2011 WIS Championship: Pre-Season Rankings Topic

schwarze
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Every year, I use a complex formula which factors in your historical sim stats (i.e., Win/Loss Percentage and Championships won) along with your WIS Championship (WISC) results from previous seasons to determine the pre-season ranking.  The ranking itself is not a big deal.  Basically, the ranking number next to your name is your official "Team Number" which will be used to determine which leagues you will be playing in.

For those that like to compare rankings from last year to this year, keep in mind that a myriad of factors go into the ranking, which will in some cases make you scratch your head. 

For example, it's possible for somebody who was ranked 33rd last year and who finished 24th overall to drop to 38th this year.  How is this possible?  Many factors.  In this case, a dozen or so participants who didn't play last year are playing this year and they happened to rank higher than 33rd. 

Here's another common situation.  Why is this guy ranked ahead of me when he's never participated in the WISC before?  Brand new WISC participants always present a challenge.  Since they have no previous WISC results, I only have the historical sim stats to go on.  If somebody only plays and crushes open leagues, his stats will look really good and he will rank fairly high.  So it's possible for brand new players to rank ahead of moderately successful WIS Championship veterans. 

Another situation is somebody who's played in one WISC tournament, did exteremely well (finished top 10) but isn't ranked in the top 30 for this year.   Again, WISC results is just one factor.  The "historical sim results" part of the formula gets weighted heavily if the person hasn't played in a lot of WISC tournaments.  And if the sim results are mostly from theme leagues and/or progressive leagues, the historical sim results may look deceptively worse than they would if the person played in mostly open leagues.  The more WISC tournaments you play in, the more weight these tournaments have in the ranking.

Anyway,

Here are the 2011 Pre-Season Rankings.

 

6/10/2011 1:47 PM
schwarze
Posts: 44815 (2)
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Rank Owner 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 W-L% Champ's
------- ------------------ -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- ------------- -------------
1 wildthings1           1 3 60.7% 74
2 rbow923           5 1 58.4% 48
3 mensu1954     5 10 3.5   10 56.4% 93
4 schwarze 5 14 7 5 5 3 11 55.5% 66
5 alleyviper             2 56.9% 10
6 ybjsports             6 55.3% 33
7 jfranco77         1 29 9 55.1% 69
8 dougpalm               57.9% 59
9 ballantine 1 6   2 22 23 7 59.2% 60
10 bigmc     3 12 2 6 13 55.1% 20
11 bardin 10 9 20 16 32 11 8 58.4% 37
12 shaybee 2 3 18     45 5 56.8% 73
13 mildnhazy 4 4 30 32 13 7 12 55.3% 9
14 discodemo               59.8% 33
15 tjefferson             4 55.2% 7
16 contrarian23         14 31 15 53.5% 40
17 calhoop 41 7 33 20 24 15 16 49.8% 39
18 wetwillytwo     14   42 8 28 56.6% 30
19 tulsaslide           46 19 57.4% 33
20 sgsmith   57   46 15 2 26 52.5% 33
21 mpitt76 37 26 19 29 8 12 29 52.6% 12
22 sford   12 15 17 29 17 40 57.6% 109
23 tracyr 20 16       53 18 53.5% 44
24 markeking 29 10 41 24 20 18 37 55.1% 54
25 odalisgagne           38 17 52.6% 27
26 profcake           20   53.9% 9
27 cstrohmier   13 35 22 26 32   54.0% 40
28 buddhagamer               58.9% 2
29 newarkwilder 64 15 10 18 19 27 42 53.8% 44
30 bighooze             31 55.4% 14
31 daronb             48 59.6% 54
32 elonsmitty           10   50.9% 5
33 eschwartz67               52.3% 35
34 marlowe             22 52.2% 15
35 ryan_horner   38 34 27 23 62 20 56.4% 20
36 batandball           73 14 54.8% 17
37 Relkcirts     37 23   50   55.9% 32
38 The Taint         30 24 30 50.7% 24
39 yankeeso7               56.4% 7
40 Yabahos   42 22 13 16 26 51 51.7% 6
41 stroh23         35 30   52.3% 17
42 oskies     62 19 10 54 41 53.6% 8
43 footballmm11         51 39 23 52.4% 11
44 brianjw               55.7% 5
45 bighappyguy             27 50.9% 4
46 ff09             50 52.0% 28
47 Yaz_Benders           40 65 55.8% 23
48 rmdriskill               55.7% 1
49 ejstockman           59 32 52.7% 8
50 River_Rats               53.5% 11
51 beirnej1             24 47.6% 6
52 bigfatjew           37   50.7% 2
53 toddcommish             38 50.8% 4
54 Oli35 7.5 29 52       54 51.8% 17
55 mw100       44 43 66 45 51.9% 21
56 mllama54           36 53 50.9% 6
57 pmars2001               50.7% 24
58 besterateam       65     52 53.0% 12
59 msleath           19 73 51.4% 14
60 Bootone     42     87   54.8% 69
61 gorbyruss           75 71 52.8% 30
62 dippedincrack               54.0% 2
63 dlchow             61 51.6% 14
64 cubbies84               53.7% 3
65 thejuice6 88 64 59 36   76 60 50.0% 37
66 hacker7             43 47.0% 3
67 Jtpsops 83 93         46 47.8% 5
68 darthaudible               53.3% 1
69 beauchamp     67 48 59 81 35 47.2% 5
70 Donburgh               52.0% 8
71 forte4him               51.0% 11
72 Chisock     64 63 60 80 49 49.5% 14
73 teal_leo               51.3% 5
74 blackmink18               51.3% 1
75 thebubbaq         50 94 56 48.9% 3
76 nasty_llama 40 32 65 54 52 74 87 50.4% 2
77 bigsteve12         53   70 48.4% 3
78 bheid408               50.6% 2
79 zlionfan               49.8% 7
80 maddog162   82 74 45 40 79 88 47.7% 8
81 just4me     88 59 47 56 93 46.6% 14
82 letchkins               49.8% 3
83 r90377             81 49.6% 2
84 Tucker T's               48.9% 8
85 BLCROW         55 93 75 49.3% 3
86 stan74           84   49.8% 2
87 happyhours 94 56 81 37 58 83 94 47.6% 15
88 tridentric         49 58 95 42.2% 5
89 woody5254               49.4% 3
90 Dalefan1             80 43.1% 0
91 zephyr1949               48.8% 4
92 trd3               47.0% 5
93 btown               47.3% 1
94 spikeboots               46.5% 3
95 chargingryno               44.0% 11
96 id_203               45.8% 0
6/10/2011 1:51 PM
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woody5254
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Reminds me of the BCS rankings....

Since this is my first WISC, I have a newbie question which I am sure is answered somewhere and I missed it.  Will I be in a league with the same 24 people in each of the Round #1 themes? 
6/10/2011 4:54 PM (edited)
schwarze
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No, I have a table with a randomization of owners into leagues.  There are 4 leagues (A, B, C, D) for each theme.  The pre-season ranking is a quick and easy way to split the owners into the four different leagues. The league alignment is based on this random table (which I will post shortly).  Actually, it's not totally random... the table was designed to make sure the top owners were split up into different leagues.   The actual division alignment is completely random, so although you won't be in a league with the #1, #2, #3, #4 ranked owners, you could end up in a division with the #1, #6, #13 (that would be a longshot, but it could happen).
6/10/2011 4:40 PM
Jtpsops
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90 last year to 67 this year...not bad.  Gotta keep moving up
6/11/2011 10:56 AM
schwarze
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Jtpsops, your 83rd and 93rd place finishes were so long ago, that once you played again last year, those two results took on very little weight.
6/11/2011 1:19 PM
alleyviper
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Hmm, a pretty lofty ranking.  We'll see if I can live up to it.
6/14/2011 11:21 AM
schwarze
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By the way, here are some stats on this year's WIS Championship participants...

96 owners
Over 4.4 million games played  (roughly 285 full seasons per owner)
Over 2.3 million wins (.527 winning%)
11,800 playoff appearances
3,589 Finals appearances
1,970 Championships  (on average, 20 per team)

23 of top 24 from last year returning
9 owners have  played all 8 tournaments
6/15/2011 10:21 AM
dippedncrack
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41st to 62nd having won my first 3 championships and a TOC title in the interim - at least the pressure is off!
6/26/2011 2:34 PM (edited)
schwarze
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cmolli replaces ff09 and will take ovefr his team number
6/28/2011 7:40 AM
schwarze
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dewelch71 replaces eschwartz67 and will take over his team number
7/14/2011 10:40 AM
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zlionsfan
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schwarze, you forgot the s in zlionsfan ... I haven't missed a WISC yet. This is from last year's pre-WISC rankings:

61 zlionsfan 79 40 85 33 56 49 50.0% 7

and I finished 86th in 2010.
7/16/2011 9:01 PM
schwarze
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Damn.  Thanks.  I'll make sure I update my spreadsheet.
7/17/2011 8:33 AM
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