just an interesting observation that i havent seen in my amount of time playing but the D3 Allen playoffs are following the seeding extremely close.
in the first round, higher seeded teams were 26-6.  The higher seeds to win were 9,10,11,10,12, and 9.  No big seeds getting through.
2nd round showed the higher seed going 14-2, with a 6 and a 5 making it through.
Sweet 16 had the higher seeds go 8-0, which leaves us with all 1 v 2 matchups in the regional finals.

sometimes it seemed like there were some odd upsets, but this is going the other way. anyone seen this before? or did they tweek something?

A few months ago, they reduced the variance.  This made upsets more difficult to obtain, although they still happen alot.

I see some brackets completely full of upsets and others that are almost complete chalk. One bracket doesn't tell a story.

The Allen DI bracket is the usual suspects. 

there was a 16th seed going to the elite 8 in rupp D3.

I also remember seeing a 16th seed miami going to either elite 8 or final 4 in d1 last season. 

the reduction of variance thing is ******* retarded. i win too much nnow. im not even kidding, it was the worst thing to ever happen to this game, there is no variance. 

If that were true my career-long Sweet 16 drought would definitely NOT still be going on.

Posted by aejones on 4/28/2011 1:56:00 AM (view original):
the reduction of variance thing is ******* retarded. i win too much nnow. im not even kidding, it was the worst thing to ever happen to this game, there is no variance. 

It's not too bad.  I've  split games with several teams on my schedule.   I  upset the undefeated #1 team, ending their 25-game winning streak. I also lost to them twice this season.
Before the change, a team could win by 20 and lose by 30 to the same oponent, using the same settings.

D3 Smith just did the first round -- only upset was a 9 seed beating an 8 seed. Every other bracket goes 1-8, 4-5, 3-6, 2-7.  As a six seed, I am much less optimistic about my Sweet Sixteen chances ....

Posted by aejones on 4/28/2011 1:56:00 AM (view original):
the reduction of variance thing is ******* retarded. i win too much nnow. im not even kidding, it was the worst thing to ever happen to this game, there is no variance. 

I don't think more variance and more upsets is a good thing. GD implemented the new engine with "more variance and realistic results." The result was complete  disaster as teams rated 550-600 were losing to long time simai teams rated around 450. If anything, we know that WIS tends to take things to the extreme so if they do implement a more variance modification, we are going to see the top teams in every world go .500 and miss the NT. 

Posted by grimacedance on 4/28/2011 10:54:00 AM (view original):
D3 Smith just did the first round -- only upset was a 9 seed beating an 8 seed. Every other bracket goes 1-8, 4-5, 3-6, 2-7.  As a six seed, I am much less optimistic about my Sweet Sixteen chances ....

I just noticed this too... crazy!

Posted by aejones on 4/28/2011 1:56:00 AM (view original):
the reduction of variance thing is ******* retarded. i win too much nnow. im not even kidding, it was the worst thing to ever happen to this game, there is no variance. 

Having gone 28-1 and lost in the 1st round of the NT to a #16 seed last season I can assure you that "variances" still exist

I lost to a #16 seed, too

Posted by alblack56 on 4/28/2011 5:40:00 AM (view original):

Posted by aejones on 4/28/2011 1:56:00 AM (view original):
the reduction of variance thing is ******* retarded. i win too much nnow. im not even kidding, it was the worst thing to ever happen to this game, there is no variance. 

It's not too bad.  I've  split games with several teams on my schedule.   I  upset the undefeated #1 team, ending their 25-game winning streak. I also lost to them twice this season.
Before the change, a team could win by 20 and lose by 30 to the same oponent, using the same settings.

Agreed, al. The swings before were totally ridiculous.