Actually UCF is not that bad. In several worlds they are a very competitive team. I guess FL has enough recruits to go around.
Hawaii and UTEP are in a class of their own.
For the next tier I would put:
Montana, Montana St, Idaho, and Maine due to the lack of local recruits.
After that I would put a school like St Louis in the 3rd tier.
I am just listing available schools in Wooden. St Louis is pretty difficult IMO due to Kansas, Arkansas, Mizzou, Illinois, Memphis, UL, IU, UK, etc. being within a couple hundred miles of you. Plus there is the whole MAC and MVC to deal with. There are not enough recruits to go around! Makes the rest of the A-10 seem like a dream job.