Forgot to mention, it looks like 77 wins will be enough to advance to round 4. 75 wins won't be enough. 76 wins will depend on the tie-breaker.

Posted by schwarze on 4/27/2023 6:25:00 PM (view original):
The 1-run game correlation is back to where it was last round. Basically, every 25 points of winning% in 2+ run games equates to 5.6 points of winning% in 1-run games..

2+ Run	.	1-Run
0.350		0.467
0.375		0.472
0.400		0.478
0.425		0.483
0.450		0.489
0.475		0.495
0.500		0.500
0.525		0.506
0.550		0.511
0.575		0.517
0.600		0.523
0.625		0.528
0.650		0.534
0.675		0.540
0.700		0.545

Thru 113 games, the expected 1-run win% is now at +4.9 points for every +25 points of 2+ run winning%, very similar to last round.

Example: a .550 team (in 2+ run games) is expected to be winning at approx .510 in 1-run games.

Posted by schwarze on 5/8/2023 3:52:00 PM (view original):
The unluckiest teams with respect to 1-run results... footballmm11 has been extremely unlucky.
.

Rank	Team Name	League	Owner	Record	1-Run	Exp1R W	Diff
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	-------------------	------------	---------	------------	---------
186	Lg 03 - 30 NYY / 32 CIN / 32 PHA	3	footballmm11	51-62	8-20	14.0	-6.0
136	Lg 05 - 53 BRK / 52 PHI / 53 STL	5	footballmm11	55-58	11-22	16.8	-5.8
68	1956 BRK / 1958 MLW / 1958 NYY	5	toysboys	60-53	11-21	16.6	-5.6
184	Hollocher?? I hardly know her!	2	jtpsops	51-62	6-17	11.5	-5.5
193	09 Pirates, 09 Tigers, 08 Cubs	1	kstober	50-63	6-17	11.4	-5.4
205	1985 STL - 1985 NYY - 1985 KCR	7	beallendall	49-64	9-20	14.3	-5.3
213	1982 Brewers/1982 Astros/ 1984 Cubs	7	glowguy	48-65	9-20	14.3	-5.3
208	Lg 04 - 39 CIN / 40 DET / 40 BOS	4	footballmm11	49-64	9-19	13.8	-4.8
52	1906 Cubs (06 STL - 08 PIT)	1	schwarze	62-51	12-20	16.7	-4.7
230	20 NYY.21 Indians Giants	2	urband	44-69	4-14	8.7	-4.7
163	1964 White Sox (64 NYY - 64 MIL)	6	schwarze	53-60	12-21	16.5	-4.5
231	2015 Cubs (16 CLE - 14 LAD)	10	schwarze	44-69	8-18	12.5	-4.5
232	93 ATL - 94 HTN - 94 SD	8	calhoop	44-69	10-20	14.4	-4.4
53	1909 Cubs (08 PIT - 08 DET)	1	schwarze	62-51	15-22	19.3	-4.3
206	1977 CIN/1978 PHI/1978 MIL	7	chisock	49-64	10-19	14.3	-4.3
233	64 Orioles,63 Giants, 62 NYY	6	jrig21	43-70	12-22	16.2	-4.2
218	81MON 82SLC 82CAL	7	thejuice6	47-66	7-16	11.2	-4.2
149	58NYY, 59 CHISOX, 59 DET	5	jrig21	54-59	7-15	11.0	-4.0
162	1948 Indians (46 NYY - 46 DET)	4	schwarze	53-60	9-17	13.0	-4.0
168	1927 Cards Pirates Sens	3	pubdog	53-60	9-17	13.0	-4.0

cool cool cool

STANDINGS THRU 130 GAMES (80% thru the season)

Rank	Team Name	League	Owner	Pick#	Div#	Record	Exp Win%
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	-------------------	----------	----------	------------	------------
1	1946 Red Sox 1945 Cubs 1945 Senators	4	barracuda3	10	3	86-44	0.686
2	1927 Yankees 1928 Athletics 1928 Pirates	3	barracuda3	1	1	84-46	0.656
3	Fernandomania At The Vet	7	bill_james47	18	3	83-47	0.608
4	1907 Pittsburgh	1	ybjsports	17	3	83-47	0.597
5	2021 Dodgers/2020 Braves/2020 White Sox	10	pedrocerrano	5	2	82-48	0.655
6	1956 Yankees/1956 White Sox/1957 Braves	5	pedrocerrano	8	2	81-49	0.596
7	Lg 02 - 23 NYY / 23 CIN / 23 CLE	2	footballmm11	13	3	81-49	0.594
8	1928 Yankees 1928 Athletics 1930 Cubs	3	glowguy	14	2	79-51	0.593
9	1944 STL / 1946 DET / 1944 BOS	4	toysboys	5	1	79-51	0.584
10	Bigwig's LG09 - BOS/ATL/LAD	9	njbigwig	2	1	79-51	0.551
11	2004 Cardinals/2004 Yankees/2005 Marlins	9	glowguy	20	3	78-52	0.594
12	16 White Sox, 15 Tigers, 16 Reds	2	kstober	15	4	78-52	0.589
13	1937 Yankees 1937 Tigers 1937 Bees	3	barracuda3	3	1	78-52	0.585
14	1977 Minnesota	7	ybjsports	14	3	78-52	0.584
15	.92 pirates, jays & padres	8	3dayrotation	13	2	78-52	0.577
16	1914 Red Sox (15 STL - 15 IND)	2	schwarze	2	2	78-52	0.560
17	02 Red Sox, 02 Diamondbacks, 02 Giants	9	kstober	1	1	77-53	0.620
18	2011 PHI / 2012 DET / 2012 SFG	10	toysboys	11	1	77-53	0.554
19	31 NYY.30 Giants A's	3	urband	13	4	76-54	0.594
20	1920 Indians/1920 White Sox/1919 Pirates	2	pedrocerrano	9	2	75-55	0.595
21	1998 Braves (99 ARI - 00 LAD)	9	schwarze	4	1	75-55	0.594
22	2019 Astros 2020 Indians 2018 Red Sox	10	barracuda3	1	1	75-55	0.591
23	Lg 03 - 32 PHA / 34 NYG / 34 PIT	3	footballmm11	22	4	75-55	0.572
24	46 Red Sox 47 Yankees 47Braves	4	glowguy	19	2	75-55	0.548
25	Youppi in Windy Hogtown	8	taxman2008	22	3	75-55	0.532
26	2011 Tigers 2010 Rangers 2010 Reds	10	barracuda3	15	3	75-55	0.531
27	1920 Reds Indians White Sox	2	ejstockman	4	1	74-56	0.611
28	1943 Cardinals/1942 Yankees/1942 Giants	4	redcped	17	3	74-56	0.579
29	2020 SD/ATL/CIN	10	steveizzy	8	2	74-56	0.569
30	84Tigers 86Mets 86Astros	7	84champs	15	4	74-56	0.569
31	1978 Brewers/1980 Phillies/1979 Cards	7	redcped	12	2	74-56	0.567
32	Bigwig's LG10 - CHC/BOS/WAS	10	njbigwig	10	2	74-56	0.547
33	1934 Yankees (32 CIN - 34 STL)	3	schwarze	5	2	74-56	0.535
34	1966 SFG / 1968 DET / 1966 BAL	6	toysboys	3	1	74-56	0.520
35	1924 Senators (24 CIN - 24 NYG)	2	schwarze	8	2	74-56	0.496
36	1954 Indians 1952 Cardinals 1954 Dodgers	5	barracuda3	2	1	73-57	0.614
37	68Cle 70Bos 70Balt	6	84champs	21	3	73-57	0.592
38	1944 Cardinals (44 BOS - 44 CLE)	4	schwarze	6	1	73-57	0.582
39	1990 OAK / 1988 BOS / 1990 CIN	8	toysboys	11	1	73-57	0.570
40	1998 Atlanta	8	ybjsports	5	2	73-57	0.559
41	1981 Astros (81 CAL - 80 KCR)	7	schwarze	1	1	73-57	0.547
42	70-72 Balt/LAD/SFG Heavy Horses	6	harrelson	5	1	73-57	0.539
43	1956 CLE/1957 CWS/1956 DET	5	darthdurron	11	3	73-57	0.501
44	1975 Reds/1975 Mets/1976 Phillies	7	glowguy	2	1	72-58	0.566
45	2020 Padres / 2020 Dodgers / 2021 Jays	10	ronthegenius	4	1	72-58	0.560
46	1916 CWS / 1916 DET / 1917 STL	2	emanes10	3	1	72-58	0.559
47	46NYY 44NYY 44CLE	4	oldtimer59	7	2	72-58	0.533
48	1902 Blues (03 PIT - 04 CHI)	1	schwarze	8	3	72-58	0.530
49	1906 Cubs (06 STL - 08 PIT)	1	schwarze	4	1	71-59	0.623
50	1909 Cubs (08 PIT - 08 DET)	1	schwarze	13	3	71-59	0.584
51	64 Orioles, 66 Dodgers, 66 Braves	6	kstober	7	3	71-59	0.583
52	1997 Braves 1997 Rockies 1998 Padres	8	barracuda3	3	1	71-59	0.574
53	'08 Naps/'09 A's/'10 Tigers	1	nocomm999	5	1	71-59	0.562
54	2018 Boston	10	ybjsports	6	2	71-59	0.551
55	1967 White Sox/1966 Pirates/1967 Cards	6	redcped	13	2	71-59	0.545
56	1914 CHI / 1913 PHA / 1914 PHI	1	toysboys	10	2	71-59	0.536
57	1961 Detroit	5	ybjsports	6	2	71-59	0.535
58	1934 NYY / 1936 PIT / 1934 DET	3	toysboys	10	2	71-59	0.520
59	1924 Robins 1922 Browns 1924 Cardinals	2	barracuda3	7	1	71-59	0.485
60	1982 MON/`983 CWS/1983 DET	7	darthdurron	22	3	71-59	0.481
61	1964 White Sox 1964 Braves 1964 Giants	6	barracuda3	2	1	70-60	0.571
62	2006 Twins 2007 Yankees 2008 Dodgers	9	barracuda3	5	1	70-60	0.568
63	1976 Reds (77 LAD - 77 NYM)	7	schwarze	5	1	70-60	0.561
64	2013 LAD/2012 DET/2014 CUB	10	darthdurron	14	1	70-60	0.558
65	1996 Braves/1996 Rockies/1996 Marlins	8	pedrocerrano	2	1	70-60	0.545
66	07 Red Sox/08 Brewers/07 Phillies	9	richiebrown6	9	2	70-60	0.536
67	1995 Braves (94 HOU - 96 SEA)	8	schwarze	10	4	70-60	0.516
68	1956 CLE / 1955 BRK / 1954 CHW	5	toysboys	16	3	70-60	0.515
69	74 Athletics, 74 Dodgers, 73 Reds	6	kstober	20	4	70-60	0.514
70	Red(birds), Wright & Blue M's [08-10]	9	parking31	8	1	70-60	0.496
71	2011 BOS/2011 ANH/2010 STL	10	chisock	16	4	70-60	0.490
72	1908 Giants/1910 A's/1910 Red Sox	1	pedrocerrano	23	4	69-61	0.576
73	1956 BRK / 1958 MLW / 1958 NYY	5	toysboys	4	1	69-61	0.547
74	1975 Dodgers 1975 Red Sox 1974 Reds	7	barracuda3	4	2	69-61	0.523
75	1941 BRO / 1940 BOS / 1940 CWS	4	emanes10	9	1	69-61	0.517
76	.70 red sox, 72 reds & angels	6	3dayrotation	10	3	69-61	0.517
77	1951 Giants/1951 Phillies/1952 Yankees	5	glowguy	12	3	69-61	0.512
78	2001 Mariners/01 D'backs/2000 Braves	9	pedrocerrano	7	2	68-62	0.574
79	Lg 10 - 16 WAS / 16 LAD / 16 COL	10	footballmm11	19	4	68-62	0.552
80	1986 BOS - 1988 LAD - 1986 TOR	8	beallendall	23	4	68-62	0.540
81	1906 Cubs 1906 Browns 1905 Reds	1	barracuda3	2	1	68-62	0.538
82	Lg 07 - 76 CIN / 74 PIT / 74 ATL	7	footballmm11	10	3	68-62	0.522
83	1966 LAD/1968 BAL/1966 DET	6	chisock	17	4	68-62	0.517
84	1951 Dodgers/1950 Giants/1952 Indians	5	redcped	5	1	68-62	0.516
85	2006 Yankees/2007 Padres/2008 Indians	9	gworear	22	3	68-62	0.515
86	1998 NYY - 1999 ATL - 1999 TEX	9	beallendall	14	2	68-62	0.490
87	Lg 04 - 48 CLE / 50 NYY / 50 STL	4	footballmm11	3	1	68-62	0.475
88	92TOR 94MON 94NYY	8	thejuice6	18	3	68-62	0.474
89	1931 Giants/1930 Robins/1930 Cubs	3	pedrocerrano	12	3	68-62	0.462
90	1911 PIT/1910 BOS/1911 PHA	1	chisock	12	3	68-62	0.445
91	1948 Indians (46 NYY - 46 DET)	4	schwarze	2	1	67-63	0.555
92	.04 twins, 06 mets & yankees	9	3dayrotation	21	4	67-63	0.540
93	30 WASH - 31 A's - 32 NYY	3	calhoop	2	1	67-63	0.536
94	2017 LAD - 2017 CLE - 2017 MIA	10	beallendall	24	4	67-63	0.526
95	86 HOU/87 STL/88 MIL under the Dome	8	spinaldog	1	1	67-63	0.525
96	1994 Yankees/ 1995 Indians/ 1995 Dodgers	8	glowguy	9	3	67-63	0.524
97	1914 CHI / 1914 PHI / 1914 PHA	2	toysboys	1	1	67-63	0.514
98	1974 Reds (72 LAD - 72 CHI )	6	schwarze	14	3	67-63	0.500
99	21st Street Missionaries	3	nordawg	11	3	67-63	0.497
100	1958 MLW / 1960 CWS / 1959 SFG	5	emanes10	19	2	67-63	0.491
101	60 CWS/62 MLW/62 CIN	5	spinaldog	22	4	67-63	0.486
102	1912 CHC, 1913 NYG, 1914 BOS	1	d_rock97	3	1	67-63	0.480
103	09 Dodgers, 08 Indians, 08 Red Sox	9	kstober	17	4	67-63	0.480
104	1939 Yankees 1939 Cardinals 1940 Indians	4	barracuda3	1	1	66-64	0.521
105	Lg 06 - 70 CIN / 69 LAD / 70 MIN	6	footballmm11	22	4	66-64	0.514
106	1990 A's (90 CIN - 90 MON)	8	schwarze	4	1	66-64	0.508
107	Indians-Mariners-Yanks 96-98	8	dougsdawgs13	17	4	66-64	0.505
108	02 Athletics/02 Reds/04 Pirates	1	mllama54	7	2	66-64	0.504
109	79BOS/79HOU/80OAK	7	steveizzy	8	1	66-64	0.503
110	1952 STL/1952 BRK/1952 PHA	5	chisock	13	4	66-64	0.503
111	1942 STLC/ 1942 NYY/1940 PITT	4	darthdurron	14	2	66-64	0.501
112	1949 Red Sox/1949 Cardinals/1948 Braves	4	pedrocerrano	4	2	66-64	0.498
113	1925 CIN / 1925 STL / 1925 PIT	2	toysboys	11	1	66-64	0.493
114	54NYG/52CLE/54NYY	5	winterhawk	14	3	66-64	0.491
115	72OAK/73LAD/73ATL	6	steveizzy	12	2	66-64	0.490
116	10PHA 10CHC 11NYG	1	thejuice6	20	4	66-64	0.488
117	54PHIL 53MIL 52BKN	5	oldtimer59	23	4	66-64	0.476
118	1964 LAD - 1962 SFG - 1963 CWS	6	beallendall	8	2	66-64	0.441
119	1969 NYM / 1968 DET / 1969 MIN	6	toysboys	15	2	65-65	0.538
120	1969 Orioles/1968 Cardinals/1970 Giants	6	pedrocerrano	1	1	65-65	0.535
121	1982 Brewers/1982 Expos/1981 Yankees	7	pedrocerrano	13	2	65-65	0.533
122	92 Cubs 92 Phillies 92 Pirates	8	joerat1	16	2	65-65	0.522
123	Lg 09 - 01 OAK / 01 SFG / 01 COL	9	footballmm11	12	3	65-65	0.509
124	2022 Mets/Astros/Braves Thick as a Brick	10	harrelson	9	4	65-65	0.507
125	99 Red Sox / 98 Padres / 98 Mariners	9	ronthegenius	16	3	65-65	0.501
126	'12 Athletics/12 Pirates/'14 Senators	1	big_dowg	18	3	65-65	0.501
127	54 Indians, 55 Yankees, 55 Reds	5	kstober	3	1	65-65	0.496
128	1982 LAD / 1982 CAL / 1984 BAL	7	toysboys	9	1	65-65	0.493
129	96 Braves / 96 Marlins / 98 Blue Jays	8	ronthegenius	6	3	65-65	0.481
130	88 Mets, 88 Red Sox, 87 Tigers	8	kstober	15	3	64-66	0.516
131	1961 Yankees (61 BAL - 62 LAD)	5	schwarze	1	1	64-66	0.515
132	1902 Pirates 1904 Giants 1904 Naps	1	glowguy	14	4	64-66	0.507
133	19NYG 19CIN 20NYY	2	thejuice6	5	1	64-66	0.502
134	'10 Phillies/'11 Dodgers/'12 Braves	10	nocomm999	13	2	64-66	0.494
135	04 NYG - 04 CUBS - 06 CLEV	1	calhoop	19	3	64-66	0.490
136	Bigwig's LG02 - CLE/NYG/DET	2	njbigwig	24	4	64-66	0.463
137	1915 Phillies / 15 White Sox / 16 Giants	2	ronthegenius	6	3	64-66	0.459
138	Lg 06 - 66 SFG / 65 CIN / 65 LAD	6	footballmm11	6	2	63-67	0.542
139	3Rivers 80Bucs 88Mets 89Cards	8	fatboydad54	21	4	63-67	0.536
140	Lg 05 - 53 BRK / 52 PHI / 53 STL	5	footballmm11	9	2	63-67	0.525
141	Tuesdays with Morty	4	jtpsops	18	4	63-67	0.501
142	Truman's Buckstoppers	4	nordawg	12	3	63-67	0.483
143	Giant Reds in Washington	2	bill_james47	21	3	63-67	0.478
144	2005 HOU/2005 NYY/2004 SFG	9	chisock	3	1	63-67	0.467
145	2015 Dodgers/2015 Blue Jays/2014 Angels	10	redcped	2	1	63-67	0.459
146	1994 ATL, 1994 MON, 1995 COL	8	d_rock97	8	2	63-67	0.451
147	2006 Twins (05 NYM - 05 STL)	9	schwarze	11	2	62-68	0.531
148	58NYY, 59 CHISOX, 59 DET	5	jrig21	20	3	62-68	0.513
149	1948 Bosox/Cards/Braves	4	pmars2001	24	4	62-68	0.501
150	1928 CHC, 1928 NYG, 1930 PHI	3	d_rock97	6	1	62-68	0.500
151	1940 CIN, 1940 NYY, 1942 BOS	4	d_rock97	16	4	62-68	0.492
152	2002 OAK/2004 STL/2002 ATL	9	chisock	23	4	62-68	0.482
153	26PHA\27NYG\28NYY	3	steveizzy	15	2	62-68	0.481
154	1930 Robins (28 WAS - 29 PHI)	3	schwarze	16	3	62-68	0.480
155	1903 Naps/1903 Tigers/1902 Americans	1	pedrocerrano	1	1	62-68	0.476
156	1912 Red Sox/1912 Giants/1912 Pirates	1	redcped	6	1	62-68	0.470
157	Lg 08 - 94 ATL / 93 SFG / 94 CLE	8	footballmm11	7	1	62-68	0.466
158	26 Yankees 26 Cardinals 28 Senators	3	joerat1	19	3	62-68	0.460
159	1988 Reds/1989 Giants/1990 Blue Jays	8	redcped	14	2	62-68	0.446
160	66-68 Chief Cards	6	dougsdawgs13	16	3	62-68	0.413
161	2002 ARI, 2003 BOS, 2003 SF	9	d_rock97	19	3	61-69	0.510
162	1964 White Sox (64 NYY - 64 MIL)	6	schwarze	4	1	61-69	0.501
163	56 Braves 57 Dodgers 57 Yankees	5	joerat1	15	4	61-69	0.489
164	64 LAD - 64 PHIL - 65 SFG	6	calhoop	19	4	61-69	0.480
165	1940 CIN / 1940 NYY / 1938 BOS	4	toysboys	22	3	61-69	0.476
166	07ATL/07CLE/08NYM	9	steveizzy	24	4	61-69	0.473
167	85 Mets, 85 Expos, 86 Blue Jays	7	kstober	11	3	61-69	0.472
168	'50 Red Sox/'52 Phillies/'52 Cubs	5	nocomm999	10	2	61-69	0.457
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	-------------------	----------	----------	------------	------------
169	49BRK 49CLE 50NYG	4	thejuice6	13	4	61-69	0.415
170	20 PIT/ 21 NYY/ 22 STL	2	boddicker	10	2	60-70	0.495
171	2016 Cubs (16 LAD - 17 NYY)	10	schwarze	3	1	60-70	0.490
172	1927 Cards Pirates Sens	3	pubdog	24	4	60-70	0.470
173	72 CIN 73 BALT 74 ATL	6	oldtimer59	11	1	60-70	0.461
174	Dodgers ‘22/Astros ‘21/Giants ‘21	10	je3rd	7	3	60-70	0.426
175	1963 Cardinals/1963 Dodgers/1964 Yankees	6	glowguy	23	3	60-70	0.423
176	2000 Red Sox/2000 Braves/1998 Astros	9	redcped	18	4	59-71	0.498
177	1978 Yankees (80 LAD - 80 MIL)	7	schwarze	16	3	59-71	0.480
178	1985 STL - 1985 NYY - 1985 KCR	7	beallendall	3	1	59-71	0.475
179	1936 NYY/1938 NYG/1938 CIN	3	chisock	20	3	59-71	0.471
180	1919 CHW/1918 NYG/1920 STB	2	chisock	14	3	59-71	0.463
181	34SLC 35NYG 36NYY	3	thejuice6	17	4	59-71	0.460
182	1934 NYG/1935 DET/1935 STLC	3	darthdurron	9	1	59-71	0.459
183	Housan Bostocisco Red *** Giants	10	_jjp_	23	3	59-71	0.457
184	Lg 01 - 12 PHA / 11 DET / 12 WSN	1	footballmm11	11	2	59-71	0.455
185	'76 Mets/'76 Royals/'78 Yankees	7	nocomm999	17	4	59-71	0.448
186	43 NYY - 43 BKLN - 44 CIN	4	calhoop	8	2	59-71	0.446
187	44 Reds, 46 Cardinals, 45 Tigers	4	kstober	11	4	59-71	0.444
188	62 NYY.61 Reds.60 O's	5	urband	17	3	59-71	0.437
189	04 Naps, 05 Pirates, 06 White Sox	1	kstober	22	4	59-71	0.433
190	09 Pirates, 09 Tigers, 08 Cubs	1	kstober	9	2	58-72	0.510
191	1922 Browns/1920 Giants/1921 Cardinals	2	redcped	17	3	58-72	0.491
192	2010 PHI / 2009 NYY / 2010 STL	9	toysboys	10	2	58-72	0.475
193	54 & 56 Brooklyn Dodgers + 54 Phillies	5	bigsteve12	21	4	58-72	0.463
194	79BALT 80KC 78BOS	7	oldtimer59	20	4	58-72	0.450
195	24 Robins/25 Athletics/26 Athletics	2	mllama54	18	2	58-72	0.444
196	1918 Cubs (18 WAS - 20 STL)	2	schwarze	16	4	58-72	0.436
197	06 Pirates 07 Cubs 08 White Sox	1	joerat1	21	4	58-72	0.433
198	1972 OAK/1970 MINN/1970 HOU	6	darthdurron	9	2	58-72	0.433
199	60 Yankees, 59 Cubs, 60 Braves	5	kstober	18	1	58-72	0.425
200	32 Yankees, 34 Tigers, 32 Pirates	3	kstober	8	3	58-72	0.419
201	Orioles/Tigers/Jays 1983/84 Bash	7	coachgreat1	21	2	58-72	0.398
202	Earl and Arky"s Ugly Dogs	3	bill_james47	18	2	57-73	0.492
203	1982 Brewers/1982 Astros/ 1984 Cubs	7	glowguy	24	4	57-73	0.492
204	Hollocher?? I hardly know her!	2	jtpsops	23	4	57-73	0.474
205	84 BALT - 85 LAD - 86 BOS	7	calhoop	6	2	57-73	0.461
206	1977 CIN/1978 PHI/1978 MIL	7	chisock	7	2	57-73	0.460
207	Yankees & Pirates & Robins...Oh My	3	the_creeper	21	4	57-73	0.415
208	Bos 00 - Atl 02 - NYY 01	9	bigsteve12	13	4	57-73	0.395
209	1956 Yankees (56 CHI - 55 MIL)	5	schwarze	7	2	56-74	0.501
210	41 NYY.Reds.Red Sox	4	urband	15	3	56-74	0.479
211	1916 Robins 1917 White Sox 1918 Cubs	2	glowguy	12	2	56-74	0.475
212	20 Dodgers, 18 Indians, 19 Braves	10	kstober	12	3	56-74	0.467
213	Lg 03 - 30 NYY / 32 CIN / 32 PHA	3	footballmm11	7	2	56-74	0.461
214	05NYG 05CHC 04PITT	1	oldtimer59	16	2	56-74	0.456
215	24 PGH - 24 CIN - 24 CLE	2	calhoop	20	4	56-74	0.441
216	1908 NYG - 1908 BOS - 1908 DET	1	beallendall	15	2	56-74	0.429
217	1940 BRK/1939 BOS/1938 NYG	4	chisock	23	4	55-75	0.430
218	the other Bill Lee (Big Bill Lee)	3	parking31	23	4	55-75	0.420
219	Lg 04 - 39 CIN / 40 DET / 40 BOS	4	footballmm11	21	2	54-76	0.442
220	13SLC 13DET 14WAS	10	thejuice6	22	4	54-76	0.439
221	'91 Red Sox/'90 Pirates/'92 Reds	8	nocomm999	24	4	54-76	0.433
222	Raising Matt Cain	10	jtpsops	20	2	54-76	0.414
223	1912 BOS/1912 NYG/1912 DET	1	darthdurron	24	4	54-76	0.409
224	1924 WAS - 1925 BKN - 1926 CHC	2	beallendall	19	3	54-76	0.407
225	74 Dodgers 76 Mets 76 Royals	7	joerat1	23	4	54-76	0.355
226	3 from '33	3	nocomm999	4	1	53-77	0.459
227	20 NYY.21 Indians Giants	2	urband	22	4	53-77	0.453
228	81MON 82SLC 82CAL	7	thejuice6	19	4	53-77	0.441
229	19 Dodgers/19 Mets/20 White Sox	10	mllama54	18	4	53-77	0.384
230	93 ATL - 94 HTN - 94 SD	8	calhoop	19	4	52-78	0.428
231	70CIN 71BAL 71OAK	6	thejuice6	18	4	52-78	0.403
232	2015 Cubs (16 CLE - 14 LAD)	10	schwarze	17	3	51-79	0.423
233	1988 CIN/1987 TOR/1987 SFG	8	chisock	12	2	50-80	0.382
234	64 Orioles,63 Giants, 62 NYY	6	jrig21	24	4	49-81	0.431
235	Athletics Royals Dodgers Stadium	8	ribbentrop	20	3	48-82	0.387
236	2003 OAK/2003 ARIZ/2003 NYY	9	darthdurron	6	2	48-82	0.352
237	59MIL 59BAL 60PIT	5	thejuice6	24	4	47-83	0.412
238	2012 Nationals/2013 Mariners/14' Dodgers	10	glowguy	21	3	46-84	0.336
239	46STL/47NYG/48NYY	4	winterhawk	20	3	44-86	0.342
240	08MIL 09BOS 10TEX	9	thejuice6	15	3	42-88	0.281

Rank	Team Name	League	Owner	Pick#	Div#	Record	Exp Win%
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	-------------------	----------	----------	------------	------------
1	1946 Red Sox 1945 Cubs 1945 Senators	4	barracuda3	10	3	94-48	0.687
2	Fernandomania At The Vet	7	bill_james47	18	3	89-53	0.591
3	1907 Pittsburgh	1	ybjsports	17	3	89-53	0.589
4	2021 Dodgers/2020 Braves/2020 White Sox	10	pedrocerrano	5	2	88-54	0.645
5	1927 Yankees 1928 Athletics 1928 Pirates	3	barracuda3	1	1	88-54	0.638
6	1928 Yankees 1928 Athletics 1930 Cubs	3	glowguy	14	2	87-55	0.595
7	Lg 02 - 23 NYY / 23 CIN / 23 CLE	2	footballmm11	13	3	87-55	0.592
8	1956 Yankees/1956 White Sox/1957 Braves	5	pedrocerrano	8	2	87-55	0.588
9	1937 Yankees 1937 Tigers 1937 Bees	3	barracuda3	3	1	86-56	0.591
10	1944 STL / 1946 DET / 1944 BOS	4	toysboys	5	1	86-56	0.589
11	2004 Cardinals/2004 Yankees/2005 Marlins	9	glowguy	20	3	85-57	0.596
12	1914 Red Sox (15 STL - 15 IND)	2	schwarze	2	2	85-57	0.564
13	Bigwig's LG09 - BOS/ATL/LAD	9	njbigwig	2	1	84-58	0.549
14	2011 PHI / 2012 DET / 2012 SFG	10	toysboys	11	1	84-58	0.542
15	02 Red Sox, 02 Diamondbacks, 02 Giants	9	kstober	1	1	83-59	0.612
16	1977 Minnesota	7	ybjsports	14	3	83-59	0.578
17	1943 Cardinals/1942 Yankees/1942 Giants	4	redcped	17	3	83-59	0.578
18	.92 pirates, jays & padres	8	3dayrotation	13	2	83-59	0.561
19	2019 Astros 2020 Indians 2018 Red Sox	10	barracuda3	1	1	82-60	0.594
20	1916 CWS / 1916 DET / 1917 STL	2	emanes10	3	1	82-60	0.589
21	31 NYY.30 Giants A's	3	urband	13	4	82-60	0.581
22	Lg 03 - 32 PHA / 34 NYG / 34 PIT	3	footballmm11	22	4	82-60	0.581
23	84Tigers 86Mets 86Astros	7	84champs	15	4	82-60	0.575
24	16 White Sox, 15 Tigers, 16 Reds	2	kstober	15	4	82-60	0.570
25	Youppi in Windy Hogtown	8	taxman2008	22	3	82-60	0.542
26	1998 Braves (99 ARI - 00 LAD)	9	schwarze	4	1	81-61	0.585
27	'08 Naps/'09 A's/'10 Tigers	1	nocomm999	5	1	81-61	0.573
28	1934 Yankees (32 CIN - 34 STL)	3	schwarze	5	2	81-61	0.535
29	2011 Tigers 2010 Rangers 2010 Reds	10	barracuda3	15	3	81-61	0.532
30	1966 SFG / 1968 DET / 1966 BAL	6	toysboys	3	1	81-61	0.523
31	1924 Senators (24 CIN - 24 NYG)	2	schwarze	8	2	81-61	0.507
32	1920 Reds Indians White Sox	2	ejstockman	4	1	80-62	0.605
33	1920 Indians/1920 White Sox/1919 Pirates	2	pedrocerrano	9	2	80-62	0.588
34	68Cle 70Bos 70Balt	6	84champs	21	3	80-62	0.587
35	1990 OAK / 1988 BOS / 1990 CIN	8	toysboys	11	1	80-62	0.578
36	1998 Atlanta	8	ybjsports	5	2	80-62	0.569
37	2020 SD/ATL/CIN	10	steveizzy	8	2	80-62	0.564
38	46 Red Sox 47 Yankees 47Braves	4	glowguy	19	2	80-62	0.546
39	70-72 Balt/LAD/SFG Heavy Horses	6	harrelson	5	1	80-62	0.539
40	1954 Indians 1952 Cardinals 1954 Dodgers	5	barracuda3	2	1	79-63	0.617
41	1909 Cubs (08 PIT - 08 DET)	1	schwarze	13	3	79-63	0.595
42	64 Orioles, 66 Dodgers, 66 Braves	6	kstober	7	3	79-63	0.585
43	1944 Cardinals (44 BOS - 44 CLE)	4	schwarze	6	1	79-63	0.574
44	1996 Braves/1996 Rockies/1996 Marlins	8	pedrocerrano	2	1	79-63	0.565
45	Bigwig's LG10 - CHC/BOS/WAS	10	njbigwig	10	2	79-63	0.535
46	1956 CLE/1957 CWS/1956 DET	5	darthdurron	11	3	79-63	0.502
47	1964 White Sox 1964 Braves 1964 Giants	6	barracuda3	2	1	78-64	0.574
48	1978 Brewers/1980 Phillies/1979 Cards	7	redcped	12	2	78-64	0.554
49	1975 Reds/1975 Mets/1976 Phillies	7	glowguy	2	1	78-64	0.554
50	2020 Padres / 2020 Dodgers / 2021 Jays	10	ronthegenius	4	1	78-64	0.554
51	1967 White Sox/1966 Pirates/1967 Cards	6	redcped	13	2	78-64	0.550
52	1961 Detroit	5	ybjsports	6	2	78-64	0.549
53	1914 CHI / 1913 PHA / 1914 PHI	1	toysboys	10	2	78-64	0.542
54	1951 Dodgers/1950 Giants/1952 Indians	5	redcped	5	1	78-64	0.542
55	Red(birds), Wright & Blue M's [08-10]	9	parking31	8	1	78-64	0.497
56	.04 twins, 06 mets & yankees	9	3dayrotation	21	4	77-65	0.549
57	1906 Cubs 1906 Browns 1905 Reds	1	barracuda3	2	1	77-65	0.542
58	1941 BRO / 1940 BOS / 1940 CWS	4	emanes10	9	1	77-65	0.538
59	1981 Astros (81 CAL - 80 KCR)	7	schwarze	1	1	77-65	0.536
60	.70 red sox, 72 reds & angels	6	3dayrotation	10	3	77-65	0.528
61	1902 Blues (03 PIT - 04 CHI)	1	schwarze	8	3	77-65	0.525
62	1995 Braves (94 HOU - 96 SEA)	8	schwarze	10	4	77-65	0.520
63	1997 Braves 1997 Rockies 1998 Padres	8	barracuda3	3	1	76-66	0.578
64	1908 Giants/1910 A's/1910 Red Sox	1	pedrocerrano	23	4	76-66	0.567
65	1976 Reds (77 LAD - 77 NYM)	7	schwarze	5	1	76-66	0.557
66	Lg 10 - 16 WAS / 16 LAD / 16 COL	10	footballmm11	19	4	76-66	0.557
67	1956 BRK / 1958 MLW / 1958 NYY	5	toysboys	4	1	76-66	0.542
68	2018 Boston	10	ybjsports	6	2	76-66	0.542
69	Lg 07 - 76 CIN / 74 PIT / 74 ATL	7	footballmm11	10	3	76-66	0.535
70	07 Red Sox/08 Brewers/07 Phillies	9	richiebrown6	9	2	76-66	0.525
71	1934 NYY / 1936 PIT / 1934 DET	3	toysboys	10	2	76-66	0.513
72	46NYY 44NYY 44CLE	4	oldtimer59	7	2	76-66	0.510
73	74 Athletics, 74 Dodgers, 73 Reds	6	kstober	20	4	76-66	0.510
74	1956 CLE / 1955 BRK / 1954 CHW	5	toysboys	16	3	76-66	0.504
75	1924 Robins 1922 Browns 1924 Cardinals	2	barracuda3	7	1	76-66	0.481
76	1982 MON/`983 CWS/1983 DET	7	darthdurron	22	3	76-66	0.475
77	1906 Cubs (06 STL - 08 PIT)	1	schwarze	4	1	75-67	0.605
78	2006 Twins 2007 Yankees 2008 Dodgers	9	barracuda3	5	1	75-67	0.561
79	86 HOU/87 STL/88 MIL under the Dome	8	spinaldog	1	1	75-67	0.536
80	1975 Dodgers 1975 Red Sox 1974 Reds	7	barracuda3	4	2	75-67	0.527
81	2006 Yankees/2007 Padres/2008 Indians	9	gworear	22	3	75-67	0.520
82	2011 BOS/2011 ANH/2010 STL	10	chisock	16	4	75-67	0.496
83	60 CWS/62 MLW/62 CIN	5	spinaldog	22	4	75-67	0.495
84	2001 Mariners/01 D'backs/2000 Braves	9	pedrocerrano	7	2	74-68	0.582
85	1948 Indians (46 NYY - 46 DET)	4	schwarze	2	1	74-68	0.561
86	30 WASH - 31 A's - 32 NYY	3	calhoop	2	1	74-68	0.552
87	1969 NYM / 1968 DET / 1969 MIN	6	toysboys	15	2	74-68	0.545
88	1986 BOS - 1988 LAD - 1986 TOR	8	beallendall	23	4	74-68	0.531
89	1994 Yankees/ 1995 Indians/ 1995 Dodgers	8	glowguy	9	3	74-68	0.531
90	1951 Giants/1951 Phillies/1952 Yankees	5	glowguy	12	3	74-68	0.508
91	1925 CIN / 1925 STL / 1925 PIT	2	toysboys	11	1	74-68	0.500
92	1998 NYY - 1999 ATL - 1999 TEX	9	beallendall	14	2	74-68	0.485
93	54PHIL 53MIL 52BKN	5	oldtimer59	23	4	74-68	0.477
94	1931 Giants/1930 Robins/1930 Cubs	3	pedrocerrano	12	3	74-68	0.469
95	2013 LAD/2012 DET/2014 CUB	10	darthdurron	14	1	73-69	0.550
96	2022 Mets/Astros/Braves Thick as a Brick	10	harrelson	9	4	73-69	0.521
97	2017 LAD - 2017 CLE - 2017 MIA	10	beallendall	24	4	73-69	0.518
98	1914 CHI / 1914 PHI / 1914 PHA	2	toysboys	1	1	73-69	0.506
99	1966 LAD/1968 BAL/1966 DET	6	chisock	17	4	73-69	0.504
100	79BOS/79HOU/80OAK	7	steveizzy	8	1	73-69	0.504
101	1990 A's (90 CIN - 90 MON)	8	schwarze	4	1	73-69	0.503
102	2015 Dodgers/2015 Blue Jays/2014 Angels	10	redcped	2	1	73-69	0.496
103	1974 Reds (72 LAD - 72 CHI )	6	schwarze	14	3	73-69	0.494
104	1912 CHC, 1913 NYG, 1914 BOS	1	d_rock97	3	1	73-69	0.489
105	1902 Pirates 1904 Giants 1904 Naps	1	glowguy	14	4	72-70	0.514
106	02 Athletics/02 Reds/04 Pirates	1	mllama54	7	2	72-70	0.499
107	99 Red Sox / 98 Padres / 98 Mariners	9	ronthegenius	16	3	72-70	0.492
108	1958 MLW / 1960 CWS / 1959 SFG	5	emanes10	19	2	72-70	0.492
109	72OAK/73LAD/73ATL	6	steveizzy	12	2	72-70	0.490
110	21st Street Missionaries	3	nordawg	11	3	72-70	0.483
111	Bigwig's LG02 - CLE/NYG/DET	2	njbigwig	24	4	72-70	0.470
112	Lg 04 - 48 CLE / 50 NYY / 50 STL	4	footballmm11	3	1	72-70	0.460
113	1969 Orioles/1968 Cardinals/1970 Giants	6	pedrocerrano	1	1	71-71	0.515
114	92 Cubs 92 Phillies 92 Pirates	8	joerat1	16	2	71-71	0.509
115	1949 Red Sox/1949 Cardinals/1948 Braves	4	pedrocerrano	4	2	71-71	0.502
116	1930 Robins (28 WAS - 29 PHI)	3	schwarze	16	3	71-71	0.496
117	Indians-Mariners-Yanks 96-98	8	dougsdawgs13	17	4	71-71	0.494
118	Giant Reds in Washington	2	bill_james47	21	3	71-71	0.491
119	Truman's Buckstoppers	4	nordawg	12	3	71-71	0.490
120	96 Braves / 96 Marlins / 98 Blue Jays	8	ronthegenius	6	3	71-71	0.477
121	09 Dodgers, 08 Indians, 08 Red Sox	9	kstober	17	4	71-71	0.474
122	10PHA 10CHC 11NYG	1	thejuice6	20	4	71-71	0.472
123	1994 ATL, 1994 MON, 1995 COL	8	d_rock97	8	2	71-71	0.458
124	1964 LAD - 1962 SFG - 1963 CWS	6	beallendall	8	2	71-71	0.441
125	1911 PIT/1910 BOS/1911 PHA	1	chisock	12	3	71-71	0.432
126	3Rivers 80Bucs 88Mets 89Cards	8	fatboydad54	21	4	70-72	0.536
127	Lg 06 - 66 SFG / 65 CIN / 65 LAD	6	footballmm11	6	2	70-72	0.536
128	1961 Yankees (61 BAL - 62 LAD)	5	schwarze	1	1	70-72	0.524
129	1939 Yankees 1939 Cardinals 1940 Indians	4	barracuda3	1	1	70-72	0.513
130	04 NYG - 04 CUBS - 06 CLEV	1	calhoop	19	3	70-72	0.504
131	1982 LAD / 1982 CAL / 1984 BAL	7	toysboys	9	1	70-72	0.497
132	1952 STL/1952 BRK/1952 PHA	5	chisock	13	4	70-72	0.484
133	1942 STLC/ 1942 NYY/1940 PITT	4	darthdurron	14	2	70-72	0.482
134	54NYG/52CLE/54NYY	5	winterhawk	14	3	70-72	0.479
135	'50 Red Sox/'52 Phillies/'52 Cubs	5	nocomm999	10	2	70-72	0.475
136	Lg 08 - 94 ATL / 93 SFG / 94 CLE	8	footballmm11	7	1	70-72	0.475
137	92TOR 94MON 94NYY	8	thejuice6	18	3	70-72	0.461
138	1982 Brewers/1982 Expos/1981 Yankees	7	pedrocerrano	13	2	69-73	0.524
139	Lg 09 - 01 OAK / 01 SFG / 01 COL	9	footballmm11	12	3	69-73	0.510
140	Lg 06 - 70 CIN / 69 LAD / 70 MIN	6	footballmm11	22	4	69-73	0.510
141	1940 CIN, 1940 NYY, 1942 BOS	4	d_rock97	16	4	69-73	0.510
142	88 Mets, 88 Red Sox, 87 Tigers	8	kstober	15	3	69-73	0.509
143	'10 Phillies/'11 Dodgers/'12 Braves	10	nocomm999	13	2	69-73	0.507
144	54 Indians, 55 Yankees, 55 Reds	5	kstober	3	1	69-73	0.490
145	'12 Athletics/12 Pirates/'14 Senators	1	big_dowg	18	3	69-73	0.486
146	2005 HOU/2005 NYY/2004 SFG	9	chisock	3	1	69-73	0.468
147	1982 Brewers/1982 Astros/ 1984 Cubs	7	glowguy	24	4	68-74	0.524
148	09 Pirates, 09 Tigers, 08 Cubs	1	kstober	9	2	68-74	0.523
149	1964 White Sox (64 NYY - 64 MIL)	6	schwarze	4	1	68-74	0.514
150	Lg 05 - 53 BRK / 52 PHI / 53 STL	5	footballmm11	9	2	68-74	0.512
151	1948 Bosox/Cards/Braves	4	pmars2001	24	4	68-74	0.505
152	1928 CHC, 1928 NYG, 1930 PHI	3	d_rock97	6	1	68-74	0.503
153	Tuesdays with Morty	4	jtpsops	18	4	68-74	0.499
154	58NYY, 59 CHISOX, 59 DET	5	jrig21	20	3	68-74	0.496
155	1978 Yankees (80 LAD - 80 MIL)	7	schwarze	16	3	68-74	0.495
156	07ATL/07CLE/08NYM	9	steveizzy	24	4	68-74	0.487
157	1940 CIN / 1940 NYY / 1938 BOS	4	toysboys	22	3	68-74	0.478
158	2002 OAK/2004 STL/2002 ATL	9	chisock	23	4	68-74	0.464
159	1988 Reds/1989 Giants/1990 Blue Jays	8	redcped	14	2	68-74	0.450
160	2006 Twins (05 NYM - 05 STL)	9	schwarze	11	2	67-75	0.524
161	20 PIT/ 21 NYY/ 22 STL	2	boddicker	10	2	67-75	0.502
162	19NYG 19CIN 20NYY	2	thejuice6	5	1	67-75	0.496
163	56 Braves 57 Dodgers 57 Yankees	5	joerat1	15	4	67-75	0.491
164	26PHA\27NYG\28NYY	3	steveizzy	15	2	67-75	0.474
165	1903 Naps/1903 Tigers/1902 Americans	1	pedrocerrano	1	1	67-75	0.473
166	1915 Phillies / 15 White Sox / 16 Giants	2	ronthegenius	6	3	67-75	0.446
167	44 Reds, 46 Cardinals, 45 Tigers	4	kstober	11	4	67-75	0.446
168	66-68 Chief Cards	6	dougsdawgs13	16	3	67-75	0.419
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	-------------------	----------	----------	------------	------------
169	2002 ARI, 2003 BOS, 2003 SF	9	d_rock97	19	3	66-76	0.489
170	1985 STL - 1985 NYY - 1985 KCR	7	beallendall	3	1	66-76	0.478
171	85 Mets, 85 Expos, 86 Blue Jays	7	kstober	11	3	66-76	0.466
172	26 Yankees 26 Cardinals 28 Senators	3	joerat1	19	3	66-76	0.446
173	32 Yankees, 34 Tigers, 32 Pirates	3	kstober	8	3	66-76	0.443
174	60 Yankees, 59 Cubs, 60 Braves	5	kstober	18	1	66-76	0.438
175	41 NYY.Reds.Red Sox	4	urband	15	3	65-77	0.496
176	2000 Red Sox/2000 Braves/1998 Astros	9	redcped	18	4	65-77	0.489
177	1936 NYY/1938 NYG/1938 CIN	3	chisock	20	3	65-77	0.476
178	05NYG 05CHC 04PITT	1	oldtimer59	16	2	65-77	0.469
179	Housan Bostocisco Red *** Giants	10	_jjp_	23	3	65-77	0.451
180	62 NYY.61 Reds.60 O's	5	urband	17	3	65-77	0.440
181	Dodgers ‘22/Astros ‘21/Giants ‘21	10	je3rd	7	3	65-77	0.431
182	49BRK 49CLE 50NYG	4	thejuice6	13	4	65-77	0.412
183	1922 Browns/1920 Giants/1921 Cardinals	2	redcped	17	3	64-78	0.494
184	1916 Robins 1917 White Sox 1918 Cubs	2	glowguy	12	2	64-78	0.488
185	2016 Cubs (16 LAD - 17 NYY)	10	schwarze	3	1	64-78	0.485
186	64 LAD - 64 PHIL - 65 SFG	6	calhoop	19	4	64-78	0.476
187	84 BALT - 85 LAD - 86 BOS	7	calhoop	6	2	64-78	0.472
188	Lg 01 - 12 PHA / 11 DET / 12 WSN	1	footballmm11	11	2	64-78	0.460
189	1912 Red Sox/1912 Giants/1912 Pirates	1	redcped	6	1	64-78	0.460
190	72 CIN 73 BALT 74 ATL	6	oldtimer59	11	1	64-78	0.457
191	1927 Cards Pirates Sens	3	pubdog	24	4	64-78	0.455
192	'76 Mets/'76 Royals/'78 Yankees	7	nocomm999	17	4	64-78	0.452
193	24 Robins/25 Athletics/26 Athletics	2	mllama54	18	2	64-78	0.443
194	1918 Cubs (18 WAS - 20 STL)	2	schwarze	16	4	64-78	0.427
195	Yankees & Pirates & Robins...Oh My	3	the_creeper	21	4	64-78	0.420
196	1963 Cardinals/1963 Dodgers/1964 Yankees	6	glowguy	23	3	64-78	0.412
197	54 & 56 Brooklyn Dodgers + 54 Phillies	5	bigsteve12	21	4	63-79	0.461
198	1919 CHW/1918 NYG/1920 STB	2	chisock	14	3	63-79	0.454
199	24 PGH - 24 CIN - 24 CLE	2	calhoop	20	4	63-79	0.450
200	1934 NYG/1935 DET/1935 STLC	3	darthdurron	9	1	63-79	0.450
201	79BALT 80KC 78BOS	7	oldtimer59	20	4	63-79	0.449
202	1972 OAK/1970 MINN/1970 HOU	6	darthdurron	9	2	63-79	0.441
203	04 Naps, 05 Pirates, 06 White Sox	1	kstober	22	4	63-79	0.437
204	Bos 00 - Atl 02 - NYY 01	9	bigsteve12	13	4	63-79	0.430
205	Orioles/Tigers/Jays 1983/84 Bash	7	coachgreat1	21	2	63-79	0.392
206	1956 Yankees (56 CHI - 55 MIL)	5	schwarze	7	2	62-80	0.511
207	Earl and Arky"s Ugly Dogs	3	bill_james47	18	2	62-80	0.489
208	20 Dodgers, 18 Indians, 19 Braves	10	kstober	12	3	62-80	0.473
209	Lg 03 - 30 NYY / 32 CIN / 32 PHA	3	footballmm11	7	2	62-80	0.466
210	13SLC 13DET 14WAS	10	thejuice6	22	4	62-80	0.456
211	1977 CIN/1978 PHI/1978 MIL	7	chisock	7	2	62-80	0.451
212	34SLC 35NYG 36NYY	3	thejuice6	17	4	62-80	0.440
213	1908 NYG - 1908 BOS - 1908 DET	1	beallendall	15	2	62-80	0.436
214	the other Bill Lee (Big Bill Lee)	3	parking31	23	4	62-80	0.430
215	43 NYY - 43 BKLN - 44 CIN	4	calhoop	8	2	62-80	0.428
216	06 Pirates 07 Cubs 08 White Sox	1	joerat1	21	4	62-80	0.421
217	2010 PHI / 2009 NYY / 2010 STL	9	toysboys	10	2	61-81	0.480
218	Hollocher?? I hardly know her!	2	jtpsops	23	4	61-81	0.466
219	1940 BRK/1939 BOS/1938 NYG	4	chisock	23	4	61-81	0.433
220	3 from '33	3	nocomm999	4	1	60-82	0.467
221	1924 WAS - 1925 BKN - 1926 CHC	2	beallendall	19	3	60-82	0.410
222	19 Dodgers/19 Mets/20 White Sox	10	mllama54	18	4	60-82	0.393
223	74 Dodgers 76 Mets 76 Royals	7	joerat1	23	4	60-82	0.361
224	1912 BOS/1912 NYG/1912 DET	1	darthdurron	24	4	59-83	0.416
225	81MON 82SLC 82CAL	7	thejuice6	19	4	58-84	0.442
226	Lg 04 - 39 CIN / 40 DET / 40 BOS	4	footballmm11	21	2	58-84	0.437
227	'91 Red Sox/'90 Pirates/'92 Reds	8	nocomm999	24	4	58-84	0.437
228	2015 Cubs (16 CLE - 14 LAD)	10	schwarze	17	3	58-84	0.434
229	20 NYY.21 Indians Giants	2	urband	22	4	57-85	0.446
230	70CIN 71BAL 71OAK	6	thejuice6	18	4	57-85	0.413
231	Raising Matt Cain	10	jtpsops	20	2	57-85	0.396
232	2003 OAK/2003 ARIZ/2003 NYY	9	darthdurron	6	2	57-85	0.379
233	1988 CIN/1987 TOR/1987 SFG	8	chisock	12	2	56-86	0.382
234	64 Orioles,63 Giants, 62 NYY	6	jrig21	24	4	55-87	0.435
235	93 ATL - 94 HTN - 94 SD	8	calhoop	19	4	54-88	0.408
236	Athletics Royals Dodgers Stadium	8	ribbentrop	20	3	52-90	0.393
237	2012 Nationals/2013 Mariners/14' Dodgers	10	glowguy	21	3	51-91	0.322
238	46STL/47NYG/48NYY	4	winterhawk	20	3	50-92	0.352
239	59MIL 59BAL 60PIT	5	thejuice6	24	4	48-94	0.394
240	08MIL 09BOS 10TEX	9	thejuice6	15	3	46-96	0.279

Thru 142 games, the cutoff is exactly 67-75 for advancement to round 4. Per 162 games, this equates to 76.44 wins, meaning that 77 wins should advance and 75 wins probably won't advance.

The correlation coefficient for Pick# and Win total is +0.386. The regression formula shows that the #1 pick should finish with87.1 wins and the #24 pick should finish with 74.9 wins.
.

Pick#	Wins	Losses	Rd 3	Winning%	Group of 4
-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------
1	756	664	10	0.532	0.530
2	781	639	10	0.550
3	738	682	8	0.520
4	737	683	9	0.519
5	792	628	10	0.558	0.516
6	694	726	7	0.489
7	698	722	6	0.492
8	746	674	8	0.525
9	712	708	8	0.501	0.506
10	755	665	9	0.532
11	717	703	7	0.505
12	691	729	7	0.487
13	745	675	8	0.525	0.505
14	733	687	9	0.516
15	695	725	7	0.489
16	698	722	8	0.492
17	700	720	5	0.493	0.473
18	670	750	4	0.472
19	666	754	4	0.469
20	650	770	4	0.458
21	659	761	4	0.464	0.469
22	709	711	7	0.499
23	665	755	4	0.468
24	633	787	5	0.446
-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------
1 thru 12	8817	8223	99	0.517
13 thru 24	8223	8817	69	0.483

The correlation coefficient between 2+ run game winning% and 1-run game winning% increased to +0.19, which is as high as I've seen it. This means that for every +25 points in 2+ run game winning%, you should be +6.5 points in 1-run game winning%.
.

2+ Run	.	1-Run
0.450		0.487
0.475		0.493
0.500		0.500
0.525		0.506
0.550		0.513
0.575		0.519
0.600		0.527

If the teams were ranked by Expected Winning%, instead of W-L record, there are 13 teams that would advance that are currently not advancing and vice versa. This table shows those 13 lucky and unlucky teams... The record in 1-run games (lucky teams are 274-238 and unlucky teams are 213-257) are a big part of that for a bunch of the teams listed below.
.

Rank	Team Name	League	Owner	Pick#	Div#	Record	Exp Win%	1-Run
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	-------------------	----------	----------	------------	------------	---------
111	Bigwig's LG02 - CLE/NYG/DET	2	njbigwig	24	4	72-70	0.470	16-19
94	1931 Giants/1930 Robins/1930 Cubs	3	pedrocerrano	12	3	74-68	0.469	23-10
146	2005 HOU/2005 NYY/2004 SFG	9	chisock	3	1	69-73	0.468	12-17
158	2002 OAK/2004 STL/2002 ATL	9	chisock	23	4	68-74	0.464	16-19
137	92TOR 94MON 94NYY	8	thejuice6	18	3	70-72	0.461	24-19
112	Lg 04 - 48 CLE / 50 NYY / 50 STL	4	footballmm11	3	1	72-70	0.460	22-15
123	1994 ATL, 1994 MON, 1995 COL	8	d_rock97	8	2	71-71	0.458	21-15
159	1988 Reds/1989 Giants/1990 Blue Jays	8	redcped	14	2	68-74	0.450	18-22
166	1915 Phillies / 15 White Sox / 16 Giants	2	ronthegenius	6	3	67-75	0.446	20-19
167	44 Reds, 46 Cardinals, 45 Tigers	4	kstober	11	4	67-75	0.446	24-15
124	1964 LAD - 1962 SFG - 1963 CWS	6	beallendall	8	2	71-71	0.441	31-21
125	1911 PIT/1910 BOS/1911 PHA	1	chisock	12	3	71-71	0.432	26-15
168	66-68 Chief Cards	6	dougsdawgs13	16	3	67-75	0.419	21-22
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	-------------------	----------	----------	------------	------------	---------
206	1956 Yankees (56 CHI - 55 MIL)	5	schwarze	7	2	62-80	0.511	17-24
175	41 NYY.Reds.Red Sox	4	urband	15	3	65-77	0.496	13-18
183	1922 Browns/1920 Giants/1921 Cardinals	2	redcped	17	3	64-78	0.494	18-21
169	2002 ARI, 2003 BOS, 2003 SF	9	d_rock97	19	3	66-76	0.489	18-19
176	2000 Red Sox/2000 Braves/1998 Astros	9	redcped	18	4	65-77	0.489	12-14
207	Earl and Arky"s Ugly Dogs	3	bill_james47	18	2	62-80	0.489	13-15
184	1916 Robins 1917 White Sox 1918 Cubs	2	glowguy	12	2	64-78	0.488	19-21
185	2016 Cubs (16 LAD - 17 NYY)	10	schwarze	3	1	64-78	0.485	18-25
217	2010 PHI / 2009 NYY / 2010 STL	9	toysboys	10	2	61-81	0.480	15-23
170	1985 STL - 1985 NYY - 1985 KCR	7	beallendall	3	1	66-76	0.478	16-21
177	1936 NYY/1938 NYG/1938 CIN	3	chisock	20	3	65-77	0.476	18-17
186	64 LAD - 64 PHIL - 65 SFG	6	calhoop	19	4	64-78	0.476	20-18
208	20 Dodgers, 18 Indians, 19 Braves	10	kstober	12	3	62-80	0.473	16-21

Though I do have a couple significantly underperforming teams, it's actually amazing how many are nearly right on target. Five of my 9 teams are within 6 percentage points of Expected%, and another just 15 points off.

League W-L Pct Exp%
L1: 66-80 .452 .458
L2: 66-80 .452 .490
L4: 83-63 .568 .565
L5: 79-67 .541 .541
L6: 78-68 .534 .530
L7: 81-65 .555 .554
L8: 71-75 .486 .456
L9: 67-79 .459 .491
L10: 77-69 .527 .512

Wow, that's crazy how close your teams are. I wish I could say the same thing.

Out of 23 teams, only 2 teams are within 10 percentage points of actual. These numbers are thru 142 games. I have 13 teams doing worse than expected (by an average of 38 percentage points) and 10 teams doing better than expected (by an average of 24 percentage points). Here is a table of all my teams, ranked from unluckiest to luckiest. I have 2 teams that will probably fail to advance to round 4 that deserve to, and 2 other teams that are on the bubble of advancing that absolutely deserve to. I could realistically have FOUR teams end the season with a positive run differential that fail to advance to round 4.

In aggregate, my teams are -11 percentage points (actual to expected).
.

Team Name	League	Win-Loss	Winning%	ExpWin%	Difference	Round4	Rank
1906 Cubs (06 STL - 08 PIT)	1	75-67	0.528	0.605	-0.077	1	77
1956 Yankees (56 CHI - 55 MIL)	5	62-80	0.437	0.511	-0.074	0	206
2006 Twins (05 NYM - 05 STL)	9	67-75	0.472	0.524	-0.052	1	160
1948 Indians (46 NYY - 46 DET)	4	74-68	0.521	0.561	-0.040	1	85
1909 Cubs (08 PIT - 08 DET)	1	79-63	0.556	0.595	-0.039	1	41
1964 White Sox (64 NYY - 64 MIL)	6	68-74	0.479	0.514	-0.035	1	149
2016 Cubs (16 LAD - 17 NYY)	10	64-78	0.451	0.485	-0.034	0	185
1961 Yankees (61 BAL - 62 LAD)	5	70-72	0.493	0.524	-0.031	1	128
2015 Cubs (16 CLE - 14 LAD)	10	58-84	0.408	0.434	-0.026	0	228
1976 Reds (77 LAD - 77 NYM)	7	76-66	0.535	0.557	-0.022	1	65
1944 Cardinals (44 BOS - 44 CLE)	4	79-63	0.556	0.574	-0.018	1	43
1978 Yankees (80 LAD - 80 MIL)	7	68-74	0.479	0.495	-0.016	1	155
1998 Braves (99 ARI - 00 LAD)	9	81-61	0.570	0.585	-0.015	1	26
1930 Robins (28 WAS - 29 PHI)	3	71-71	0.500	0.496	0.004	1	116
1981 Astros (81 CAL - 80 KCR)	7	77-65	0.542	0.536	0.006	1	59
1990 A's (90 CIN - 90 MON)	8	73-69	0.514	0.503	0.011	1	101
1902 Blues (03 PIT - 04 CHI)	1	77-65	0.542	0.525	0.017	1	61
1974 Reds (72 LAD - 72 CHI )	6	73-69	0.514	0.494	0.020	1	103
1995 Braves (94 HOU - 96 SEA)	8	77-65	0.542	0.520	0.022	1	62
1918 Cubs (18 WAS - 20 STL)	2	64-78	0.451	0.427	0.024	0	194
1934 Yankees (32 CIN - 34 STL)	3	81-61	0.570	0.535	0.035	1	28
1914 Red Sox (15 STL - 15 IND)	2	85-57	0.599	0.564	0.035	1	12
1924 Senators (24 CIN - 24 NYG)	2	81-61	0.570	0.507	0.063	1	31

It is bizarre that my worst differential is 30 points, and you have 11 teams with bigger differentials than that. Half your teams.

Right? And 8 of those 11 are on the wrong side. Easy to see why I would be so frustrated all the time.