Quote: Originally Posted By oriolemagic on 2/03/2010I actually had a team hold out on trading me a guy with 1 year on his contract because he felt he could get the type a pick. The player in question was a solid 2b. There is no question he was a type a free agent in another year. I offered him a starting pitcher who would be a future middle of the rotation pitcher. He said unless I gave him my future ace he would wait and get the type a. To me that was extremely short sighted, because the type a pick he was going to get in return would only get him about what I was offering (at best).At worst it could get him a late 2nd or 3rd rounder if someone signed mutiple type a's in the same year..
This is wrong. The "at best" scenario is that he gets something like picks 25 and 35 for the Type A guy, catches a break and nets a star-quality position player who is falling in the draft at #25, and then snags a nice middle-rotation SP (equal to the guy you offerred) at #35.
The "at worst" scenario is that the extra pick is a worthless low rounder, and all he gets is the sandwich pick around #35-40, with which he has a pretty good shot of at least getting a similar quality player to the one you offered.
Also, one of the following two things is true. Either:
(A) He was in the playoff race, and so there is a significant added value to keeping the player for the remainder of the season and testing the Type-A waters. OR
(B) He was not in the playoff race, meaning his poor record gives him a much, much better chance of getting top value for his Type A pick, since Type A comp is awarded in inverse order of previous season's record. This gives a team with a poor record a terriffic shot at getting a very high sandwich pick and also makes them very likely to get the highest pick surrendered by the signing team (low 1 or high 2).