So I'm trying to figure out which of these stats best correlates to wins in the leagues. My first thought was PA would be worth looking at, and most of the teams doing the best are in the upper third in PA (jbohrman a very notable exception). It appears not taking too many IP also helped, which makes sense because you'd be reducing the quality of the innings you paid for and didn't need.

All of this comes back to making me wonder how important being able to manage fatigue is, and having the experience of doing it enough to avoid any wasted salary can make a massive difference. I took the 4th-most PA, clearly concerned about excess fatigue from all the scoring. My offense is doing fine, but if I'd been able to make my pitching just a little stronger by saving some of that money ...

Without running a regression on the data it's tough to say for sure, but I will say that none of my hitters have been at 100% since game 15 or so. Same with the 65M league.

Errors and minus plays not as plentiful as most people feared. It's my best team and I overdrafted by 75-100 innings and PA. Most teams drafted more innings 1600 IP is plenty and those who stayed at that level should be doing well.

Great stuff. Thanks ozomatli.

I wish you could include the average with each of those tables.

Also, K/BB ratio would be cool.

And you could include the team's current winning% with each table. Or show a table sorted by team's winning% along with where they rank (or stdev) with each of those stats. Maybe that will help us learn which of those categories is most important.

Ordered by the absolute value of the correlation to wins so far. A positive number in the second column means that more of the stat in question correlates with more wins, while a negative number in that column means that less of the stat in question correlates with more wins.

Stat_____________	Correlation to Wins___	Abs Corr
Triples	0.459	0.459
Non-HR Hits	0.441	0.441
Singles	0.400	0.400
Hits	0.393	0.393
Hitter Ks	-0.387	0.387
Avg Hitter Year	-0.386	0.386
Hitter Salary	0.380	0.380
PAs	0.336	0.336
HRs	-0.310	0.310
AVG	0.307	0.307
ABs	0.274	0.274
OBP*	0.244	0.244
Avg Pitcher Year	-0.221	0.221
Doubles	0.202	0.202
Pitcher K/9	-0.188	0.188
HR/9	-0.157	0.157
Hitter BBs	0.152	0.152
BB/9	-0.115	0.115
SLG	-0.114	0.114
OAV	0.063	0.063
WHIP	-0.056	0.056
IP	-0.053	0.053
Hitter HBP	0.041	0.041
XBH	-0.021	0.021
OPS	0.017	0.017
OBP - AVG	0.011	0.011

Lots of interesting observations from those correlations, but it's worth calling out that none of those correlations are strong. Even the strongest ones there are only decent at best. But, some things I noticed:

• Spending on offense rather than pitching may have been the better strategy
• Deadball players reign supreme... at least somewhat... for both hitters (despite the worse defense) and pitchers
• True to the name, putting the ball in play is the way to go, though pitcher Ks are still too expensive to be worth it
• Triples are the superior XBH type
• People potentially overspent and overshot on IP but, overall, IP and WHIP individually had little impact. You could win by emphasizing either
• Even in Coors, HRs were still not worth it

Adding a few things...

Pre-Rank___	Owner__________	Cookie Score
5	ozomatli	6.24
41	Jdh34	6.12
16	justinlee_24	5.6
61	thebubbaq	5.56
49	thehuseman	5.52
45	Humdogs	5.48
36	odalisgagne	5.28
67	npg32433	5.24
22	calhoop	5.2
7	buddhagamer	5.16
42	cubbies84	5.16
44	Jtpsops	5.08
68	garmansouth	5.08
8	mildnhazy	5
2	discodemo	4.92
40	NebHusker	4.92
10	jmissirlis	4.68
1	brianjw	4.64
6	jbohrman	4.6
15	homiealiens	4.6
9	jfranco77	4.52
51	mick33	4.52
12	shaybee	4.48
33	wink0094	4.44
60	hurst47	4.44
64	mars2010	4.44
69	midknight	4.44
30	ledfoot	4.4
25	newarkwilder	4.36
28	magicdreamer	4.24
39	donaldjtrump	4.24
43	Chisock	4.24
70	deathdealer	4.2
4	schwarze	4.12
32	frank_drebin	4.08
55	zlionsfan	4.08
23	redcped	4.04
20	mdc2276	4
29	mpitt76	4
18	mllama54	3.96
54	sjh0825	3.96
27	Donburgh	3.88
52	jetscanes	3.88
63	sionnach99	3.88
48	The Taint	3.76
56	nordawg	3.72
57	thejuice6	3.68
19	markeking	3.64
24	cstrohmier	3.64
31	bothways	3.6
38	kyleb63	3.6
59	scottharra	3.6
11	dougpalm	3.56
53	trd3	3.56
34	ejstockman	3.52
14	Fusion27s	3.36
17	crystalao	3.36
71	tridentric	3.36
3	rbow923	3.32
13	bighooze	3.32
62	happyhours	3.32
47	sprintracer	3.28
65	loyalcanuck	3.12
26	tigerrott	3.04
58	gigrant	3.04
73	spoonfed	3.04
66	Pebo	2.88
35	beauchamp	2.84
37	jjgreen14	2.8
50	toddcommish	2.68
46	DarthDurron	2.44
72	scthallfan	1.52

Players used 7+ times

Player____________	Selections
John McGraw	28
Alex Rodriguez	20
Tom Daly	17
Ed McKean	15
Larry Doyle	14
Gavvy Cravath	13
Bill Joyce	12
Rube Waddell	11
Ty Cobb	10
Lou Brock	10
Ralph Kiner	9
Sammy Strang	9
Frank Thomas	9
Dave Orr	9
Smoky Burgess	8
Frank Smith	8
Ernie Lombardi	8
Mariano Rivera	8
Chipper Jones	8
Nolan Ryan	8
Cy Young	8
Frank Arellanes	8
Dave Nilsson	7
Bill Salkeld	7
Ralph Garr	7
Dickie Thon	7
Bob Meusel	7
Mike Grady	7
Wayne Terwilliger	7
Mark Koenig	7
Al Oliver	7
Bobby Lowe	7

Top players in terms of selections per year chosen

Player____________	Selections___	Years Used___	Selections per Year
Alex Rodriguez	20	1	20.0
Bill Joyce	12	1	12.0
John McGraw	28	3	9.3
Ralph Kiner	9	1	9.0
Sammy Strang	9	1	9.0
Tom Daly	17	2	8.5
Smoky Burgess	8	1	8.0
Chipper Jones	8	1	8.0
Ed McKean	15	2	7.5
Dave Nilsson	7	1	7.0
Bill Salkeld	7	1	7.0
Ralph Garr	7	1	7.0
Dickie Thon	7	1	7.0
Wayne Terwilliger	7	1	7.0
Mark Koenig	7	1	7.0
Bobby Lowe	7	1	7.0
Gavvy Cravath	13	2	6.5
Joe Morgan	6	1	6.0
Hugh Duffy	6	1	6.0
Paul Radford	5	1	5.0
Luke Sewell	5	1	5.0
Brandon Morrow	5	1	5.0
Bob Steele	5	1	5.0
Jimmie Wilson	5	1	5.0
Ivey Wingo	5	1	5.0
Joe Nolan	5	1	5.0
Tony Lazzeri	5	1	5.0
Mike Sweeney	5	1	5.0
Doggie Miller	5	1	5.0
Tommy Davis	5	1	5.0
Augie Galan	5	1	5.0
Larry Doyle	14	3	4.7

Owner_________	IP______	Pitches_____	IP Rank_____	Pitches Rank___
npg32433	1866	28451	1	7
Pebo	1844.4	31577	2	1
kyleb63	1837	28824	3	5
garmansouth	1745	27505	4	18
cstrohmier	1735	28228	5	10
happyhours	1734	27017	6	25
mpitt76	1731.4	28417	7	8
ejstockman	1731	28764	8	6
dougpalm	1712	27813	9	14
spoonfed	1704.4	27327	10	22
newarkwilder	1703	27755	11	15
homiealiens	1696	29184	12	3
markeking	1695	27345	13	21
shaybee	1693	26544	14	30
rbow923	1688.7	25895	15	39
gigrant	1688	27376	16	20
hurst47	1681	26841	17	28
zlionsfan	1680	26463	18	31
redcped	1676.7	27646	19	16
jetscanes	1676	28204	20	11
tigerrott	1675	25974	21	37
ledfoot	1673	29004	22	4
NebHusker	1670.7	30124	23	2
thebubbaq	1669.7	27828	24	13
schwarze	1665	26858	25	27
sionnach99	1661.7	25779	26	41
frank_drebin	1661	25606	27	47
midknight	1658.7	28087	28	12
calhoop	1657	25094	29	57
mars2010	1652	25866	30	40
nordawg	1650.3	26246	31	33
beauchamp	1647.4	25984	32	36
cubbies84	1641.7	26221	33	34
sjh0825	1630	26024	34	35
justinlee_24	1630	24679	35	62
The Taint	1629.4	25407	36	52
jjgreen14	1622	24369	37	65
Fusion27s	1618	24421	38	64
scottharra	1615	25692	39	42
bothways	1613.7	26340	40	32
donaldjtrump	1612	25661	41	44
brianjw	1612	25407	42	51
buddhagamer	1612	24730	43	60
mdc2276	1606.7	26867	44	26
magicdreamer	1605.7	24513	45	63
crystalao	1603.7	25007	46	58
trd3	1602	27282	47	23
wink0094	1596	25617	48	46
mllama54	1595.7	28286	49	9
tridentric	1594.7	25500	50	49
jmissirlis	1594.7	25286	51	54
mildnhazy	1591.7	27474	52	19
ozomatli	1590	25159	53	55
scthallfan	1581	24712	54	61
Chisock	1580.4	25641	55	45
thehuseman	1579	25445	56	50
Donburgh	1575	24756	57	59
bighooze	1573.7	27148	58	24
mick33	1568.7	25553	59	48
sprintracer	1564	25300	60	53
thejuice6	1561.7	25923	61	38
odalisgagne	1552.7	24220	62	66
Humdogs	1543	24215	63	67
DarthDurron	1536.7	25690	64	43
deathdealer	1531	24041	65	69
toddcommish	1530.4	25145	66	56
discodemo	1514	23267	67	70
jfranco77	1512.4	26763	68	29
Jtpsops	1508	24049	69	68
Jdh34	1505	23204	70	71
loyalcanuck	1502.4	27637	71	17
jbohrman	1479	22052	72	72

I used the formula from the pitch count thread: https://www.whatifsports.com/forums/Posts.aspx?topicID=154851

And added each owner's rank by pitches as well as by innings. So loyalcanuck drafted the 2nd fewest innings, but because he had a 9.87 K9 (and a 4.55 BB/9!) he has the 17th most pitches available.

Now, his pitchers will throw more pitches, so it's not totally a 1:1 relationship, but it's interesting.

Any idea if the innings and/or pitches correlates to success at this point?

IP does not (see above). Not sure about pitches

It sure seems that those who invested more financially in their pitching (assuming quality goes with that) are doing better. Top notch pitching would get you a bit further in games, which should stretch out your entire pitching staff over a whole season and tax everyone else. By this point, it seems those teams are shutting others down much more effectively, with Coors helping their hitters provide enough offense to win.

Yep, that lines up with what we saw above. One of the stronger correlations (though, in objective terms, still not strong) is a negative relationship with how much an owner spent on hitting.