Posted by Weena on 1/14/2011 1:50:00 PM (view original):
So this formula is saying that if I recruit a PG with a 15 Reb rather that one with a 3 Reb that it increases the chances of my C getting credit for a rebound. Am I understanding this correctly?
no. it doesn't matter whether you figure the team first or the player first. the result is the same. according to what others are saying, the high REB pg is more likely to get his team a rebound because he is more likely to get one himself. if you do it the reverse and do the team first, he adds rebounds to his team, but he also takes a higher % away from his teammates. the resulting numbers are the same either way.
as an example lets take two teams of two players each, a PG and C. and here are their rebounding %s after taking into account positions and all player attributes:
team 1 [offense]: C 25%, PG 5%
team 2[defense] C 50%, PG 20%
if we figure team first team 2 has a 70% chance of gaining the rebound. then we can divvy that up amongst the 2 players to find the C's rebound %: (.7)*(.5/.7)= 50%
alternatively, we can start with player %s. team 2's C has a 50% chance and their PG has a 20% chance and thus the team has a 70% chance. the numbers are th same either way unless i am misinterpreting what you guys mean by "figuring team rebounds first"
1/14/2011 2:54 PM (edited)