Another projection report issue Topic

girt25
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jp, I think good wins were not weighted heavily enough before (barely at all, really). I honestly think this feels about right. In real life, quality wins (and just how you did against strong competition in general) is a very major component. It separates the men from the boys.

I actually checked out Marquette earlier because I was curious since they had a lot of wins and a solid RPI ... but they didn't beat a single good team all season. They wouldn't have gotten a bid in real life, either. (I know your point wasn't just Marquette, but I happen to know that one off the top of my head.) 

12/14/2011 5:09 PM
Rails
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Since fabricating average teams into a "strong" strong teams is possible and thus making it seem like there are more top teams than there really are in the conference (see allen forum thread) perhaps the projection formula should account for nonconference quality wins separately from quality conference wins.  Wondering how that would change things. 

PS:  I'm not saying the ACC's strength is fabricated, but my hypothesis is that it's possible under those conditions to spin straw into gold.
12/14/2011 5:30 PM
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