very unusual 10 games for 98 rickey henderson Topic

teaparty
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Posted by zubinsum on 8/10/2011 12:29:00 AM (view original):
And for the record, I agree that that line is odd.  Based on Rickey's performance history (an assuming he always faces "average" pitchers), he has a 1-in-5 chance of stealing 6+ bases or drawing 9+ walks in 47 PA; his chance of going 6/6 on stolen bases is 1 in 6.  However, there is less than a 1-in-1000 chance he gets 1 or fewer hits in 47 PA. 
Seeing as he's up to about 200 PAs and possesses a sterling .145 average, 1 hit in 47 PAs seems about right...
8/10/2011 1:55 AM
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teaparty
Posts: 310 (0)
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So I stuck with him for the entire season.  The good news is we won the division.  The bad news is that Rickey had the worst season, by far, of anyone I've ever used:


Henderson, Rickey 1998 R 162 599 76 110 9 1 4 36 96 83 6 58 6 .184 .302 .222 .524 0 7

10/8/2011 1:18 AM
zubinsum
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Congrats on the division title.  Let's hope he comes around in the play-offs.
10/8/2011 1:25 AM
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very unusual 10 games for 98 rickey henderson Topic
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