Posted by Jitter_Thug on 12/22/2020 5:55:00 PM (view original):
Thanks for the answer to the second question sol.
I'll explain my thinking a little more about the open shooter question.
Cub and Craig are saying if a team's main two scorers are shooters, they like to double both of them and then set their defense at -4. Lets say shooter A is the pg, and shooter B is the sg.
Pg brings the ball up the court and draws the double team. As a result, someone on the court is left open. If the player left open is the sg, we have a problem and the double team has backfired. This is my fear of that strategy, hopefully that makes more sense now.
I think knowing how the code works might help answer our questions. This is an educated guess, but still a guess. I don't know if the sim designates a specific player that is left open. I believe there is just one big formula and the sim spits out a result of each play based on your settings and RNG. An example of a possession might look something like:
1. Based on inputs (player attributes, off/def sets, user settings), determine chance of turnover (10% chance) or shot attempt (90% chance). RNG.
2. If turnover, determine which player turned ball over (40% chance of PG adjusted by PG's bh/pass, 25% of SG adjusted by SG bh/pass, etc). RNG.
3. If shot attempt, determine who shot the ball (determined by several inputs such as def +/-, offensive distro, DT, etc). RNG. Calculate chance of miss/make. RNG.
4. If miss, determine who rebounds.
5. Change possession. Adjust clock. Etc.
In the case of a double team, the DT'd player would probably be adjusted from a 20% chance of shooting to a 10% chance. All other players might get a slight boost of 2-3%. If you DT 2 players, then they would both be reduced by 8% and the remaining 3 players would still get that 2-3% boost. Of course, I don't know the exact numbers, but I would think it current system is similar to this. I guess there could be something in the code that states if a PG is doubled, then the SG would be the "open" man and get increased % chance of being the shooter, but I kinda doubt it.