I agree with this that OR said, I think it is a good summary -
But, in mis-match games, I think fcp is still more effective than man to enable one to blow the other team off the court, but in closely contested games man seems superior, maybe not by a huge margin. I do think season in and season out it is harder to assemble a great fcp team than it is a great man to man team, and maybe if one could always have a great team, press would be the way to go?
then tianyi -
If you always have a great team, then wouldn't man be the way to go, since once you get deep into the NT, pretty much every game is going to be closely contested. My brief experience with the press in the past 2 seasons is that against bad teams, the score will be a blowout by 30-40 points, but against good teams, games will be more inconsistent.
well, there once was a time when you could have great enough teams that even deep into the NT, you could not expect close games. that, in particular, was the case (IMO) in which press was broken - it made really good teams too good. but with all the changes to this game, i think sustaining that talent level advantage is much harder, and thus, your assumption is a reasonably safe one (late NT games are closely contested). so i'm not sure really that modification to the press was needed, just by virtue of the evening of the talent gap. but anyway, what you said about the games being closely contested late in the NT, that is why i switched from a 100% press coach to a 0% press coach. i just don't think press is good for the contested games that you should win - which is precisely what it was great for in the past. so, more of those contested games + press being unfavorable in those cases pretty much ruled it out for me. but also at the time i switched the fatigue and fouling issues were a lot worse, so today, i feel press really is not a bad option, except for d1, where IMO it is unplayable.
to me, it is up in the air what is best for d2 and d3, but i do think zone is the worst. zone thrives off of lack of depth, and there is just no reason to have that lack of depth in the lower divisions.
i will give zone some props for d1 though, in the early entry rich, good player poor environment we have been handed, zone is ideal for evening out the curves of the up and down ride that d1 has become (not that it wasn't before, but its definitely more so today, right?). i don't think zone is best for the best team in the country on a given year, but over a period of time, i think it is in good position to yield the best average results. i think man is probably the best for winning titles in d1 but if your goal is say to be a top 10 every single year, zone might be the only option that makes that possible. for similar reasons, i think press is really bad for d1, its ability to deal with the up and down nature of d1 is seemingly terrible. as OR says, if you could have great teams (and i assume he meant roughly top 5 to top 1 by great, not like top 25 great), press would be fine - but i don't think that is possible in d1 to the extent required to effectively run the press. at kentucky i run man and felt i had a top 5 team last year, but because of the youth you have to endure from early entries and everything else, i feel like press would have been fairly terrible. so to me the threshold for press being successful in d1 is really more than, can you be great, its can you be great AND experienced, and that may be impossible.
1/6/2011 5:42 PM (edited)