Posted by zhawks on 1/5/2011 12:54:00 PM (view original):
Posted by brip87 on 1/5/2011 11:25:00 AM (view original):
Another huge flaw is the hiring process in d1. D1 is a complete mess.
I've written books on this and how I really think an easy change to how schools prestige is calculated as well as some small tweeks to hiring process would make a huge difference, I'll try to outline them quickly.
- New Prestige (moving Baseline)
Have a moving baseline prestige of 20-30 years
have this 'baseline' help schools who have decades of success get rewarded for that and keep those that ruin duke/unc and other elites get punished
use this moving baseline as your 'hiring tool' base hires off of this prestige.
I suggest calculating this with some portion of the 'moving basline' the current 'fixed basline' IE duke will get a boost with an A+ value in this category which would keep them from ever falling to the very bottom
This doesn't solve all the problems but I think the idea of moving baseline is something to consider, again I don't want 500 people saying "it takes more than the four year window to become elite" - yes i totally agree, hence why I say 20-30 years being used in the baseline calculation.
i've had a similar idea in mind for a while:
-prestige should be adjusted based on the perceived prestige of the school for 18-year-old recruits. thus you have the last 10 years, plus an "all-time" factor that kids pick up on in their formative years. this "all-time" factor includes the original baseline prestige as well as all seasons predating the 10-year window (where the very very best seasons and dynasties get a large advantage over one-time-champs or no-championship consecutive final 4 runs, etc. because they would be very historically significant).
to summarize:
-10-year prestige window (example season weighting scale: last season 10.0, season before 6.3, season before 4.4, 3.3, 2.6, 2.1, 1.8, 1.6, 1.5, 1.4. more than half of the weight is in the last 3 years, and all of the last 10 years matter.)
-moving baseline prestige based on baseline prestige AND all other seasons put together, with exponential effects for multiple and consecutive titles
also, i like the idea of the number of local recruits increasing based on your success 8-12 years ago, i.e. if your win a title BYU and Colorado makes the elite eight, there's a slight uptick in the number of 6-10 yr olds who pick up basketball in Colorado.