Quote: Originally Posted By dalter on 1/28/2010
isack, for a very long time, I had a really significant problem with the results I saw on a game-to-game basis. Specifically with how distro was handled (which I'm still often stupefied by), and also sometimes with seemingly inexplicable discrepances in rebounding and ft's that just didn't seem to match up with the talent level on the teams in question.
I had protracted debates and discussions in the forums with other users (most notably davis, who is a stats guy) on this topic. Their contention is that some/many of these results were statistically acceptable. And perhaps some were, but some were not. And then there is also the overriding issue of the fact that it might be acceptable .05% of the time, but if it happens 5% of the time (impossible to measure), that's a real problem.
I still think those issues exist, but by-and-large I have just focused on being big-picture oriented -- W/L for the entire season -- and tried to just let it go when I see results that I think don't make sense.
I think that generally the overall W/L plays out pretty well over the course of the season (although quite often individual players' stats do not).
Hang in there, and try to focus more big picture. It'll help keep your sanity.
Thanks dalter, I appreciate it.
Coincidentally, I decided to do just that this morning after another tough loss in D3 (albeit to a top-five team and one that I don't question, but a game that I could have won).
I realize that I'm slowing losing interest in HD, but that's mostly, I think, because I take it too seriously. It's just my nature to do that, but I realize I need to take a step back. This is supopsed to be fun! :)
On the rebounding issue, I agree that zone is worse in RL almost all the time. I do think when you have athletic bigs (like Syracuse), having those guys down low and not having to come out and guard a guy like Greg Monroe on the perimeter is a plus. Pulling bigs out like you would have to do against the swing if you are playing man, disadvantages you. But generally, yeah, you guys are right, especially in anything other than high level D1 or international play.