I think the HBD's view of tanking has taken a strong turn to the extreme. Before when it wasn't really monitored, now it is anyone who loses or finishes in last place is tanking. There is a fine line between focusing and building for the future and tanking. To me Tankers are people who purposely lose (i.e. pitch rookie league pitchers in the majors, play catchers in CF, let their pitching go down to 0, etc.) vs. owners who recognize they don't have the talent to compete, and focus on building trough trades for prospects, the draft and IFA's. It doesn't mean they can't put a somewhat competant team on the field, they can play AAAA players, pick up some vets that don't get signed on the cheap, etc. But it would be foolish for them to dive head first into the free agent pool. Let's face it, the Free agent pool each season has maybe 5-6 players worth investing in heavily and a lot of teams are going to be going after them, meaning they are going to get a lot of dough. And most of these players are already 30 or older. Very few big time players hit free agency prior to being 30 in HBD. So it doesn't make sense for a rebuilding team to invest in a 30, 31, 32 yr old when it would only make them marginally better and they would've had to invest big dollars on a player who will be declining when that team is ready to compete.
I don't think you can
prevent tanking. What I think HBD can do is minimize the effects of tankers, along with worlds policing themselves.
Here are a couple of options that could minimize benefits to "tanking"
1) Lottery Draft. I know this is not how MLB does it, but lets face it MLB also doesn't have 4 rounds of playoffs and 4 divisions in each leage either. The Teams that don't make the playoffs go into the lottery and based on record get a certain % for the 1st pick, etc. Just like the NBA. It leaves owners with a less certainty of draft position.
2) Make the IFA process more competitive and less certain. I propose a multi step approach to fixing this:
- In the real world IFA's are mostly 16-17 years of age (with some exceptions of course, i.e. Aroldis Chapman), make the ages of our IFA's start at 16 and their current ratings significantly lower than their projections, i.e. 85 ovr may have a current ovr of say 35 or 40. It will create less certainty about their ability to reach their ceilings.
- Have more high ceiling players than currently, with less likelihood of reaching ceilings. More IFA's in the market will create competition.
- Don't make it a year round process. Do just like the majors does. Have an IFA signing period sometime right before the All-star break. What will happen is all the IFA's for the season will come out some time after the draft, a 7 day "blind" bid period will open up, on the last day IFA's will sign. The blind bid will create competition, as there will be no feed back on your offer. What this means is that even though a few teams might have say $35M in prospect budget if they all bid on the same IFA, 2 might get shut out. Opening up the rest of the IFA's to the field. It will create more decision making in the process.
- Remove Japanese players from the IFA process and create a posting system to take place during the pre-season activities. These players will range from 21-28 and will have current ratings much closer to projections, and will likely be players who could either start directly in the ML lineup, rotation, bullpen or AAA, AA. This will be a blind bid process as well and the bid money will come out of player payroll. On top of that the Team will also have to sign said player, if they win the bid, to a contract.
- Remove 50% of the budget transfer process. Only allow budget to be transferred from player payroll to coaching payroll and vice versa.
- Up the amount a team can put into Prospect payroll during budgeting to $30M. It's a one time shot and that's it.
Is it perfect? No. But I am not sure there is a perfect way. But like I said you can't prevent tanking, but you could minimize the impact of it. This process would create more competition for IFA's and Japanese players and open up teams to make more a play for them, the blind bid process makes it trickier for owners who have payroll strength on their side to guarantee a winning bid.