Round 1 Standings, 2019 Topic

I'm 51-58 (.468) in 1-run games, 213-152 (.584) in others. If you remove my overachieving $70M team it's even more pronounced: .413 vs. .564.

I fully expect my $70M team to regress to the mean in the second half, but it would be nice if that were combined with some progression to the mean in 1-run games for my other teams.
9/9/2019 11:08 AM
So out of boredom I ran my 1 run vs non 1 run numbers and its actually amusing to me

Total Win % .5675
1 run Win % .5646
Non 1 run Win % .5688

9/9/2019 12:24 PM
Today the stars finally aligned for my first ever schwarze. Woo hoo!
9/9/2019 3:18 PM
Posted by daddyzander on 9/9/2019 12:24:00 PM (view original):
So out of boredom I ran my 1 run vs non 1 run numbers and its actually amusing to me

Total Win % .5675
1 run Win % .5646
Non 1 run Win % .5688

This is actually rare. The correlation coefficient comparing win% in 2+ run games is much higher than in 1-run games.
9/9/2019 4:28 PM
There must be a mistake. I'm not supposed to be here...not way up here anyway... ;)
9/9/2019 5:58 PM
Well done, Doc!
9/9/2019 7:17 PM
Still waiting for nordawg and Jtpsops to send me the Advanced Standings from their leagues, but here are the standings at the halfway mark:

Pre Rank Rank Owner Season
70M 90M 110M 120M 130M Var Wins Win% Last Cycle
4 1 schwarze 50 54 50 43 47 49 293 0.603 5-1
9 2 mensu1954 48 45 48 59 45 46 291 0.599 3-3
12 3 jbohrman 45 50 43 51 44 53 286 0.588 5-1
7 4 jmissirlis 50 50 50 47 47 41 285 0.586 3-3
54 5 NebHusker 50 52 45 42 46 47 282 0.580 3-3
20 6 contrarian23 48 51 46 41 45 45 276 0.568 1-5
31 6 redcped 56 48 43 44 38 47 276 0.568 2-4
39 6 calhoop 48 45 42 54 43 44 276 0.568 3-3
78 9 daddyzander 51 37 50 39 52 46 275 0.566 4-2
15 10 milest 49 40 48 45 47 45 274 0.564 3-3
74 10 Jtpsops 51 52 42 46 42 41 274 0.564 3-3
46 12 Humdogs 44 46 49 42 49 43 273 0.562 4-2
52 12 DoctorKz 46 47 51 42 44 43 273 0.562 3-3
13 14 jfranco77 43 49 44 45 51 40 272 0.560 4-2
19 14 justinlee_24 36 46 49 57 36 48 272 0.560 3-3
38 14 odalisgagne 43 43 46 42 51 47 272 0.560 5-1
1 17 brianjw 42 40 42 57 52 38 271 0.558 4-2
18 17 barracuda3 56 47 47 40 37 44 271 0.558 3-3
30 19 mjkrunner 39 47 47 51 47 38 269 0.553 3-3
51 19 BigScungil 54 47 44 36 38 50 269 0.553 3-3
2 21 discodemo 48 44 46 47 30 52 267 0.549 4-2
10 21 doctorcc 43 48 44 42 46 44 267 0.549 3-3
42 21 tigerrott 44 46 51 42 44 40 267 0.549 2-4
47 21 ledfoot 49 49 44 51 33 41 267 0.549 5-1
6 25 mildnhazy 45 44 48 49 43 37 266 0.547 1-5
14 26 dougpalm 51 43 33 45 52 41 265 0.545 3-3
36 26 CLWECW 42 47 43 41 46 46 265 0.545 3-3
25 28 newarkwilder 49 36 47 46 44 41 263 0.541 4-2
3 29 ozomatli 41 46 43 47 32 53 262 0.539 6-0
22 30 sford 46 38 40 49 50 38 261 0.537 3-3
24 31 wink0094 47 42 47 40 40 44 260 0.535 4-2
34 31 ejstockman 39 40 52 39 45 45 260 0.535 6-0
53 33 marinerrott 39 41 46 45 44 44 259 0.533 3-3
5 34 rbow923 42 48 40 37 45 46 258 0.531 4-2
8 35 skunk206 32 52 41 40 51 41 257 0.529 3-3
26 35 dippedncrack 40 36 41 47 51 42 257 0.529 3-3
16 37 buddhagamer 37 38 39 44 48 49 255 0.525 3-3
49 37 thehuseman 42 46 40 45 42 40 255 0.525 3-3
60 39 jetscanes 48 34 51 40 46 35 254 0.523 4-2
61 39 dahsdebater 43 37 43 46 42 43 254 0.523 2-4
55 41 thunder1008 45 39 48 38 40 43 253 0.521 3-3
59 41 The Taint 35 39 42 44 41 52 253 0.521 2-4
11 43 redwingscup 33 50 42 40 51 36 252 0.519 3-3
41 43 firesalt 43 48 46 37 46 32 252 0.519 3-3
58 43 beauchamp 44 45 36 42 44 41 252 0.519 3-3
37 46 mllama54 47 38 45 38 39 44 251 0.516 5-1
44 46 Jdh34 43 47 39 43 42 37 251 0.516 2-4
66 46 winnetka1 37 50 40 40 43 41 251 0.516 3-3
79 46 trd3 39 50 35 38 51 38 251 0.516 4-2
35 50 Fusion27s 43 33 40 56 43 35 250 0.514 3-3
87 50 npg32433 46 43 37 41 39 44 250 0.514 3-3
86 52 hurst47 47 37 35 44 42 42 247 0.508 2-4
50 53 mick33 36 48 41 37 33 51 246 0.506 5-1
23 54 skinndogg 42 46 36 43 36 42 245 0.504 4-2
29 55 mpitt76 43 41 41 48 37 34 244 0.502 4-2
63 55 vilefileman 37 36 43 42 43 43 244 0.502 3-3
21 57 Relkcirts 35 35 52 42 40 39 243 0.500 3-3
67 57 ballsweatsux 40 35 43 42 39 44 243 0.500 4-2
93 57 deathdealer 36 46 40 32 43 46 243 0.500 1-5
69 60 mickr9 39 43 31 35 49 45 242 0.498 2-4
72 61 tab316us 38 38 38 45 41 40 240 0.494 4-2
76 62 DarthDurron 40 37 51 39 37 35 239 0.492 2-4
32 63 donaldjtrump 46 43 36 41 32 40 238 0.490 1-5
73 63 toddcommish 44 41 37 33 43 40 238 0.490 4-2
91 63 midknight 48 32 47 45 32 34 238 0.490 3-3
57 66 sjh0825 35 34 44 46 36 42 237 0.488 2-4
28 67 markeking 43 35 33 42 38 45 236 0.486 3-3
48 67 frank_drebin 42 42 38 38 44 32 236 0.486 4-2
33 69 magicdreamer 41 38 40 41 35 39 234 0.481 2-4
84 69 thebubbaq 40 41 35 40 44 34 234 0.481 2-4
75 71 bheid408 38 42 36 37 38 40 231 0.475 3-3
70 72 moses_k 32 41 36 36 42 42 229 0.471 1-5
64 73 Chisock 40 35 39 33 44 37 228 0.469 3-3
80 73 razorclams 38 32 43 35 40 40 228 0.469 3-3
92 75 loyalcanuck 36 34 32 44 36 45 227 0.467 2-4
40 76 stlbombers 36 32 40 35 40 43 226 0.465 3-3
43 77 cubbies84 43 38 34 36 37 37 225 0.463 3-3
45 78 gwhouse 44 32 34 34 42 37 223 0.459 5-1
88 79 Pebo 41 35 33 48 34 31 222 0.457 3-3
17 80 crystalao 40 39 35 42 30 33 219 0.451 4-2
65 81 marvin_katko 34 32 37 32 41 41 217 0.447 4-2
82 82 nordawg 35 37 37 31 38 36 214 0.440 3-3
71 83 northof49 19 32 41 37 39 45 213 0.438 2-4
83 83 gigrant 35 30 37 34 32 45 213 0.438 1-5
77 85 greenies 24 32 38 39 45 40 218 0.449 1-5
81 86 zlionsfan 38 29 32 40 28 42 209 0.430 3-3
68 87 big_dowg 35 27 39 38 28 39 206 0.424 3-3
62 88 tajohn 29 33 35 39 32 37 205 0.422 1-5
27 89 batandball 36 31 32 31 40 31 201 0.414 4-2
94 90 doctorwoo 28 32 30 26 43 40 199 0.409 3-3
89 91 garmansouth 40 30 29 23 27 37 186 0.383 1-5
56 92 clayolson1 9 35 33 27 31 31 166 0.342 1-5
96 93 sohio4ever 25 31 22 24 27 28 157 0.323 1-5
95 94 spoonfed 25 37 26 23 22 21 154 0.317 0-6
90 95 tridentric 17 31 16 15 19 19 117 0.241 3-3
85 96 jrnyfan01 28 28 26 12 15 4 113 0.233 2-4
9/9/2019 9:28 PM
What a stretch by schwarze, and what a reversal of fortune for NebHusker
Pre Rank Rank Owner 1st 162 Games 2nd 162 Games 3rd 162 Games Total
Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank Wins Rank
4 1 schwarze 89 22 96 5 108 1 293 1
9 2 mensu1954 94 7 99 3 98 5 291 2
12 3 jbohrman 96 4 89 21 101 3 286 3
7 4 jmissirlis 94 7 98 4 93 15 285 4
54 5 NebHusker 103 1 102 1 77 67 282 5
20 6 contrarian23 102 3 89 21 85 34 276 6
31 6 redcped 89 22 89 21 98 5 276 6
39 6 calhoop 95 5 90 18 91 19 276 6
78 9 daddyzander 87 26 84 48 104 2 275 9
15 10 milest 103 1 87 33 84 40 274 10
74 10 Jtpsops 89 22 100 2 85 34 274 10
46 12 Humdogs 87 26 85 43 101 3 273 12
52 12 DoctorKz 86 33 91 14 96 8 273 12
13 14 jfranco77 94 7 90 18 88 26 272 14
19 14 justinlee_24 87 26 88 28 97 7 272 14
38 14 odalisgagne 91 16 92 11 89 24 272 14
1 17 brianjw 86 33 92 11 93 15 271 17
18 17 barracuda3 85 40 91 14 95 12 271 17
30 19 mjkrunner 91 16 90 18 88 26 269 19
51 19 BigScungil 80 55 93 9 96 8 269 19
2 21 discodemo 95 5 89 21 83 42 267 21
10 21 doctorcc 87 26 84 48 96 8 267 21
42 21 tigerrott 94 7 83 50 90 22 267 21
47 21 ledfoot 92 14 94 7 81 48 267 21
6 25 mildnhazy 94 7 93 9 79 60 266 25
14 26 dougpalm 86 33 87 33 92 18 265 26
36 26 CLWECW 83 45 91 14 91 19 265 26
25 28 newarkwilder 94 7 89 21 80 53 263 28
3 29 ozomatli 86 33 81 54 95 12 262 29
22 30 sford 86 33 85 43 90 22 261 30
24 31 wink0094 87 26 85 43 88 26 260 31
34 31 ejstockman 88 25 76 68 96 8 260 31
53 33 marinerrott 90 19 76 68 93 15 259 33
5 34 rbow923 86 33 87 33 85 34 258 34
8 35 skunk206 90 19 87 33 80 53 257 35
26 35 dippedncrack 82 48 91 14 84 40 257 35
16 37 buddhagamer 84 43 85 43 86 32 255 37
49 37 thehuseman 81 51 88 28 86 32 255 37
60 39 jetscanes 86 33 85 43 83 42 254 39
61 39 dahsdebater 78 60 82 51 94 14 254 39
55 41 thunder1008 82 48 95 6 76 74 253 41
59 41 The Taint 90 19 89 21 74 79 253 41
11 43 redwingscup 81 51 92 11 79 60 252 43
41 43 firesalt 85 40 86 37 81 48 252 43
58 43 beauchamp 75 72 86 37 91 19 252 43
37 46 mllama54 85 40 81 54 85 34 251 46
44 46 Jdh34 87 26 86 37 78 65 251 46
66 46 winnetka1 77 66 94 7 80 53 251 46
79 46 trd3 77 66 86 37 88 26 251 46
35 50 Fusion27s 80 55 89 21 81 48 250 50
87 50 npg32433 93 13 80 58 77 67 250 50
86 52 hurst47 87 26 77 64 83 42 247 52
50 53 mick33 82 48 75 73 89 24 246 53
23 54 skinndogg 84 43 78 61 83 42 245 54
29 55 mpitt76 79 58 88 28 77 67 244 55
63 55 vilefileman 76 69 88 28 80 53 244 55
21 57 Relkcirts 76 69 82 51 85 34 243 57
67 57 ballsweatsux 70 82 88 28 85 34 243 57
93 57 deathdealer 92 14 73 79 78 65 243 57
69 60 mickr9 91 16 71 81 80 53 242 60
72 61 tab316us 79 58 82 51 79 60 240 61
76 62 DarthDurron 74 73 86 37 79 60 239 62
32 63 donaldjtrump 77 66 81 54 80 53 238 63
73 63 toddcommish 80 55 81 54 77 67 238 63
91 63 midknight 81 51 75 73 82 46 238 63
57 66 sjh0825 81 51 69 83 87 30 237 66
28 67 markeking 83 45 80 58 73 82 236 67
48 67 frank_drebin 71 80 78 61 87 30 236 67
33 69 magicdreamer 73 75 80 58 81 48 234 69
84 69 thebubbaq 83 45 74 75 77 67 234 69
75 71 bheid408 78 60 86 37 67 86 231 71
70 72 moses_k 78 60 76 68 75 77 229 72
64 73 Chisock 74 73 77 64 77 67 228 73
80 73 razorclams 78 60 74 75 76 74 228 73
92 75 loyalcanuck 71 80 74 75 82 46 227 75
40 76 stlbombers 69 83 77 64 80 53 226 76
43 77 cubbies84 78 60 73 79 74 79 225 77
45 78 gwhouse 73 75 69 83 81 48 223 78
88 79 Pebo 65 88 78 61 79 60 222 79
17 80 crystalao 78 60 67 89 74 79 219 80
65 81 marvin_katko 73 75 68 86 76 74 217 82
82 82 nordawg 69 83 68 86 77 67 214 83
71 83 northof49 76 69 76 68 61 89 213 84
83 83 gigrant 69 83 76 68 68 85 213 84
77 85 greenies 68 86 77 64 73 82 218 81
81 86 zlionsfan 72 78 71 81 66 87 209 86
68 87 big_dowg 62 91 69 83 75 77 206 87
62 88 tajohn 64 89 68 86 73 82 205 88
27 89 batandball 66 87 74 75 61 89 201 89
94 90 doctorwoo 72 78 67 89 60 91 199 90
89 91 garmansouth 58 92 63 91 65 88 186 91
56 92 clayolson1 63 90 58 92 45 94 166 92
96 93 sohio4ever 54 94 54 93 49 93 157 93
95 94 spoonfed 53 95 41 94 60 91 154 94
90 95 tridentric 49 96 38 95 30 95 117 95
85 96 jrnyfan01 58 92 34 96 21 96 113 96
9/9/2019 9:29 PM
Got the Advanced Standings. Will finish compiling later tonight
9/9/2019 10:31 PM
Tough field. I've got 5 playoff teams at the moment and I'm tied for 21st, right on the bubble of making the cage. Jeez.
9/9/2019 10:46 PM
Posted by ozomatli on 9/9/2019 10:31:00 PM (view original):
Got the Advanced Standings. Will finish compiling later tonight
Sent mine. Though it sounds like you may have gone ahead and pulled them yourself.
9/10/2019 12:07 AM (edited)
As I'm sure jmissirlis will agree, everyone should have predicted I'd have one of the top teams in the low-cap league. If I keep this up, it will be "redcped's revenge" indeed.
9/10/2019 12:33 AM
First schwarze this am, but teams are fading now...
9/10/2019 9:52 AM
108 wins in a 162 game stretch is amazing
9/10/2019 10:00 AM
Impressive that 4 owners compiled 100+ wins in the most recent 162 game stretch.
9/10/2019 1:06 PM
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Round 1 Standings, 2019 Topic

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