Here is the cumulative W-L record by Draft pick. There is a slight advantage to picking early, but as you can see from the table below, teams picking as late as 9th (out of 12) are cumulatively over .500. Check out thejuice6's last pick in League 7 AL, 39-23!
.

Pick#	WIN	LOSS	WIN%	Best Team	Owner	League	W-L
-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------------------------------------------------	--------------------	---------------	-----------
1	536	456	0.540	2019 HOU/NYY/MIN	toysboys	LG08AL	46-16
2	532	460	0.536	2001 Mariners A's Yankees	contrarian23	LG07AL	41-21
3	539	453	0.543	1993 Barry's Braves-Giants-Phils	redcped	LG07NL	46-16
4	504	488	0.508	1930 A's/Senators/Yankees	loyalcanuck	LG03AL	40-22
5	516	476	0.520	1909 Tigers Athletics Americans	thejuice6	LG01AL	39-23
6	475	517	0.479	1977 Dodgers Pirates Phillies	thejuice6	LG06NL	40-22
7	490	502	0.494	1919 White Socked Yankee Native American	harrelson	LG02AL	40-22
8	487	505	0.491	1967 Tigers Twins Red Sox	thejuice6	LG05AL	37-25
9	504	488	0.508	1906 CHC/NYG/PIT	toysboys	LG01NL	44-18
10	456	536	0.460	1951 Yanks/Sox/Indians	firesalt	LG04AL	38-24
11	468	524	0.472	1949 Yankees Indians Red Sox	thejuice6	LG04AL	35-27
12	445	547	0.449	1995 Yankees Indians Red Sox	thejuice6	LG07AL	39-23

Thru 62 games, 28 wins (.451) would get you into round 4. That's a 73-win pace.

juice is just crushing this round apparently

Thanks for posting the data; I did have a small concern that the absence of any FAs in this round might skew the results a little more, but honestly, this round is pretty ridiculously competitive so far.

I agree, and having an early pick guarantees nothing... Case in point...
.
I had first pick in League 4 NL
1953 Dodgers Braves Phillies 28-34

I had second pick in League 6 NL
1975 Reds Pirates Dodgers 31-31

I had fourth pick in League 7 NL
2002 Braves D'backs Cardinals 27-35

Quote post by contrarian23 on 9/28/2020 5:09:00 PM:
"juice is just crushing this round apparently"



...said noone ever until now.

Yeah, a few of my teams are really playing out of their heads. Cue the jinx right about.......NOW!

Thru 80 games, a record of 36-44 would be enough to get you into Round 4 - a 73-win pace.

The following update is thru 156 games. Note that for purposes of Round 4 calculations, I used 72-84 as the cutoff. (142 teams have 72+ wins, so if the season ended today, there would be two additional 71-win teams to get in - I didn't want to deal with the tie-breaker for this update). That means teams will probably need 74 total wins to clinch a round 4 spot (73 wins will probably need the tie-breaker).

Overall record by owner...
.

Owner	Teams	Wins	Losses	Win%	Division	Wildcard	Playoff	Rd 4
-----------------------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------
njbigwig	1	88	68	0.564	1	0.0	1.0	1
redcped	7	615	477	0.563	4	0.0	4.0	7
spinaldog	1	87	69	0.558	0	1.0	1.0	1
toysboys	8	688	560	0.551	5	1.0	6.0	7
pedrocerrano	6	515	421	0.550	3	2.0	5.0	6
schwarze	13	1115	913	0.550	6	1.0	7.0	12
ybjsports	2	171	141	0.548	1	1.0	2.0	2
SteveIzzy	3	254	214	0.543	0	1.0	1.0	3
firesalt	2	163	149	0.522	0.5	0.0	0.5	2
harrelson	2	163	149	0.522	0	2.0	2.0	2
contrarian23	20	1622	1498	0.520	7.5	0.0	7.5	18
coachgreat1	3	240	228	0.513	0.5	0.0	0.5	2
kstober	11	873	843	0.509	3	3.0	6.0	8
winterhawk	1	79	77	0.506	0	0.0	0.0	1
cardinaldave	1	79	77	0.506	0	0.0	0.0	1
loyalcanuck	6	474	462	0.506	2	0.0	2.0	5
thejuice6	14	1097	1087	0.502	6	1.0	7.0	10
Chisock	9	701	703	0.499	0	2.0	2.0	8
Jtpsops	3	232	236	0.496	2	0.0	2.0	2
DarthDurron	9	688	716	0.490	1	0.0	1.0	7
jetscanes	2	152	160	0.487	0	0.0	0.0	1
nocomm999	5	379	401	0.486	2	0.0	2.0	4
thebubbaq	3	225	243	0.481	0	0.0	0.0	2
specsman	2	149	163	0.478	0	0.0	0.0	1
calhoop	7	521	571	0.477	1	0.3	1.3	3
ff09	2	148	164	0.474	0	0.3	0.3	1
SAKABAKBRG	2	147	165	0.471	0	0.0	0.0	1
joerat1	3	220	248	0.470	1	0.0	1.0	1
markeking	2	146	166	0.468	0	0.0	0.0	2
Relkcirts	5	364	416	0.467	0	0.0	0.0	3
mllama54	4	291	333	0.466	0	0.3	0.3	3
dspahlinger	3	218	250	0.466	0	0.0	0.0	2
urband	6	435	501	0.465	0	0.0	0.0	5
hoopsrus	3	214	254	0.457	0	0.0	0.0	1
darny10	4	283	341	0.454	0.5	0.0	0.5	1
rswift30	3	206	262	0.440	0	0.0	0.0	1
beirnej1	2	137	175	0.439	0	0.0	0.0	1
3dayrotation	10	674	886	0.432	1	0.0	1.0	4
jrig21	1	63	93	0.404	0	0.0	0.0	0
midknight	1	60	96	0.385	0	0.0	0.0	0

Cumulative record by draft pick...
.

Pick#	WIN	LOSS	WIN%	Best Team	Owner	League	W-L
-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------------------------------------------------	--------------------	---------------	-----------
1	1371	1125	0.549	2019 HOU/NYY/MIN	toysboys	LG08AL	100-56
2	1341	1155	0.537	2001 Mariners A's Yankees	contrarian23	LG07AL	100-56
3	1368	1128	0.548	1993 Barry's Braves-Giants-Phils	redcped	LG07NL	108-48
4	1231	1265	0.493	1930 A's/Senators/Yankees	loyalcanuck	LG03AL	89-67
5	1316	1180	0.527	1915 Red Sox Tigers White Sox	schwarze	LG02AL	102-54
6	1245	1251	0.499	1977 Dodgers Pirates Phillies	thejuice6	LG06NL	96-60
7	1219	1277	0.488	1915 PHI/BSN/BRK	toysboys	LG02NL	89-67
8	1222	1274	0.490	1967 Tigers Twins Red Sox	thejuice6	LG05AL	91-65
9	1235	1261	0.495	1906 CHC/NYG/PIT	toysboys	LG01NL	97-59
10	1134	1362	0.454	1899 Beaneaters, Superbas, Phillies	joerat1	LG01AL	90-66
11	1186	1310	0.475	1949 Yankees Indians Red Sox	thejuice6	LG04AL	89-67
12	1108	1388	0.444	1931 STL|NYG|CHC	steveizzy	LG03NL	83-73

Here are the top 12 records (not that 13th place is 2 wins behind 12th)...
.

Year	League	Owner	Pick#	Team Name	WIN	LOSS
1993	LG07NL	redcped	3	1993 Barry's Braves-Giants-Phils	108	48
1915	LG02AL	schwarze	5	1915 Red Sox Tigers White Sox	102	54
1966	LG05NL	redcped	5	1966 The Willies' Dodgers-Giants-Pirates	101	55
2001	LG07AL	contrarian23	2	2001 Mariners A's Yankees	100	56
2019	LG08AL	toysboys	1	2019 HOU/NYY/MIN	100	56
1978	LG06AL	pedrocerrano	1	1978 AL - NYY-BOS-MILW	99	57
2005	LG08NL	schwarze	2	2005 Cardinals Braves Astros	98	58
1906	LG01NL	toysboys	9	1906 CHC/NYG/PIT	97	59
1981	LG06NL	contrarian23	3	1981 Reds Dodgers Cardinals	96	60
1977	LG06NL	thejuice6	6	1977 Dodgers Pirates Phillies	96	60
1909	LG01NL	steveizzy	3	1909 PIT/CHC/NYG	95	61
1909	LG01AL	thejuice6	5	1909 Tigers Athletics Americans	94	62

Thru 162 games, this is what I have as the top 144 teams... Note that two 74-win teams miss the cut due to tie-breaker...
.

Owner	Pick#	Team Name	WIN	LOSS	Home	RunDiff
redcped	3	1993 Barry's Braves-Giants-Phils	112	50	60-21	245
schwarze	5	1915 Red Sox Tigers White Sox	107	55	50-31	335
redcped	5	1966 The Willies' Dodgers-Giants-Pirates	104	58	59-22	186
toysboys	1	2019 HOU/NYY/MIN	104	58	55-26	199
contrarian23	2	2001 Mariners A's Yankees	103	59	52-29	183
schwarze	2	2005 Cardinals Braves Astros	102	60	51-30	247
pedrocerrano	1	1978 AL - NYY-BOS-MILW	102	60	47-34	243
thejuice6	6	1977 Dodgers Pirates Phillies	100	62	55-26	126
toysboys	9	1906 CHC/NYG/PIT	100	62	49-32	171
contrarian23	3	1981 Reds Dodgers Cardinals	98	64	48-33	178
steveizzy	3	1909 PIT/CHC/NYG	97	65	48-33	152
thejuice6	5	1909 Tigers Athletics Americans	97	65	48-33	137
schwarze	3	1985 Blue Jays Yankees Royals	95	67	48-33	111
jtpsops	3	27 Giant Pirate-eating Cardinals	95	67	38-43	136
thejuice6	8	1967 Tigers Twins Red Sox	94	68	53-28	95
schwarze	3	1912 Red Sox Senators Athletics	94	68	47-34	186
kstober	1	1961 Baltimore Yankeee Tigers	94	68	46-35	128
kstober	1	1946 Boston Yankee Tigers	94	68	44-37	150
joerat1	10	1899 Beaneaters, Superbas, Phillies	93	69	48-33	66
jetscanes	1	1908 Cubs, Pirates & Giants	93	69	45-36	145
pedrocerrano	1	2017 NL - ARIZ-LAD-WASH	93	69	45-36	121
contrarian23	5	1941 Yankees Red Sox White Sox	93	69	42-39	76
contrarian23	1	1998 Braves Astros Padres	92	70	48-33	142
schwarze	8	1933 Giants Pirates Cubs	92	70	47-34	96
njbigwig	1	1994 Cleveland Yankee Sox	92	70	42-39	170
loyalcanuck	4	1930 A's/Senators/Yankees	92	70	40-41	164
thejuice6	5	1921 Giants Pirates Cardinals	92	70	40-41	138
toysboys	6	1982 MIL/BAL/CAL	91	71	48-33	62
pedrocerrano	1	1931 AL Murderer's Row II - NYY-PHL-WASH	91	71	47-34	191
spinaldog	2	99 Braves Astros DBacks	91	71	47-34	82
thejuice6	11	1949 Yankees Indians Red Sox	91	71	45-36	28
toysboys	7	1915 PHI/BSN/BRK	91	71	40-41	12
ybjsports	2	1924 NYC	91	71	39-42	88
kstober	4	2003 Boston Athletic Yankees	90	72	50-31	49
contrarian23	3	1962 Giants Dodgers Reds	90	72	48-33	193
schwarze	2	1975 Reds Pirates Dodgers	90	72	43-38	130
kstober	4	1903 Chicago Giant Pirates	90	72	41-40	115
chisock	5	2019 ATL/LAD/WSH	90	72	41-40	50
loyalcanuck	2	1963 Dodgers/Cardinals/Giants	89	73	46-35	91
contrarian23	11	2008 Cubs Phillies Brewers	89	73	45-36	61
schwarze	1	1953 Dodgers Braves Phillies	89	73	43-38	91
sakabakbrg	8	1942 BOS/NYY/STL	88	74	47-34	109
harrelson	7	1919 White Socked Yankee Native American	88	74	45-36	-19
firesalt	10	1951 Yanks/Sox/Indians	88	74	43-38	51
pedrocerrano	1	1927 AL - Murderer's Row NYY-PHL-WASH	88	74	40-41	97
redcped	1	1985 Doc's Mets-Cards-Dodgers	88	74	39-42	115
redcped	2	1920 Babe's Yankees-Indians-ChiSox	88	74	38-43	99
kstober	4	2006 New York Twin Tigers	88	74	37-44	24
schwarze	2	1901 Pirates Phillies Superbas	87	75	49-32	98
pedrocerrano	2	1969 AL - Moonshot BALT-DET-MINN	87	75	47-34	65
nocomm999	2	1956 NL: The Robinsons	87	75	47-34	57
contrarian23	1	1941 Dodgers Cardinals Reds	87	75	45-36	50
urband	8	1980 NL	87	75	44-37	-5
ybjsports	2	1937 Graham SC	87	75	42-39	104
schwarze	11	1972 Pirates Reds Astros	87	75	42-39	88
toysboys	5	1934 STL/NYG/CHC	87	75	42-39	9
contrarian23	6	1918 Cubs Giants Reds	87	75	40-41	91
toysboys	4	1974 LAD/CIN/ATL	86	76	46-35	0
schwarze	3	1964 Yankees White Sox Orioles	86	76	44-37	120
calhoop	7	Juice 8AL - 2007	86	76	44-37	102
steveizzy	12	1931 STL|NYG|CHC	86	76	44-37	70
contrarian23	3	2011 Yankees Rangers Tigers	86	76	43-38	28
coachgreat1	8	Tribe of Sox Yankers	86	76	42-39	22
nocomm999	7	Bicentennial for Phils-Reds-Bucs	86	76	41-40	82
kstober	8	1911 Cleveland Athletic Tigers	86	76	41-40	68
coachgreat1	4	Giant Cubby Cards	86	76	41-40	43
chisock	9	1969 ATL/CHC/NYM	86	76	40-41	13
kstober	3	1939 Boston Yankee Indians	86	76	39-42	115
relkcirts	3	1930 Cubs/Cardinals/Giants	86	76	39-42	45
contrarian23	6	1953 Yankees Indians White Sox	85	77	45-36	46
redcped	9	1906 Addie's Naps-Highlanders-ChiSox	85	77	43-38	97
darthdurron	5	1907 Cubs/Pirates/Phillies	85	77	43-38	-38
darthdurron	5	1956 Yanks/Indians/White Sox	85	77	42-39	102
hoopsrus	7	St. Louis Showdown (1944)	85	77	42-39	23
darthdurron	9	1934 Yanks/Tigers/Indians	85	77	41-40	-58
schwarze	2	1954 Indians Yankees White Sox	85	77	38-43	12
calhoop	7	Juice 3AL - 1943	84	78	45-36	84
mllama54	6	1973 Red Dodger Giant	84	78	45-36	-21
specsman	6	1995 Cincy Brave Dodgers	84	78	43-38	20
winterhawk	4	1948- Indians,Red Sox,Yankees	84	78	42-39	3
nocomm999	9	Y2K	84	78	41-40	-30
kstober	9	1923 New York Indian Tigers	83	79	44-37	101
urband	3	2016 NL	83	79	44-37	-30
harrelson	7	Brooklyn's Brave Cardinals '57	83	79	42-39	-40
schwarze	5	2004 Yankees Red Sox Twins	83	79	40-41	3
calhoop	10	Juice 6AL - 1980	83	79	40-41	-11
chisock	10	1921 CLE/NYY/STB	83	79	39-42	19
contrarian23	12	1982 Cardinals Braves Phillies	83	79	38-43	16
darthdurron	6	2017 Red Sox/Indians/Astros	83	79	35-46	78
3dayrotation	11	49 NL: Hall of Famers with the Bat	82	80	42-39	43
loyalcanuck	3	1957 Yankees/White Sox/Red Sox	82	80	40-41	59
darthdurron	8	1924 Yanks/Tigers/Senators	82	80	39-42	-12
cardinaldave	11	1923 Pittsinnati Giants	82	80	37-44	39
mllama54	5	1988 Twins Red Sox Athletics	82	80	37-44	15
contrarian23	12	1971 Pirates Giants Cardinals	82	80	36-45	-25
firesalt	7	1913 Big Train no Shoes	81	81	42-39	-38
darthdurron	6	1968 Tigers/Orioles/Indians	81	81	40-41	38
chisock	2	1914 BOS/PHA/WSH	81	81	40-41	-18
toysboys	10	1951 NYG/BRK/STL	81	81	38-43	19
darny10	11	1973 American	80	82	47-34	-46
loyalcanuck	7	2011 Phillies/Brewers/D-Backs	80	82	43-38	-29
redcped	10	2013 Miggy's Tigers-RedSox-A's	80	82	40-41	42
thebubbaq	6	1916 Tiger Pink Sox	80	82	39-42	-37
thejuice6	3	1945 Cubs Dodgers Cardinals	80	82	39-42	-50
dspahlinger	6	1955 Dodgers, Braves, Giants	80	82	36-45	33
ff09	9	EIGHTY9	80	82	36-45	-40
chisock	9	1959 CHW/CLE/NYY	80	82	36-45	-47
thebubbaq	9	2014 Baltimore Angel Sox	80	82	35-46	-12
contrarian23	5	1971 Orioles A's Tigers	79	83	48-33	-31
darthdurron	7	1996 Braves/Padres/Dodgers	79	83	42-39	-17
nocomm999	1	1965 Dodgers-Giants-Pirates	79	83	42-39	-32
thejuice6	12	1995 Yankees Indians Red Sox	79	83	41-40	21
jtpsops	2	35 Giant Cardinal Cubs	79	83	41-40	-20
3dayrotation	4	88 NL: Gibby's HR	79	83	40-41	-12
thejuice6	6	1911 Pirates Giants Cubs	79	83	38-43	-105
contrarian23	11	1928 Yankees A's Browns	79	83	36-45	-11
rswift30	11	1940 Tigers/Yankees/Indians	79	83	36-45	-53
steveizzy	8	2015 STL|PIT|CHC	78	84	45-36	-58
markeking	9	1936 NYG Cubbie Cardinals	78	84	41-40	-28
chisock	11	2005 ANH/CHW/NYY	78	84	41-40	-36
chisock	7	1984 DET/NYY/TOR	78	84	40-41	-86
contrarian23	9	2010 Phillies Giants Braves	78	84	39-42	43
mllama54	8	1997 Yankees Orioles Mariners	78	84	39-42	-76
relkcirts	6	1999 Indians/Rangers/Yankees	78	84	36-45	-27
urband	8	1958 NL	78	84	36-45	-67
contrarian23	11	1992 Braves Pirates Reds	78	84	35-46	-20
redcped	4	1950 Jackie's Dodgers-Giants-Phils	78	84	34-47	-58
thejuice6	6	1932 Yankees Senators Athletics	77	85	43-38	-104
contrarian23	4	1902 A's Browns Americans	77	85	36-45	30
urband	9	2002 AL	77	85	36-45	-16
dspahlinger	3	1998 Yankees, Red Sox, Indians	77	85	34-47	-34
relkcirts	4	1929 A's/Indians/Yankees	76	86	37-44	-70
3dayrotation	8	16 AL: Killer B's in the Outfield	76	86	36-45	-63
contrarian23	9	1954 Giants Dodgers Braves	76	86	34-47	-14
coachgreat1	7	Athletic Tiger-Striped Sox	75	87	37-44	-56
pedrocerrano	12	1902 NL - Pittsburgh-Brooklyn-Boston	75	87	37-44	-84
markeking	10	1963 NYYTwinWhiteSox	75	87	37-44	-137
3dayrotation	5	94 NL: M and M's of 90's Pitching	75	87	32-49	-136
beirnej1	2	2009 Yanks, Bo Sox, Angels	75	87	29-52	-220
darny10	10	1943 National	74	88	41-40	-3
loyalcanuck	12	1905 A's/WhiteSox/Tigers	74	88	40-41	-66
darny10	11	1904 National	74	88	38-43	-63
chisock	6	1939 BRK/CIN/STL	74	88	37-44	-17
thejuice6	10	2009 Phillies Rockies Dodgers	74	88	35-46	-23

This is unofficial... thejuice6 has the final say.

Advancers to Round 4 by Draft order...
.

Pick#	Round 4
-----------	-----------
1	14
2	15
3	15
4	11
5	13
6	14
7	12
8	11
9	13
10	9
11	11
12	6

And just for fun (and because I still can't believe it), here are the teams that finished with a run differential between 0 and +20 runs, sorted by WINS
.

Owner	Pick#	Team Name	WIN	LOSS	RunDiff	Rank
toysboys	7	1915 PHI/BSN/BRK	91	71	+12	32
toysboys	5	1934 STL/NYG/CHC	87	75	+9	56
chisock	9	1969 ATL/CHC/NYM	86	76	+13	67
toysboys	4	1974 LAD/CIN/ATL	86	76	0	58
schwarze	2	1954 Indians Yankees White Sox	85	77	+12	76
specsman	6	1995 Cincy Brave Dodgers	84	78	+20	79
winterhawk	4	1948- Indians,Red Sox,Yankees	84	78	+3	80
chisock	10	1921 CLE/NYY/STB	83	79	+19	87
contrarian23	12	1982 Cardinals Braves Phillies	83	79	+16	88
schwarze	5	2004 Yankees Red Sox Twins	83	79	+3	85
mllama54	5	1988 Twins Red Sox Athletics	82	80	+15	94
toysboys	10	1951 NYG/BRK/STL	81	81	+19	99
schwarze	4	2002 Braves D'backs Cardinals	69	93	+15	171

.
Seriously. WTF?

If I displayed this same table except listed teams with -1 to -59 run differential, there would be 47 teams listed, the average wins would be 78.8 wins, and the worst team would have 70 wins.