It looks like the cutoff will be close to 570 points.  Here is the subset of people who will be fighting for the last 11 spots...

14	21	jmissirlis	95	81	97	74	92	96	535	4	1	33	568
15	76	Jdh34	88	89	92	81	95	81	526	5	1	38	564
16	45	rmdriskill	82	100	76	102	96	79	535	3	1	26	561
17	31	contrarian23	91	84	86	98	93	82	534	2	2	26	560
18	11	rbow923	87	86	84	101	84	97	539	2	1	20	559
19	4	schwarze	75	87	82	83	91	94	512	4	3	44	556
19	30	SpotSell	83	87	81	103	82	88	524	3	2	32	556
19	68	oskies	88	98	90	68	89	96	529	3	1	27	556
19	19	alleyviper	85	88	76	90	93	92	524	4	1	32	556
23	10	NappyRootz	96	82	83	98	79	84	522	4	1	32	554
24	60	calhoop	90	72	74	90	93	94	513	4	2	40	553
24	43	sford	90	89	63	92	79	94	507	4	3	46	553
26	18	crystalao	90	89	82	95	81	78	515	3	2	33	548
27	33	batandball	89	64	77	93	87	92	502	4	3	44	546
28	9	dougpalm	88	74	74	90	93	86	505	3	3	39	544
29	48	firesalt	84	79	81	96	86	81	507	3	2	31	538
30	27	bigmc	89	78	100	84	84	85	520	3	0	16	536
31	35	slainte	81	78	89	92	76	88	504	3	2	31	535

bigmc is done. 

firesalt and slainte essentially need to win the World Series with both teams to get to  570+ points. 

The people with just 1 playoff team left will be at risk of missing round 2 if that team gets knocked out in the LCS.

sford, batandball & dougpalm did a great job getting 3 teams into the next round, thus giving themselves a great chance to advance.

This has got to be the worst late-season collapse in WIS Championship history...  These standings were posted recently...


With less than 2 weeks until the end of the season, I figured it was time to start updating the projected standings.  I go through each division and calculate the division winner and wildcard teams.  I project 13.5 bonus points per playoff team.  The below table shows projected wins and projected bonus points.

Thru 9/14 pm2 games

Rank	Pre-Rank	Owner	70M	80M	90M	100M	110M	120M	Total	Playoff	Bonus	Proj Total
---------	-------------	---------------------	---------	---------	---------	---------	---------	---------	---------	---------	---------	-------------
1	1	brianjw	104	100	89	91	112	107	603	5.5	74	677
2	2	discodemo	94	94	96	90	100	99	573	6	81	654
3	6	ybjsports	77	99	105	102	104	86	573	4	54	627
4	27	bigmc	89	76	108	89	93	93	548	4.5	61	609

From a projected 4th place finish to not advancing to round 2.    By my calculations, from game 126 to game 162, bigmc went 93-123 (which is a 162-game pace of 69.75 wins, compared to 91.3 wins before the collapse).  Sorry bigmc

Update through 10/01 pm games...  All LCS results included... I also added a column for maximum possible points.

Rank	Pre-Rank	Owner	70M	80M	90M	100M	110M	120M	Total Wins	Playoff	Tms Left	Bonus Pts	Total Points	Max Points
------	----------	----------------	-----	-----	-----	------	-------	-------	-----------	--------	---------	------------	-------------	------------
1	1	brianjw	102	97	89	91	107	106	592	4	0.3	49	641	692
2	2	discodemo	94	90	98	92	100	95	569	6	0.4	69	638	706
3	6	ybjsports	80	100	98	98	106	90	572	5	0.2	48	620	655
4	5	mildnhazy	92	107	95	82	95	85	556	4	0.3	47	603	656
5	75	rickysdad44	91	82	88	97	100	91	549	5	0.2	50	599	632
5	13	jbohrman	87	86	90	101	99	84	547	4	0.3	52	599	647
7	44	mllama54	84	98	94	78	92	101	547	5	0.2	45	592	626
7	12	bardin	86	87	90	83	96	88	530	5	0.4	62	592	660
9	3	WaitNSee	96	84	92	90	109	76	547	4	0.2	43	590	623
9	14	jjgreen14	89	91	86	91	89	89	535	5	0.3	55	590	640
11	7	yankeeso7	82	88	92	92	93	94	541	5	0.2	45	586	619
12	17	mpitt76	99	93	93	76	86	92	539	4	0.2	43	582	615
13	16	buddhagamer	91	87	89	89	95	84	535	4	0.2	43	578	610
14	21	jmissirlis	95	81	97	74	92	96	535	4	0.1	36	571	586
15	76	Jdh34	88	89	92	81	95	81	526	5	0.1	41	567	582
16	4	schwarze	75	87	82	83	91	94	512	4	0.3	50	562	610
17	31	contrarian23	91	84	86	98	93	82	534	2	0.2	27	561	596
17	45	rmdriskill	82	100	76	102	96	79	535	3	0.1	26	561	579
17	11	rbow923	87	86	84	101	84	97	539	2	0.1	22	561	577
20	43	sford	90	89	63	92	79	94	507	4	0.3	52	559	607
20	19	alleyviper	85	88	76	90	93	92	524	4	0.1	35	559	574
22	68	oskies	88	98	90	68	89	96	529	3	0.1	29	558	574
23	9	dougpalm	88	74	74	90	93	86	505	3	1.2	52	557	598
23	60	calhoop	90	72	74	90	93	94	513	4	0.2	44	557	589
23	30	SpotSell	83	87	81	103	82	88	524	3	0.2	33	557	592
26	33	batandball	89	64	77	93	87	92	502	4	1.2	53	555	600
26	10	NappyRootz	96	82	83	98	79	84	522	4	0.1	33	555	572
28	18	crystalao	90	89	82	95	81	78	515	3	0.2	34	549	584
29	48	firesalt	84	79	81	96	86	81	507	3	0.2	33	540	574
30	35	slainte	81	78	89	92	76	88	504	3	0.2	33	537	571
31	27	bigmc	89	78	100	84	84	85	520	3	0	16	536	536
32	24	justinlee_24	80	83	81	89	91	94	518	2	0	14	532	532
33	71	zephyr1949	71	88	84	80	91	83	497	4	0.1	33	530	546
34	23	bighooze	86	89	94	77	75	78	499	2	0.2	29	528	561
35	20	jfranco77	82	78	90	82	85	82	499	2	0.2	28	527	561
36	22	newarkwilder	87	79	99	90	76	80	511	2	0	13	524	524
37	15	ryan_horner	87	75	88	86	93	80	509	1	0.1	14	523	540
38	82	razorclams	83	74	81	79	92	93	502	2	0.1	19	521	539
38	42	ejstockman	86	69	78	70	94	93	490	2	0.2	31	521	552
40	67	The Taint	74	87	100	81	74	91	507	1	0.1	13	520	538
40	25	cubbies84	80	87	92	82	88	79	508	2	0	12	520	520
42	28	wetwillytwo	75	98	79	85	92	82	511	1	0	7	518	518
43	85	toddcommish	80	78	66	95	82	93	494	2	0.1	21	515	531
44	73	Fusion27s	86	95	78	82	81	77	499	2	0	13	512	512
44	50	whoscraig	87	83	78	85	83	75	491	2	0.1	21	512	527
46	83	DarthDurron	84	93	80	73	74	87	491	2	0.1	20	511	528
47	53	kyleb63	99	62	93	76	83	77	490	2	0.1	20	510	527
48	40	odalisgagne	98	88	78	59	82	82	487	2	0.1	22	509	525
48	64	dlchow	91	87	87	74	84	79	502	1	0	7	509	509
50	66	magicdreamer	86	83	95	76	75	74	489	2	0.1	19	508	525
51	51	yogi20	87	86	76	77	91	68	485	2	0.1	22	507	523
52	26	doctorcc	97	86	87	70	72	88	500	1	0	6	506	506
53	39	Humdogs	77	78	89	86	89	80	499	1	0	5	504	504
54	70	nhsteven	88	89	69	60	85	89	480	2	0.1	23	503	518
55	41	mick33	76	68	91	80	80	94	489	2	0	13	502	502
56	29	markeking	90	80	70	84	87	80	491	1	0	5	496	496
57	36	Donburgh	76	82	74	76	88	85	481	1	0	13	494	494
58	58	marlowe	68	76	78	93	68	87	470	2	0.1	21	491	507
59	78	bixman51	76	82	71	87	78	83	477	1	0.1	13	490	508
59	8	Lazerhawks	96	83	91	78	49	75	472	2	0.1	18	490	508
61	61	2chair	80	86	68	86	86	79	485	0	0	0	485	485
62	38	beauchamp	53	69	86	87	96	79	470	2	0	14	484	484
63	56	seels	79	72	94	67	75	75	462	1	0.1	14	476	493
64	57	trd3	83	82	76	69	75	84	469	0	0	0	469	469
65	84	thehuseman	87	87	87	64	56	67	448	2	0	19	467	467
65	72	incognito42	68	81	69	76	68	84	446	2	0.1	21	467	482
67	49	besterateam	73	62	77	91	81	67	451	1	0.1	14	465	482
68	79	dodgebob	65	71	80	75	88	70	449	1	0.1	14	463	480
68	47	skilly006	72	86	72	72	91	63	456	1	0	7	463	463
68	37	kjaskolski	74	79	74	72	67	81	447	1	0.1	16	463	478
71	59	BAS2	78	80	80	75	77	63	453	1	0	7	460	460
71	62	truemen	83	74	80	84	72	67	460	0	0	0	460	460
73	63	gorbyruss	64	79	90	66	77	83	459	0	0	0	459	459
74	69	hacker7	80	81	68	67	67	85	448	1	0	6	454	454
74	54	nordawg	65	84	74	78	60	79	440	1	0.1	14	454	471
76	89	thebubbaq	72	83	65	73	75	76	444	1	0	6	450	450
77	80	just4me	64	71	86	85	73	65	444	1	0	5	449	449
77	52	bomain	75	83	64	91	64	72	449	0	0	0	449	449
79	34	kenter16	67	74	81	83	80	61	446	0	0	0	446	446
80	81	Chisock	80	75	74	66	66	84	445	0	0	0	445	445
80	86	techmobo	66	75	73	71	75	85	445	0	0	0	445	445
82	92	garmansouth	81	75	76	75	69	68	444	0	0	0	444	444
83	32	glowguy	84	74	83	69	67	63	440	0	0	0	440	440
83	95	whatifle	69	43	81	89	67	77	426	1	0.1	14	440	457
85	46	greenies	68	73	82	61	67	78	429	1	0	5	434	434
86	96	npg32433	77	63	77	67	74	69	427	0	0	0	427	427
87	87	loyalcanuck	75	74	78	71	59	66	423	0	0	0	423	423
88	93	thorburen	76	71	71	72	65	65	420	0	0	0	420	420
89	55	daronb	76	65	73	63	69	73	419	0	0	0	419	419
89	94	tridentric	62	82	69	80	52	74	419	0	0	0	419	419
91	88	zlionsfan	76	89	57	75	56	60	413	1	0	5	418	418
92	90	Poddy	77	67	80	80	61	50	415	0	0	0	415	415
93	77	sachemo319	71	76	60	60	65	81	413	0	0	0	413	413
93	74	Oli35	49	76	60	66	64	84	399	1	0.1	14	413	430
95	65	elonsmitty	70	73	47	73	84	65	412	0	0	0	412	412
96	91	deathdealer	61	62	68	77	68	65	401	0	0	0	401	401

If I average everybody's current point total and their maximum point total, the 24th highest score would be rbow923, at 569 points.  alleyviper (566.5), crystalao (566.5), oskies (566) and NappyRootz (563) would be 25th thru 28th.

Posted by schwarze on 10/1/2014 9:19:00 AM (view original):
This has got to be the worst late-season collapse in WIS Championship history...  These standings were posted recently...


With less than 2 weeks until the end of the season, I figured it was time to start updating the projected standings.  I go through each division and calculate the division winner and wildcard teams.  I project 13.5 bonus points per playoff team.  The below table shows projected wins and projected bonus points.

Thru 9/14 pm2 games

Rank	Pre-Rank	Owner	70M	80M	90M	100M	110M	120M	Total	Playoff	Bonus	Proj Total
---------	-------------	---------------------	---------	---------	---------	---------	---------	---------	---------	---------	---------	-------------
1	1	brianjw	104	100	89	91	112	107	603	5.5	74	677
2	2	discodemo	94	94	96	90	100	99	573	6	81	654
3	6	ybjsports	77	99	105	102	104	86	573	4	54	627
4	27	bigmc	89	76	108	89	93	93	548	4.5	61	609

From a projected 4th place finish to not advancing to round 2.    By my calculations, from game 126 to game 162, bigmc went 93-123 (which is a 162-game pace of 69.75 wins, compared to 91.3 wins before the collapse).  Sorry bigmc

The last two weeks of the regular season were real ugly. The combined 1-9 record of my 3 teams in the first round of playoffs was not a big surprise to me. No doubt I have regressed significantly at this game over the years.....but I still enjoy it and hope to be back next year. Best of luck to everyone in round 2 and thanks to schwarze for your efforts.

My playoff runs are finally over. I can live with being 60-something overall, being the first time and all. I just need to learn how to build high cap teams for next year. Thanks for everything schwarze and all.

Update as of 10/02 am games
Red = Made playoffs
Blue = Won divisional series
Green = Won LCS
Bold = Still alive

Rank	Pre-Rank	Owner	70M	80M	90M	100M	110M	120M	Total Wins	Playoff	Tms Left	Bonus Pts	Total Points	Max Points
------	----------	----------------	-----	-----	-----	------	-------	-------	-----------	--------	---------	------------	-------------	------------
1	1	brianjw	102	97	89	91	107	106	592	4	0.3	52	644	692
2	2	discodemo	94	90	98	92	100	95	569	6	0.3	73	642	690
3	6	ybjsports	80	100	98	98	106	90	572	5	0.2	50	622	655
4	13	jbohrman	87	86	90	101	99	84	547	4	1.1	60	607	631
5	75	rickysdad44	91	82	88	97	100	91	549	5	1.1	57	606	632
6	5	mildnhazy	92	107	95	82	95	85	556	4	0.2	49	605	640
7	12	bardin	86	87	90	83	96	88	530	5	1.2	71	601	643
7	44	mllama54	84	98	94	78	92	101	547	5	1.1	54	601	626
9	14	jjgreen14	89	91	86	91	89	89	535	5	1.2	64	599	640
10	3	WaitNSee	96	84	92	90	109	76	547	4	1.1	50	597	623
11	7	yankeeso7	82	88	92	92	93	94	541	5	1.1	52	593	619
12	17	mpitt76	99	93	93	76	86	92	539	4	0.2	45	584	615
13	16	buddhagamer	91	87	89	89	95	84	535	4	0.1	44	579	594
14	21	jmissirlis	95	81	97	74	92	96	535	4	1	42	577	586
15	76	Jdh34	88	89	92	81	95	81	526	5	1	47	573	582
16	4	schwarze	75	87	82	83	91	94	512	4	1.2	59	571	610
17	11	rbow923	87	86	84	101	84	97	539	2	1	29	568	577
18	43	sford	90	89	63	92	79	94	507	4	1.1	60	567	591
19	19	alleyviper	85	88	76	90	93	92	524	4	1	41	565	574
20	31	contrarian23	91	84	86	98	93	82	534	2	0.2	29	563	596
21	45	rmdriskill	82	100	76	102	96	79	535	3	0.1	26	561	579
22	30	SpotSell	83	87	81	103	82	88	524	3	0.2	35	559	592
22	9	dougpalm	88	74	74	90	93	86	505	3	1.2	54	559	598
22	60	calhoop	90	72	74	90	93	94	513	4	0.2	46	559	589
25	68	oskies	88	98	90	68	89	96	529	3	0	29	558	558
26	33	batandball	89	64	77	93	87	92	502	4	1.2	54	556	600
27	10	NappyRootz	96	82	83	98	79	84	522	4	0	33	555	555
28	18	crystalao	90	89	82	95	81	78	515	3	0.2	37	552	584
29	48	firesalt	84	79	81	96	86	81	507	3	0.1	35	542	557
30	35	slainte	81	78	89	92	76	88	504	3	0.1	34	538	555
31	27	bigmc	89	78	100	84	84	85	520	3	0	16	536	536
32	24	justinlee_24	80	83	81	89	91	94	518	2	0	14	532	532
33	71	zephyr1949	71	88	84	80	91	83	497	4	0.1	34	531	546
34	20	jfranco77	82	78	90	82	85	82	499	2	0.1	30	529	545
35	23	bighooze	86	89	94	77	75	78	499	2	0.1	29	528	545
35	42	ejstockman	86	69	78	70	94	93	490	2	1.1	38	528	552
37	15	ryan_horner	87	75	88	86	93	80	509	1	0.1	15	524	540
37	22	newarkwilder	87	79	99	90	76	80	511	2	0	13	524	524
39	82	razorclams	83	74	81	79	92	93	502	2	0.1	20	522	539
40	67	The Taint	74	87	100	81	74	91	507	1	0.1	14	521	538
41	25	cubbies84	80	87	92	82	88	79	508	2	0	12	520	520
42	28	wetwillytwo	75	98	79	85	92	82	511	1	0	7	518	518
43	85	toddcommish	80	78	66	95	82	93	494	2	0	21	515	515
44	51	yogi20	87	86	76	77	91	68	485	2	1	29	514	523
45	50	whoscraig	87	83	78	85	83	75	491	2	0.1	21	512	527
45	73	Fusion27s	86	95	78	82	81	77	499	2	0	13	512	512
47	53	kyleb63	99	62	93	76	83	77	490	2	0.1	21	511	527
47	83	DarthDurron	84	93	80	73	74	87	491	2	0	20	511	511
49	40	odalisgagne	98	88	78	59	82	82	487	2	0.1	23	510	525
50	70	nhsteven	88	89	69	60	85	89	480	2	1	29	509	518
50	64	dlchow	91	87	87	74	84	79	502	1	0	7	509	509
52	66	magicdreamer	86	83	95	76	75	74	489	2	0	19	508	508
53	26	doctorcc	97	86	87	70	72	88	500	1	0	6	506	506
54	39	Humdogs	77	78	89	86	89	80	499	1	0	5	504	504
55	41	mick33	76	68	91	80	80	94	489	2	0	13	502	502
56	29	markeking	90	80	70	84	87	80	491	1	0	5	496	496
57	36	Donburgh	76	82	74	76	88	85	481	1	0	13	494	494
58	8	Lazerhawks	96	83	91	78	49	75	472	2	0.1	20	492	508
59	58	marlowe	68	76	78	93	68	87	470	2	0	21	491	491
60	78	bixman51	76	82	71	87	78	83	477	1	0.1	13	490	508
61	61	2chair	80	86	68	86	86	79	485	0	0	0	485	485
62	38	beauchamp	53	69	86	87	96	79	470	2	0	14	484	484
63	56	seels	79	72	94	67	75	75	462	1	0.1	15	477	493
64	72	incognito42	68	81	69	76	68	84	446	2	1	27	473	482
65	37	kjaskolski	74	79	74	72	67	81	447	1	1	22	469	478
65	57	trd3	83	82	76	69	75	84	469	0	0	0	469	469
67	84	thehuseman	87	87	87	64	56	67	448	2	0	19	467	467
68	49	besterateam	73	62	77	91	81	67	451	1	0	15	466	466
69	79	dodgebob	65	71	80	75	88	70	449	1	0.1	15	464	480
70	47	skilly006	72	86	72	72	91	63	456	1	0	7	463	463
71	59	BAS2	78	80	80	75	77	63	453	1	0	7	460	460
71	62	truemen	83	74	80	84	72	67	460	0	0	0	460	460
73	63	gorbyruss	64	79	90	66	77	83	459	0	0	0	459	459
74	54	nordawg	65	84	74	78	60	79	440	1	0	14	454	454
74	69	hacker7	80	81	68	67	67	85	448	1	0	6	454	454
76	89	thebubbaq	72	83	65	73	75	76	444	1	0	6	450	450
77	80	just4me	64	71	86	85	73	65	444	1	0	5	449	449
77	52	bomain	75	83	64	91	64	72	449	0	0	0	449	449
79	34	kenter16	67	74	81	83	80	61	446	0	0	0	446	446
80	81	Chisock	80	75	74	66	66	84	445	0	0	0	445	445
80	86	techmobo	66	75	73	71	75	85	445	0	0	0	445	445
82	92	garmansouth	81	75	76	75	69	68	444	0	0	0	444	444
83	95	whatifle	69	43	81	89	67	77	426	1	0.1	16	442	457
84	32	glowguy	84	74	83	69	67	63	440	0	0	0	440	440
85	46	greenies	68	73	82	61	67	78	429	1	0	5	434	434
86	96	npg32433	77	63	77	67	74	69	427	0	0	0	427	427
87	87	loyalcanuck	75	74	78	71	59	66	423	0	0	0	423	423
88	93	thorburen	76	71	71	72	65	65	420	0	0	0	420	420
89	55	daronb	76	65	73	63	69	73	419	0	0	0	419	419
89	94	tridentric	62	82	69	80	52	74	419	0	0	0	419	419
91	88	zlionsfan	76	89	57	75	56	60	413	1	0	5	418	418
92	74	Oli35	49	76	60	66	64	84	399	1	0.1	16	415	430
92	90	Poddy	77	67	80	80	61	50	415	0	0	0	415	415
94	77	sachemo319	71	76	60	60	65	81	413	0	0	0	413	413
95	65	elonsmitty	70	73	47	73	84	65	412	0	0	0	412	412
96	91	deathdealer	61	62	68	77	68	65	401	0	0	0	401	401

Currently, the cutoff is 559 points. 

oskies, NappyRootz, firesalt and slainte are out.

It looks like batandball and crystalao are the only two people, currently not in top 24, that can move up.  batandball is in good shape with three teams still alive.  crystalao needs to win at least 2 series to move up.

calhoop has two games 7's this afternoon.  SpotSell is down 2-1 in both of his LCS series.  rmdriskill is down 0-3 in his series.  If any of these three do not get a team into the World Series, they are at risk of missing round 2.