me to be even more important, is to bring down the amount of total IFA dollars, and therefore overall prices. What this will do is bring some competitive teams, who have been shunning the IFA process because of a few teams making huge transfers, back into the IFA market, or encourage teams that have been investing smaller amounts in IFA to invest a bit more. It will be much easier for mid-level payroll teams to play for top IFAs.
Tiebreakers won't be much of an issue after the draft. Before the draft, it's a different story: $24 mil max bid. But after picks are signed, someone's going to have more available. Will this, in fact, be an ANTI-tanking incentive? The #7 pick costs less than the #1 pick. Will this cause over-slot draftees to drop further down in the draft? Will teams stop signing low draft picks with Prospect money, and instead sign more MiL FAs with Payroll money, to get a slight advantage on post-draft IFA bidding? There's going to be a lot going on here.
I think an additional change to go along with this would be great: raise the maximum budget amount for prospects to $30 mil. Think about it: all this would do is put an extra $10 mil in the payroll of the least competitive teams. That would be good for the competitive balance overall, I think. Leave the penalty for post-budget transfers as-is. I'd love to hear opinions on this.
Unintended consequence warning: Beware tanking owners trying to use their extra cash, which can no longer be moved to prospect budget, to buy prospects, in some form or another, through trades.