[Note that I updated my original post in which I messed up some of the math]
The numbers give a different answer than most people would probably guess.
Ozzie's average line is .294/.345/.381
Hojo's average line is .303/.374/.511
Ozzie is +21 outs and +40 bases over average on defense
Hojo is -7 outs and -18 bases over (under) average on defense
Factoring defense,
Ozzie's equivalent line is .313/.396/.459
Hojo's equivalent line is .292/.365/.482
However there are a couple of caveats:
(1) Behind a stud pitcher, especially the low K kind, Ozzie will become more valuable while Hojo will lose value
(2) Facing a stud pitcher, especially the low HR/9 kind, Hojo loses value relative to Ozzie.
(3) Obviously park HR factor is huge.
(4) Ozzie's defense over Hojo is also worth ~$93K of pitching
Perhaps it depends on what kind of team you are fiedling, but unless you are taking great advantage of Hojo's homerun's, Ozzie is flat out the better regular season player (.854 compared to .847 equilalent ops). When you factor in the trouble Hojo may cause you in the post-season, the numbers show Ozzie is a clearly better choice.
7/17/2011 2:05 AM (edited)