Posted by jslotman on 2/17/2012 11:16:00 AM (view original):
I cannot disagree more with the theory that a single team or small group of teams has that big of an effect on an entire conference in the real world. The bottom falls out on plenty of teams in BCS conferences in basketball whilst other teams are winning the NCAA"s or otherwise having successful seasons. And Miami can't be the example you wanted to cite as precisely one McDonald's All American has chosen Miami in the real world since Miami joined a BCS conference (Darius Rice). Wouldn't more talented players have chosen Miami over the years because they were playing UNC and Duke or Syracuse and Connecticut because the success of those teams surely would have kept the prestige of Miami high enough to attract quality recruits, right? (I also note that in many seasons, the fourth best player at UNC or Duke is also an All-American, so the comparison is apt.)
HD would have us believe that Big Six conference teams can never really stink for years on end simply because they're playing in a Big Six conference. The real world truly does not bear out that theory (I point to DePaul, Oregon State, Iowa State, Washington State, St. John's, Seton Hall, Providence, and many others as good examples).
No a single team does not make a conference, the history of a conference makes the conference appealing. I'm not saying UNC makes players want to play in the ACC, the success the ACC has had makes players want to play in the ACC. The exposure the conference gets, same goes for the Big East, being in these conferences just gets you exposure that you don't get at smaller confernces. Ignoring that fact is naive to the way things really work.
This game does not work in a way where schools in BCS conferences are incapable of being bad for long periods, just look in any world you will see many examples of BCS schools who have been bad for a while. Saying that it does work like that in HD is just ignoring the facts.
Another thing is, getting a McDonald's AA isn't the only measure of getting a great player. There are many guys who aren't All-Americans but end up being great college players, and are very highly recruited. Only 24 guys are selected for the McDonald's game, so let's say it's the top 24 guys (which it isn't), the 25th best player in the country is somebody who is extremely highly recruited, so is the 50th best guy. A school like Miami, by virtue of being in the ACC could sign the 33rd best player, who they may have had no chance of getting had they been in a smaller conference.