Not the finish I was remotely expecting,
8/8/2023 10:13 PM
Here is a final summary of my 15 teams. Most ended with pretty mediocre records (only three with 90+ wins). My teams' expected winning% was getting closer to their actual winning% as the season wore on, but overall, still a little bit unlucky. The average difference of -.018 per team represents about 3 wins per team. One of my 15 teams was lucky (Cubs). The rest were neutral luck (Giants, Twins) to very unlucky (Athletics, Yankees)

The right-most column shows my teams' Exp Win% ranking within their respective leagues (i.e., AL or NL). A top 4 ranking should generally mean a playoff team. I had 10 teams in the top 4 in expected winning%, but only 6 made the playoffs. My Yankees (my most frustrating team) team had the tournament's largest difference between 2+ run win% (.565) and 1-run win% (.323). They missed the playoffs by 1 game. Their Exp Win% (.568) was the exact same as footballmm11's 102-win Giants team. One team was 30-12 in 1-run games, the other was10-21.
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My Teams Pick# W-L Record Winning% Exp Win% Difference Overall Rank Exp Win% Rank
Tigers 09-30-45-67-87-05 6 103-59 0.636 0.653 -0.017 2 1
Giants 05-36-50-78-87-04 4 101-61 0.623 0.622 0.001 4 1
Pirates 03-28-44--70-87-12 4 91-71 0.562 0.589 -0.027 25 1
Red Sox 08-41-58-64-81-18 6 89-73 0.549 0.579 -0.030 34 2
Cardinals 22-42-57-72-87-06 12 87-75 0.537 0.564 -0.027 46 3
Reds 20-24-44-76-91-14 10 85-77 0.525 0.552 -0.027 56 2
White Sox 19-27-58-64-01-14 11 85-77 0.525 0.539 -0.014 58 5
Giants 21-33-47-63-95-09 19 85-77 0.525 0.537 -0.012 59 3
Yankees 19-1937-45-78-02-17 8 84-78 0.519 0.568 -0.049 65 3
Braves 18-28-48-74-96-10 16 83-79 0.512 0.530 -0.018 73 4
Twins 19-31-45-70-86-06 4 83-79 0.512 0.517 -0.005 74 5
Athletics 14-30-47-81-94-03 7 82-80 0.506 0.548 -0.042 79 3
Dodgers 20-30-49-70-85-11 23 82-80 0.506 0.533 -0.027 80 5
Cubs 06-23-44-66-90-14 5 81-81 0.500 0.452 0.048 91 10
Indians 03-30-44-69-88-16 9 77-85 0.475 0.500 -0.025 113 9
Averages 9.6 86.5 Wins 0.534 0.552 -0.018 3.8
8/8/2023 10:55 PM
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