The Return of the Reservation
A.L. Central – Pick #1
Well surprise, surprise! We made it to the final round! With the level of competition here combined with the multiple teams still alive by some of the best owners in WIS, I’m feeling pretty good about that accomplishment. Now on to the task at hand!
I ended up with the 16
th pick for my only team. In how this league is set up, I don’t see much of a disadvantage drafting this late. If I could get a 1
st or 4
th pick in the division draft that would be great. In the NL West would be even better but, probably unlikely. It is the best division, IMO. Maybe I can get into the AL West so I can use Safeco as my park?
When it got to my turn, as suspected, the talent rich NL West was full. The AL West had the 2
nd and 3
rd picks available. The AL Central had the 1
st pick still available. And the AL East had their 4
th pick still available. I felt that the ALC had the best SP’s and being that I’m a glutton for pitching, I decided to take the #1 spot. Now who do we pick 1
st?
Strategy: As I said earlier, I’m a glutton for pitching, and the ALC has a lot of it, probably 2
nd to the NLW. And since the rest of the divisions are going to be offensive juggernauts, I plan to take advantage of the pitching and try to build the best rotation I can. I’m not worried about the bullpen as this division is going to leave some very good relief pitchers undrafted.
Looks like I will probably get only 1 good 200+ inning pitcher since there are only 6 good ones but I will get the best one. That means the rest will be between 120-180 innings and none of them would be Maeda. That being said, I want(ed) to run a 6-man rotation. I could get 3 in the first 3 rounds and then decide on my 4
th based on how the draft is moving. I noticed there weren’t a whole lot of dominant LH SP’s past Johan and Sale. Francisco Liriano and Carlos Rodon are both low inning starters that would be perfect in the 5
th and 6
th spots. We’ll plan on sneaking them in around rounds 9 or 10.
So, SP’s in rounds 1,2,3,7, 9, 10; Pos players in rounds 4,5,6,8,11,12,13,14,15, 23, 24, 25; and RP’s in rounds 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22. If I stick to this plan, I should have one of the top pitching staffs in the American League. Then it’s just a matter of building an offense that will score more runs than we allow. Sounds easy enough. Now let’s see how well I can muck this draft up.
Round 1 – 2020 Shane Bieber, SP (209 IP, 1.54 ERC#, .176 OAV#, 0.88 WHIP#, 0.52 HR/9#) - I was 99.99% sure I was drafting Bieber 1
st when I took the 1
st pick but just for fun, I wanted to take one last moment to 2
nd guess myself. The other options I valued were Maeda, Santana, Verlander, and Mauer. Mauer is arguably the best hitting option and makes some sense as not only does he provide great offense and defense but he is by far the best option at a difficult position to fill. Then again, if I don’t take a SP now, there will be at least 5 taken before it gets back to me. Maeda is short on innings but he is a beast. Someone is going to enjoy having him, but it won’t be me. Although Verlander is statistically better than Joahn, I value Johan more in this draft due to his being a lefty. Almost enough to replace Bieb’s. Almost… If I’m lucky, I’ll get Sale next round
Round 2 – 2013 Max Scherzer, SP (214 IP, 2.05 ERC#, .202 OAV#, 0.99 WHIP#, 0.58 HR/9#) – The first surprise of the draft. I did not expect to see Scherzer still on the board when my turn came up. I was expecting to draft Sale here but two things happened: 1) schwarze drafted Greinke over Scherzer first. I had Scherzer rated slightly higher than Greinke due to his significantly lower OAV# (.202 vs .227) but they’re both still really close. 2) Then barracuda3 saved me the embarrassment of skipping over Mauer again (yep, I was skipping him) by making him his 2
nd round pick and leaving Scherzer and his 214 innings for me. I’ll take it!
Round 3 – 2014 Chris Sale, SP (174 IP, 2.25 ERC#, .210 OAV#, 1.00 WHIP#, 0.57 HR/9#) – Turning the corner this pick was easy. I knew I needed a lefty and I like Sale better than Keuchel, again due to the significant difference in OAV# (.210 vs .228). The rest of the big inning lefty starters (2008 Cliff Lee, 2015 David Price, 2008 C.C. Sabathia, and 2001 Mark Buehrle) are only inning eaters who would most likely get 20 losses, even in a reduced role. Sabathia is interesting, though. I have seen him used at caps between $100-120M with moderate success. I myself have never used him but it’s something to keep in mind…
Round 4 – 2002 Jim Thome, 1B (613 PA, .303/.444/.658/1.102, 8 HR/100#, C+/D) – It was time to draft some offense and the run has already begun. Cabrera went to barracuda3 who now has the best two position players in the draft. Toysboys takes the best 2B in Alomar and follows with offensive monster Mags Ordonez. That leaves OPS champ Frank Thomas for schwarze to build his offense around and then barracuda grabs Jose Ramirez! Crap, the Ramirez pick was great and not expected right then. It would have loved to fill my 3B and then SS with this next corner pick. Thome isn’t a switch-hitter but he is a lefty who has a high OBP to go with his high SLG. My other option is Manny Ramirez but he’s a righty and the OF draft pool is a little deeper than 1B is. So Thome it is…
Round 5 – 2004 Carlos Guillen, SS (583 PA, .314/.375/.516/.890, 6 2B/100#, B/A-) – Up to this point in the draft, SS and RP were the only positions that had not been picked yet. As I stated earlier, the RP pool is extremely deep and not necessary to draft this early. So I looked at the SS pool and found Guillen, Anderson, Vizquel, Gimenez, and Lindor. Although I could live with any of these 5 SS’s, I felt Guillen was definitely the best of the lot. At least now I have the best (arguably) player at one position.
Round 6 – 2020 Zach Plesac, SP (149 IP, 1.70 ERC#, .200 OAV#, 0.81 WHIP#, 0.36 HR/9#) – This one is another surprise, although now I know why. Although Plesac has only 149 innings, it’ll be just fine as my #4 in a 6-man rotation. I could have grabbed Keuchel here but his high OAV# compared to the Rodon/Liriano pairing I was planning made it easy to pass on.
Round 7 – 2003 Dmitri Young, 3B (635 PA, .295/.369/.518/.883, 5 2B/100#, C-/D) – I think I made this pick out of panic. Schwarze used the schwarze on me when he mentioned barracuda3 could still be in the hunt for a 3B and then took Moncada. Not wanting to be stuck with Fryman or Koskie, I opted to draft Young and put him at 3B. On the positive he is a switch-hitter and he has a little pop. On the negative, his defense sucks. That could be a problem for us. With Thome, we have no corner defense. I’ll need to look for a defensive replacement near the end of the draft. In hind sight, I think I could have gotten Young a few rounds later. I should have drafted the best hitter available at this time, Victor Martinez. Schwarze took him two picks later.
Round 8 – 2000 Johnny Damon, CF (741 PA, .319/.372/.463/.835, 5 2B/100#, B/A-) – I was still suffering from the repercussions of schwarze’s mind trick, I decided I needed to shore up my defense. Damon not only provides solid CF defense but he will also bat leadoff and steal some bases for us (46/9, 88 spd).
Round 9 – 2007 Placido Polanco, 2B (641 PA, .336/.383/.437/.821, 5 2B/100#, A+/B) – This is where I really went sideways. Had I stuck to the plan, I would have drafted Liriano here. But no, I was still stuck on shoring up the middle. Polanco isn’t a horrible pick but I think could have got him a few rounds later. After all, he is a righty…
Round 10 – 2017 J.D. Martinez, DH (489 PA, .307/.379/.669/1.047, 7 HR/100#) – I was all set to take Liriano here and then barracuda3 snatches him right before I pick. Damn! Now what??? Do I take Rodon now or do I switch to best value? If I take Rodon who else do I grab to fill the rest of the starting innings I needed? Maybe I draft Sabathia and stick to a 5-man rotation? I could always bench him down the stretch. I could probably take Sabathia with the 25
th pick. So, what now??? I still needed a DH and C along with LF and RF. I also need someone to bat behind Thome. Martinez has an OPS# of 1.047 and hopefully that will translate to run production.
Round 11 – 2020 Salvador Perez, C ( 421 PA, .345/.358/.618/.976, 8 2B/100#, A+/A+/C-) – Since I was now thinking of drafting Sabathia, I could go ahead and draft my C. Initially, I wanted an A+ arm and the only other option aside from 2021 Perez was Pudge Rodriguez. Pudge has lost some punch so Perez was my guy. I decided on his 2020 season instead. No arm but a much higher average and still hits for a little power. But now I’ll need to draft a back-up C with an A+ arm.
Round 12 – 2006 Jermaine Dye, LF (611 PA, .309/.379/.594/.973, 6 HR/100#, C+/C+) – I am starting to have 2
nd thoughts about drafting Sabathia but I only need two OF’s to finish my starting 9. I also considered looking for a 3B with better defense and moving Young to LF. But it was still Koskie or Fryman. I think I’d rather have Dye’s offense and just suffer through Young’s horrible D at third.
Round 13 – 2011 Alex Gordon, RF (690 PA, .305/.380/.489/.869, 6 2B/100#, A-/B-) – I initially tried to pick Brantley here but he had already been taken by schwarze. I had been trying to update my spreadsheet from my phone and was not doing a very good job of it. It’s here where I got and passed another opportunity to grab Rodon but I still hadn’t fully tossed the idea of Sabathia. I considered moving Martinez to LF and Dye to RF so I could draft a different DH but I needed a LH bat and there weren’t a whole lot of choices. Hosmer maybe? Too bad Nelson Cruz is a righty. I like Gordon and he plays good defense. I can play him in RF. He’ll be just fine.
Round 14 – 2022 Triston McKenzie, SP (191 IP, 2.40 ERC#, .211 OAV#, 1.00 WHIP#, 0.91 HR/9#) – After my last pick I went back to look at who I could pair with Rodon and avoid taking Sabathia. I came across McKenzie, low ERC#, low OAV#, low BB/9#, 191 innings… the only issue was his high HR/9# of 0.91. I could live with that as long as we minimize baserunners. I could grab him and then Rodon on the turn. That would work. And then boom, schwarze takes Rodon. Crap. Still taking McKenzie. Sabathia is an option again. I’m really dogging this draft…
Round 15 – 2013 Caleb Thielbar, RP (46 IP, 1.36 ERC#, .157 OAV#, 0.85 WHIP#, 0.61 HR/9#) – I looked long and hard for another LH starter. The best option I could come up with was 2023 Cole Ragans. I could probably pitch him in 15 games and get 75-80 innings out of him. But he would require a lot of relief innings when he pitched, 3-4 innings most games. Either I draft an inning eater to give my bullpen some rest or I draft an extra reliever. I have time to decide…
Round 16 – 2007 Rafael Perez, RP (60 IP, 1.60 ERC#, .183 OAV#, 0.90 WHIP#, 0.58 HR/9#) – Wanted to make sure I had plenty of LH relief pitching. I like those low OAV#’s…
Round 17 – 2008 Craig Breslow, RP (38 IP, 1.40 ERC#, .178 OAV#, 0.97 WHIP#, 0.00 HR/9#) – Continued with loading up on LH relievers. Breslow doesn’t allow hits, not even HR’s. His BB/9# is a little high and in hind sight, for my short inning LH reliever, I should have just bit the bullet and drafted 2018 Oliver Perez. It was only 6 innings less. I probably could have gotten 40 appearances out of him. Breslow will be the same if he can’t keep walks down.
Round 18 – 2013 Greg Holland, RP (67 IP, 1.40 ERC#, .173 OAV#, 0.89 WHIP#, 0.30 HR/9#) – Only one pitcher was taken since my last pick. Not sure that’s a good sign or not but there are still plenty of relievers out there. I took Holland over guys like Alex Colome and Codi Heuer due to their BB/9# being over 3 (a concern I already have with my lefty relievers). I passed on Otero due to his high OAV# amongst the RH relievers. I had my eye on Jeff Manship, Joakim Soria, Matt Foster and…
Round 19 – 2020 Tyler Duffey, RP (65 IP, 1.36 ERC#, .162 OAV#, 0.81 WHIP#, 0.48 HR/9#) – Continuing to build my bullpen. Another low OAV# guy. I may be able to run with the 5-man rotation I have if I can keep adding these high performing relief pitchers. I have 937 starter innings. That should get me around 1020 sim innings. I only need 400 IP/162 to make it work and so far I have 276 with 3 pitcher slots left. Still not sure the right way to go…
Round 20 – 2020 Trevor Rosenthal, RP (64 IP, 1.46 ERC#, .157 OAV#, 0.86 WHIP#, 0.49 HR/9#) – Rosenthal gets me to 340. I also learned that I missed out on LH RP Brad Hand. Somehow I had him highlighted as already being picked. I would’ve taken him over Breslow any day. I guess that makes up for Plesac…
Round 21 – 2018 Taylor Rogers, RP (68 IP, 1.78 ERC#, .212 OAV#, 0.97 WHIP#, 0.26 HR/9#) – I needed another LH RP. Would love to grab Perez but I’m thinking of grabbing Manship instead so I need 60+ innings here. Rogers OAV# is pretty high for a relief pitcher but everything else checks out. We’ll need to keep an eye on him.
Round 22 – 2020 Tim Anderson, SS/3B (597 PA, .333/.363/.512/.875, 5 2B/100#, B-/B+) – Well I shouldn’t be surprised. I really didn’t think Sabathia would get drafted by anyone and he was still a consideration for my last pitching slot. But then barracuda3 actually drafts him. In hind sight, this was probably better. I really didn’t need an inning eater and I was starting to really like Manship in my final spot. But then barracuda3 did it again and right before this pick, he swoops up Manship. That’s a great pick. Now what??? I do need to fill some SS PA’s and Andersen can do that. I’ll also play him at 3B as a defensive replacement for Young. We’ll see if his SS ratings translate well.
Round 23 – 2020 Yasmani Grandal, C (524 PA, .239/.356/.406/.762, 3 HR/100#, B+/A+/A+) – Not sure how I feel about this one. I love his arm, his bat, not so much. But he’s going to play and hit more than I like. Hopefully he helps keep runners from stealing at the end of our games.
Round 24 – 2011 Alejandro De Aza, DH/OF (171 PA, .332/.403/.506/.910, 6 2B/100#, A-/C-) – De Aza gets us a LH bat who can play in the LF when Martinez needs to rest and Dye moves to DH to cover him. De Aza can also cover LF at the end of games in general.
Round 25 – 2017 David Robertson, RP (68 IP, 1.41 ERC#, .151 OAV#, 0.86 WHIP#, 0.52 HR/9#) – Decided on a 5-man rotation and picked up one more RH RP. I had passed on Robertson earlier in the draft due to his above 3 BB/9# but at this point, it’s barely over and he’s probably the best of what’s left.
Ballpark: Jacobs Field (HR LF/RF:-1/-1 1B:-1 2B:0 3B:-2, 0.97 PF) – As usual, went with a pitchers park, or as close to one as I could get. Decided on Jacobs Field for its -1 in singles and HR’s along with the -2 in triples.
Strengths: Balanced line-up, high AVG# and SLG#, good middle infield and outfield defense, low OAV# and ERC#, strong rotation, and strong, flexible bullpen.
Weaknesses: Not as many switch-hitters as my opponents, bad corner IF defense, low OBP, we’re slow on the base paths, pushing the IP/162 minimum for a $120M DH league with only 1412 innings, high HR/9# for this league, SP’s will average less than 7 innings/game, placing more stress on the bullpen.
Outlook: Overall I think I did ok. I should have one of the top pitching staffs in the AL and if I can keep opponents off the basepaths, we should survive the high HR/9#. The question will be, can we score enough runs to win games? I’m hoping we have enough variation between single/double hitters and homerun hitters to be effective in any ballpark when we’re on the road. We only need to score more than our opponents, not lead the league in runs, which we most certainly will not. We’re shooting for big money this round (lol, aren’t we all???) but we have some giants to get past in schwarze, barracuda3, and toysboys. Hopefully, bringing back our reference to Native Americans will bring us good luck. We’re going to need all the luck we can get!
Lastly, I, too, would like to express my thanks to
thejuice6 and
schwarze for putting on this tournament. It’s a monumental task and you guys run it flawlessly. Your banter, organization and theme planning made this tournament the absolute most fun I’ve had on this site and I am thrilled to have been a participant. THANK YOU FOR ALL YOU HAVE DONE!
Good luck everyone!
| BO |
|
Player |
B |
PA/ 162 |
HR |
AVG# |
OBP# |
SLG# |
OPS# |
2B/ 100# |
3B/ 100# |
HR/ 100# |
SB/ SBA |
SPD |
Salary |
DEF |
| 1 |
CF |
Damon, Johnny |
L |
741 |
16 |
0.319 |
0.372 |
0.463 |
0.835 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
0.836 |
88 |
$7,202,298 |
B/A- |
| 2 |
2B |
Polanco, Placido |
R |
641 |
9 |
0.336 |
0.383 |
0.437 |
0.821 |
5 |
0 |
1 |
0.700 |
66 |
$6,730,538 |
A+/B |
| 3 |
1B |
Thome, Jim |
L |
613 |
52 |
0.303 |
0.444 |
0.658 |
1.102 |
3 |
0 |
8 |
0.333 |
50 |
$6,977,983 |
C+/D |
| 4 |
DH |
Martinez, J.D. |
R |
489 |
45 |
0.307 |
0.379 |
0.669 |
1.047 |
5 |
0 |
7 |
1.000 |
65 |
$5,146,748 |
-- |
| 5 |
SS |
Guillen, Carlos |
S |
583 |
20 |
0.314 |
0.375 |
0.516 |
0.890 |
6 |
2 |
2 |
0.706 |
74 |
$6,228,956 |
B/A- |
| 6 |
LF |
Dye, Jermaine |
R |
611 |
44 |
0.309 |
0.379 |
0.594 |
0.973 |
4 |
0 |
6 |
0.700 |
67 |
$5,944,943 |
C+/C+ |
| 7 |
RF |
Gordon, Alex |
L |
690 |
23 |
0.305 |
0.380 |
0.489 |
0.869 |
6 |
0 |
2 |
0.680 |
79 |
$6,691,462 |
A-/B- |
| 8 |
3B |
Young, Dmitri |
S |
635 |
29 |
0.295 |
0.369 |
0.514 |
0.883 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
0.667 |
55 |
$5,209,062 |
C-/D |
| 9 |
C |
Perez, Salvador |
R |
421 |
11 |
0.345 |
0.358 |
0.618 |
0.976 |
8 |
0 |
5 |
1.000 |
45 |
$4,545,604 |
A+/A+/C- |
| 10 |
C |
Grandal, Yasmani |
S |
524 |
8 |
0.239 |
0.356 |
0.406 |
0.762 |
4 |
0 |
3 |
0.000 |
44 |
$4,162,063 |
B+/A+/A+ |
| 11 |
OF |
De Aza, Alejandro |
L |
171 |
4 |
0.332 |
0.403 |
0.506 |
0.910 |
6 |
2 |
2 |
0.706 |
89 |
$1,685,461 |
A-/C- |
| 12 |
SS |
Anderson, Tim |
R |
597 |
10 |
0.333 |
0.363 |
0.512 |
0.875 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
0.714 |
75 |
$5,952,749 |
B-/B+ |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
6716 |
271 |
0.310 |
0.379 |
0.528 |
0.907 |
5.1 |
0.5 |
3.5 |
|
|
$66,477,867 |
|
| POS |
Player |
T |
IP/162 |
ERA# |
ERC# |
OAV# |
WHIP# |
BB/9# |
K/9# |
HR/9# |
$/IP |
Salary |
F/R |
| SP |
Bieber, Shane |
R |
209 |
1.48 |
1.54 |
0.176 |
0.88 |
2.34 |
6.96 |
0.52 |
$45,871 |
$9,586,963 |
B/D |
| SP |
Scherzer, Max |
R |
214 |
2.83 |
2.05 |
0.202 |
0.99 |
2.42 |
6.48 |
0.58 |
$37,529 |
$8,043,795 |
C-/D+ |
| SP |
Sale, Chris |
L |
174 |
2.18 |
2.25 |
0.210 |
1.00 |
2.14 |
6.72 |
0.57 |
$35,429 |
$6,164,734 |
A+/D- |
| SP |
Plesac, Zach |
R |
149 |
2.08 |
1.70 |
0.200 |
0.81 |
0.93 |
5.62 |
0.89 |
$39,111 |
$5,827,578 |
B/A- |
| SP |
McKenzie, Triston |
R |
191 |
2.94 |
2.40 |
0.211 |
1.00 |
2.14 |
5.70 |
0.91 |
$30,697 |
$5,873,415 |
B/D- |
| RP |
Duffey, Tyler |
R |
65 |
1.71 |
1.36 |
0.162 |
0.81 |
2.16 |
6.33 |
0.48 |
$46,963 |
$3,052,579 |
A+/D- |
| RP |
Holland, Greg |
R |
67 |
1.18 |
1.40 |
0.173 |
0.89 |
2.49 |
7.75 |
0.30 |
$48,464 |
$3,247,113 |
A+/D- |
| RP |
Breslow, Craig |
L |
38 |
1.50 |
1.40 |
0.178 |
0.97 |
3.22 |
5.78 |
0.00 |
$44,227 |
$1,680,653 |
A+/A+ |
| RP |
Thielbar, Caleb |
L |
46 |
1.72 |
1.36 |
0.157 |
0.85 |
2.82 |
5.43 |
0.61 |
$42,069 |
$1,935,212 |
A+/D- |
| RP |
Rosenthal, Trevor |
R |
64 |
1.74 |
1.46 |
0.157 |
0.86 |
2.92 |
7.02 |
0.49 |
$46,585 |
$2,981,428 |
A+/D- |
| RP |
Perez, Rafael |
L |
60 |
1.60 |
1.60 |
0.183 |
0.90 |
2.20 |
6.73 |
0.58 |
$40,714 |
$2,442,860 |
D-/B- |
| RP |
Rogers, Taylor |
L |
68 |
2.47 |
1.78 |
0.212 |
0.97 |
2.13 |
6.01 |
0.26 |
$38,015 |
$2,597,693 |
A+/D- |
| RP |
Robertson, David |
R |
68 |
1.70 |
1.41 |
0.151 |
0.86 |
3.04 |
7.03 |
0.52 |
$46,560 |
$3,181,648 |
D/D- |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
1413 |
2.11 |
1.82 |
0.190 |
0.92 |
2.23 |
6.42 |
0.59 |
$40,068 |
$56,615,671 |
|