Posted by Jtpsops on 9/19/2022 12:52:00 PM (view original):
Posted by chargingryno on 9/13/2022 1:00:00 PM (view original):
If you’re in a wins floor/lottery league, and you think 98% of the owners aren’t doing anything to improve their chances to get the top pick, you’re kidding yourself. Like contrarian mentioned, there are dozens of ways that you’d never even know.
to be honest, I think a majority of Wis owners wouldn’t even call it cheating. It drives me crazy, and is why like contrarian, all my leagues take tanking out of the equation with a draft formula or random 1st round. I’m only in one league with a wins floor and I’m only still in it cause I respect the commish, but every year the same team tanks and puts best players in AAA or as mop ups or a dozen other things and it drives me crazy.
While I don't disagree with you, that doesn't mean commissioners shouldn't make it more difficult to cheat. Playing a position player at C for a good chunk of the season is a great way to ensure losses. Shaving 10-20 pitches per start off someone like Kershaw is not going to guarantee a loss. I don't endorse tanking of any kind, but the old argument of "it's going to happen anyway, so we should do nothing" is foolish and damaging. Plus, if you come down hard on the obvious tankers, it might give some of the "subtle" cheaters pause, if they know people are scrutinizing.
Ultimately, I think other forms of cheating can still be sniffed out to at least let owners know they're on watch. A commish can send private emails to someone to say "Hey, it may not be anything intentional, but I noticed Maddux is averaging 83 pitches/start, when in RL he threw over 7IP/start, which is easily over 100 pitches available." or "I noticed Lincecum has over 200 RL IP, but he's on pace for 142 IP, while you have Pitcher X, who is worse and had 150 RL IP, on pace for 215 IP".
But that too can depend on rotational setups... I rarely use pitchers to their max IP/G pitch counts. I typically run 2-3 man rotations even if I don't have a single pitcher over 200 IP. For example, on a team right now, I have Messersmith, Randy Jones, and Mike Marshall as my only pitchers with more than 120 IP. I have Messersmith and Jones in essentially a 2-man rotation. By that standard, Messersmith is throwing roughly 1 IP less per game than his RL IP/G and on an 85 PC, but I'm absolutely not tanking. And Marshall is obviously an odd case, but even with the best management of his IP, IP/G, and appearances, there's just no way to realistically even approach his RL IP, but no one one my team is being used remotely like RL (and I only have 1,256 total RL IP, even knowing I can't use roughly 40 IP of Marshall), nor did I draft a pitching staff that looks like it would remotely work. And yet, I actually have the league best pitching staff right now by virtually every measure (OAV, OOBP, OSLG, WHIP, ERA).
You can't always measure tanking by usage patterns. Results matter, too, and many times the two can be confused and hidden by an owner with the knowledge of how to do so.