Round 2 Standings, 2018 Topic

ozomatli
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32 games to go in the regular season
Round 1 Rank Round 2 Rank Overall Rank Owner Round 2 Season Proj. Playoffs Round 1 Total Penalty Total
70M 90M 100M 110M 130M 140M Wins Win% Last Cycle
1 1 1 ozomatli 79 78 76 72 68 77 450 0.577 3-3 6 696 798
4 2 2 jmissirlis 74 69 78 71 76 73 441 0.565 5-1 5.5 657 769.5
3 5 3 jfranco77 73 70 67 65 72 69 416 0.533 4-2 3 664 748
2 10 4 brianjw 68 67 57 66 67 67 392 0.503 1-5 2 693 738.5
5 7 5 mildnhazy 68 62 66 65 68 74 403 0.517 3-3 3 651 728.5
12 3 6 justinlee_24 74 79 73 71 64 66 427 0.547 3-3 3.33 592 723
8 8 7 discodemo 75 69 52 69 64 72 401 0.514 4-2 3.5 637 719.5
10 8 8 crystalao 66 57 76 64 71 67 401 0.514 2-4 1.5 621 711.5
9 12 9 wink0094 48 65 70 60 73 68 384 0.492 1-5 2 630 699
13 6 10 rbow923 65 64 68 75 65 68 405 0.519 3-3 2 585 697.5
7 18 11 jbohrman 58 64 68 64 48 69 371 0.476 3-3 1 648 695
19 4 12 dippedncrack / schwarze 70 80 64 71 71 64 420 0.538 4-2 2.83 548 694
6 21 13 buddhagamer 50 57 67 71 55 67 367 0.471 5-1 0.33 649 691.5
11 14 14 dougpalm 65 65 65 60 61 63 379 0.486 2-4 0 595 676.5
16 13 15 redcped 68 58 61 62 75 59 383 0.491 1-5 2 559 662.5
15 17 16 Humdogs 63 65 53 51 67 73 372 0.477 2-4 2 564 654
17 16 17 Donburgh 66 65 56 69 68 50 374 0.479 4-2 2 551 649.5
23 15 18 newarkwilder 66 57 76 54 62 63 378 0.485 3-3 1 541 648.5
21 18 19 Jdh34 56 70 63 64 54 64 371 0.476 4-2 1 546 644
14 24 20 mpitt76 63 62 69 56 51 51 352 0.451 2-4 1 583 643.5
20 20 21 magicdreamer 64 53 55 63 65 68 368 0.472 4-2 1 547 641.5
18 23 22 odalisgagne 62 63 53 62 56 59 355 0.455 3-3 0 551 630.5
22 11 23 mdc2276 56 61 65 63 78 66 389 0.499 3-3 1 545 31 630
25 22 24 ejstockman 63 60 62 72 61 43 361 0.463 3-3 1 535 628.5
2/4/2019 1:29 AM
ozomatli
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Owner_________ Proj. Rank___ Proj. Wins___ Proj. Bonus___ Proj. Total
ozomatli 1 561 81 990
jmissirlis 2 550 74 952
jfranco77 3 518 41 891
brianjw 7 488 27 862
mildnhazy 5 502 41 868
justinlee_24 4 532 45 873
discodemo 6 500 47 865
crystalao 9 500 20 830
wink0094 11 479 27 821
rbow923 10 505 27 824
jbohrman 12 462 14 800
dippedncrack / schwarze 8 523 38 836
buddhagamer 13 457 4 786
dougpalm 16 472 0 770
redcped 14 477 27 784
Humdogs 15 464 27 773
Donburgh 17 466 27 769
newarkwilder 18 471 14 755
Jdh34 19 462 14 749
mpitt76 21 439 14 744
magicdreamer 20 459 14 746
odalisgagne 24 442 0 718
mdc2276 22 485 14 740
ejstockman 23 450 14 731
2/4/2019 1:37 AM
ozomatli
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A fun anecdote: I went back and looked at WaitNSee's dominating 2016 win. The second place finisher (doctorcc) was closer to the 21st place finisher than he was to WaitNSee, despite the fact that he had a 34 point cushion over the third place finisher. How crazy is that?
2/4/2019 4:36 PM
ozomatli
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5/6th of the way done the regular season

Round 1 Rank Round 2 Rank Overall Rank Owner Round 2 Season Proj. Playoffs Round 1 Total Penalty Total
70M 90M 100M 110M 130M 140M Wins Win% Last Cycle
1 1 1 ozomatli 81 81 78 73 72 80 465 0.574 5-1 5.5 696 813
4 2 2 jmissirlis 76 72 80 73 79 76 456 0.563 2-4 5 657 784.5
3 5 3 jfranco77 76 73 70 67 77 71 434 0.536 3-3 4 664 766
2 10 4 brianjw 72 70 58 68 69 70 407 0.502 4-2 2 693 753.5
8 6 5 discodemo 77 73 57 74 67 73 421 0.520 3-3 4 637 739.5
5 9 6 mildnhazy 69 64 66 67 71 76 413 0.510 4-2 2.5 651 738.5
12 3 7 justinlee_24 75 82 75 73 64 69 438 0.541 4-2 3.5 592 734
10 8 8 crystalao 70 58 78 68 73 69 416 0.514 1-5 1 621 726.5
9 11 9 wink0094 52 69 74 63 75 72 405 0.500 3-3 2 630 720
13 7 10 rbow923 68 66 69 77 68 71 419 0.517 3-3 1 585 711.5
6 18 11 buddhagamer 51 60 70 76 58 71 386 0.477 4-2 2 649 710.5
7 18 12 jbohrman 59 67 71 68 51 70 386 0.477 1-5 0.5 648 710
19 4 13 dippedncrack / schwarze 72 82 65 75 74 67 435 0.537 3-3 2.5 548 709
11 14 14 dougpalm 68 67 68 60 63 66 392 0.484 3-3 0 595 689.5
16 13 15 redcped 72 58 64 65 78 61 398 0.491 2-4 2 559 677.5
17 14 16 Donburgh 69 68 60 72 72 51 392 0.484 3-3 2 551 667.5
15 21 17 Humdogs 65 67 57 53 68 75 385 0.475 3-3 2 564 667
23 14 18 newarkwilder 68 57 79 58 64 66 392 0.484 3-3 1 541 662.5
21 17 19 Jdh34 59 73 66 66 56 67 387 0.478 2-4 1.5 546 660
20 18 20 magicdreamer 68 57 58 64 67 72 386 0.477 3-3 1 547 659.5
14 24 21 mpitt76 66 63 69 58 53 52 361 0.446 3-3 1 583 652.5
18 22 22 odalisgagne 65 66 56 63 58 63 371 0.458 4-2 0 551 646.5
22 11 23 mdc2276 59 65 66 66 80 69 405 0.500 4-2 1 545 32 645
25 23 24 ejstockman 63 62 66 73 63 43 370 0.457 2-4 1 535 637.5
2/5/2019 6:13 PM
ozomatli
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Owner Proj. Rank Proj. Wins Proj. Bonus Proj. Total
ozomatli 1 558 74 980
jmissirlis 2 547 68 943
jfranco77 3 521 54 907
brianjw 6 488 27 862
discodemo 4 505 54 878
mildnhazy 7 496 34 855
justinlee_24 5 526 47 869
crystalao 10 499 14 823
wink0094 9 486 27 828
rbow923 12 503 14 809
buddhagamer 11 463 27 815
jbohrman 13 463 7 794
dippedncrack / schwarze 8 522 34 830
dougpalm 17 470 0 768
redcped 14 478 27 784
Donburgh 15 470 27 773
Humdogs 16 462 27 771
newarkwilder 19 470 14 754
Jdh34 18 464 20 758
magicdreamer 20 463 14 750
mpitt76 22 433 14 738
odalisgagne 24 445 0 721
mdc2276 21 486 14 740
ejstockman 23 444 14 725
2/5/2019 6:13 PM
ozomatli
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Round 2 Rank Overall Rank Owner 1st 162 Games 2nd 162 Games 3rd 162 Games 4th 162 Games 5th 162 Games Wins Win%
Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank
1 1 ozomatli 95 2 93 3 95 3 90 1 92 1 465 0.574
2 2 jmissirlis 85 10 98 1 96 2 89 2 88 3 456 0.563
3 7 justinlee_24 95 2 86 7 90 4 88 5 79 15 438 0.541
4 13 dippedncrack / schwarze 97 1 92 4 80 10 81 13 85 9 435 0.537
5 3 jfranco77 91 4 90 5 80 10 89 2 84 11 434 0.536
6 5 discodemo 61 24 86 7 97 1 89 2 88 3 421 0.520
7 10 rbow923 88 6 86 7 78 14 83 9 84 11 419 0.517
8 8 crystalao 87 7 71 21 89 5 86 6 83 13 416 0.514
9 6 mildnhazy 69 23 87 6 84 7 84 7 89 2 413 0.510
10 4 brianjw 86 9 72 20 79 12 83 9 87 5 407 0.502
11 9 wink0094 76 16 83 11 77 16 84 7 85 9 405 0.500
11 23 mdc2276 90 5 77 15 75 19 77 18 86 8 405 0.500
13 15 redcped 70 21 86 7 88 6 72 22 82 14 398 0.491
14 14 dougpalm 83 12 78 13 79 12 77 18 75 19 392 0.484
14 16 Donburgh 77 15 79 12 69 24 80 14 87 5 392 0.484
14 18 newarkwilder 85 10 77 15 75 19 80 14 75 19 392 0.484
17 19 Jdh34 87 7 74 18 76 18 78 17 72 21 387 0.478
18 11 buddhagamer 75 17 76 17 74 22 82 12 79 15 386 0.477
18 12 jbohrman 79 13 78 13 82 8 79 16 68 22 386 0.477
18 20 magicdreamer 70 21 71 21 81 9 77 18 87 5 386 0.477
21 17 Humdogs 73 19 74 18 77 16 83 9 78 18 385 0.475
22 22 odalisgagne 79 13 66 24 75 19 72 22 79 15 371 0.458
23 24 ejstockman 75 17 94 2 70 23 64 24 67 23 370 0.457
24 21 mpitt76 71 20 70 23 78 14 77 18 65 24 361 0.446
2/5/2019 6:13 PM
ozomatli
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Rank Owner Stdev Stdev Rank Team Ranks
Round 2 Overall 70M 90M 100M 110M 130M 140M Total 70M 90M 100M 110M 130M 140M Best Worst Avg
1 1 ozomatli 1.79 1.83 1.42 0.87 0.55 1.47 2.25 4 3 10 28 43 9 3 43 16
2 2 jmissirlis 1.13 0.61 1.69 0.87 1.41 1.00 1.91 18 39 5 28 12 22 5 39 21
3 7 justinlee_24 0.99 1.96 1.02 0.87 -0.43 0.18 1.24 24 1 21 28 103 64 1 103 40
4 13 dippedncrack / schwarze 0.60 1.96 -0.34 1.19 0.80 -0.06 1.13 40 1 100 16 32 78 1 100 45
5 3 jfranco77 1.13 0.74 0.34 -0.08 1.16 0.41 1.09 18 33 53 85 17 49 17 85 43
6 5 discodemo 1.26 0.74 -1.42 1.03 -0.06 0.65 0.60 15 33 130 20 80 38 15 130 53
7 10 rbow923 0.07 -0.20 0.20 1.51 0.06 0.41 0.53 72 94 59 8 76 49 8 94 60
8 8 crystalao 0.33 -1.29 1.42 0.08 0.67 0.18 0.41 55 127 10 67 37 64 10 127 60
9 6 mildnhazy 0.20 -0.47 -0.20 -0.08 0.43 1.00 0.30 61 106 90 85 48 22 22 106 69
10 4 brianjw 0.60 0.34 -1.29 0.08 0.18 0.29 0.08 40 52 125 67 63 56 40 125 67
11 9 wink0094 -2.05 0.20 0.88 -0.71 0.92 0.53 0.00 141 58 27 113 25 45 25 141 68
11 23 mdc2276 -1.13 -0.34 -0.20 -0.24 1.53 0.18 0.00 119 101 90 96 7 64 7 119 80
13 15 redcped 0.60 -1.29 -0.47 -0.40 1.29 -0.76 -0.26 40 127 105 102 14 116 14 127 84
14 14 dougpalm 0.07 -0.07 0.07 -1.19 -0.55 -0.18 -0.49 72 82 71 124 108 87 71 124 91
14 16 Donburgh 0.20 0.07 -1.02 0.71 0.55 -1.94 -0.49 61 70 117 36 43 139 36 139 78
14 18 newarkwilder 0.07 -1.42 1.56 -1.51 -0.43 -0.18 -0.49 72 132 6 134 103 87 6 134 89
17 19 Jdh34 -1.13 0.74 -0.20 -0.24 -1.41 -0.06 -0.68 119 33 90 96 129 78 33 129 91
18 11 buddhagamer -2.19 -1.02 0.34 1.35 -1.16 0.41 -0.71 142 118 53 13 122 49 13 142 83
18 12 jbohrman -1.13 -0.07 0.47 0.08 -2.02 0.29 -0.71 119 82 47 67 140 56 47 140 85
18 20 magicdreamer 0.07 -1.42 -1.29 -0.56 -0.06 0.53 -0.71 72 132 125 110 80 45 45 132 94
21 17 Humdogs -0.33 -0.07 -1.42 -2.30 0.06 0.88 -0.75 98 82 130 143 76 26 26 143 93
22 22 odalisgagne -0.33 -0.20 -1.56 -0.71 -1.16 -0.53 -1.28 98 94 136 113 122 107 94 136 112
23 24 ejstockman -0.60 -0.74 -0.20 0.87 -0.55 -2.88 -1.31 111 115 90 28 108 144 28 144 99
24 21 mpitt76 -0.20 -0.61 0.20 -1.51 -1.78 -1.82 -1.65 89 112 59 134 137 138 59 138 112
2/5/2019 6:14 PM
ozomatli
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Despite the fact that I currently have 4 of the top 10 teams in the tournament, I could lose out on winning with a weak playoff performance. jmissirlis is going to make me earn the win
2/5/2019 6:15 PM
ozomatli
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Also -- mdc's 90M team has clearly not benefitted from having a few illegal players. I have been thinking that the penalty he suggested and that was then imposed may have been too harsh.
2/5/2019 6:17 PM
jmissirlis
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Posted by ozomatli on 2/5/2019 6:15:00 PM (view original):
Despite the fact that I currently have 4 of the top 10 teams in the tournament, I could lose out on winning with a weak playoff performance. jmissirlis is going to make me earn the win
Especially after you impose the 50 point commissioner penalty to your final points;)
2/7/2019 5:56 PM
ozomatli
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I think you jinxed me. Just had my first Mauch of the tournament
2/8/2019 1:19 AM
ozomatli
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jmissirlis has closed the gap and now leads in Round 2 points, with me holding an overall lead from Round 1. Despite leading the entire time, my teams are predictably tanking down the stretch. This is going to, maddeningly, come down to the playoffs.
2/9/2019 9:57 PM
ozomatli
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I think the fix is in. Ever since jmissirlis posted that, I'm under .500 for the first time all tournament and he's on his best pace
2/11/2019 1:32 AM
ozomatli
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8 games left
Round 1 Rank Round 2 Rank Overall Rank Owner Round 2 Season Proj. Playoffs Round 1 Total Penalty Total
70M 90M 100M 110M 130M 140M Wins Win% Last Cycle
1 1 1 ozomatli 89 91 87 82 83 89 521 0.564 4-2 5 696 869
4 2 2 jmissirlis 87 84 88 81 88 92 520 0.563 2-4 6 657 848.5
3 4 3 jfranco77 87 84 81 75 86 84 497 0.538 2-4 4.5 664 829
2 11 4 brianjw 85 77 68 83 78 77 468 0.506 3-3 3 693 814.5
5 8 5 mildnhazy 79 73 75 77 84 87 475 0.514 5-1 2.5 651 800.5
12 3 6 justinlee_24 84 91 89 83 74 80 501 0.542 4-2 4 592 797
10 6 7 crystalao 81 69 87 82 85 80 484 0.524 4-2 2.5 621 794.5
8 8 8 discodemo 87 83 67 82 72 84 475 0.514 2-4 2.5 637 793.5
9 10 9 wink0094 62 79 86 73 89 83 472 0.511 2-4 2 630 787
13 7 10 rbow923 79 74 77 88 81 80 479 0.518 2-4 1.5 585 771.5
19 5 11 dippedncrack / schwarze 82 93 76 84 83 77 495 0.536 3-3 1.5 548 769
7 17 12 jbohrman 65 75 80 76 61 80 437 0.473 3-3 0.5 648 761
6 19 13 buddhagamer 62 67 76 84 68 79 436 0.472 3-3 0.5 649 760.5
11 14 14 dougpalm 81 71 79 72 69 76 448 0.485 3-3 0 595 745.5
16 13 15 redcped 85 68 74 74 90 70 461 0.499 4-2 2 559 740.5
23 15 16 newarkwilder 76 65 90 68 69 75 443 0.479 2-4 1 541 713.5
17 16 16 Donburgh 76 78 64 81 82 57 438 0.474 3-3 2 551 713.5
15 21 18 Humdogs 71 77 67 57 75 84 431 0.466 2-4 1 564 713
20 17 19 magicdreamer 75 69 66 74 75 78 437 0.473 3-3 0 547 710.5
21 19 20 Jdh34 68 84 72 76 62 74 436 0.472 4-2 1 546 709
18 23 21 odalisgagne 76 78 65 69 67 73 428 0.463 3-3 1 551 703.5
14 24 22 mpitt76 74 72 79 67 60 58 410 0.444 2-4 1 583 701.5
22 12 23 mdc2276 65 72 79 76 94 79 465 0.503 3-3 2 545 37 700
25 21 24 ejstockman 72 74 76 84 73 52 431 0.466 4-2 1 535 698.5
2/12/2019 1:24 AM
ozomatli
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Glad to see that I have underperformed by 28 games. Hopefully that doesn't come back to bite us

Owner Expected Win % Exp. Round 2 Rank Actual Win % Win % Delta
ozomatli 0.594 1 0.564 -0.030
discodemo 0.538 6 0.514 -0.024
crystalao 0.543 4 0.524 -0.019
jbohrman 0.490 15 0.473 -0.017
buddhagamer 0.488 16 0.472 -0.016
jfranco77 0.554 3 0.538 -0.016
brianjw 0.521 10 0.506 -0.015
mildnhazy 0.528 9 0.514 -0.014
rbow923 0.531 8 0.518 -0.013
mdc2276 0.515 11 0.503 -0.012
odalisgagne 0.472 18 0.463 -0.009
dippedncrack / schwarze 0.543 4 0.536 -0.007
dougpalm 0.491 14 0.485 -0.006
magicdreamer 0.477 17 0.473 -0.004
jmissirlis 0.563 2 0.563 0.000
redcped 0.496 13 0.499 0.003
justinlee_24 0.537 7 0.542 0.005
ejstockman 0.461 20 0.466 0.005
Jdh34 0.462 19 0.472 0.010
wink0094 0.498 12 0.511 0.013
Donburgh 0.451 21 0.474 0.023
Humdogs 0.435 22 0.466 0.031
mpitt76 0.404 24 0.444 0.040
newarkwilder 0.419 23 0.479 0.060
2/12/2019 1:37 AM
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Round 2 Standings, 2018 Topic
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