Posted by MikeT23 on 2/16/2011 8:33:00 AM (view original):
Speed coupled with contact can produce a lot of infield hits. I don't think it's wise to discount it.
Mike, I'm almost certain, after looking at this several times, that infield hits are a "flavor" of hit rather than an actual event where speed makes an out into a hit. That is, the sim decides the guy has gotten a hit, and then if he's fast it's more likely to be reported as an infield hit.
That's obviously different from real life and I was surprised, so I tried to confirm it several ways... the simplest was to take several pairs of guys, one with lots of infield hits and the other with none, but similar blue ratings, and compare their BAs. After adjusting for park, and if they had enough big league ABs to compare, I found the BAs to be nearly identical for all pairs. No advantage for the guy with all the infield hits.
Bunt hits I think are similar... there are guys with about 10-15 bunt hits on teams with 0-5 sacrifices, suggesting that it comes not from a "super-successful" sac attempt, but from a hit being labeled a bunt hit by virtue of speed.