Quote: Originally Posted By oldave on 1/01/2010
hey fellas, I have tried for a long time to understand ORs theories on this topic. Nearly everyone else, it seems, *gets it*.
let me throw this question out there to see if I can better understand ..
we talk alot about "heavy lifters" and I think OR and others mean "the folks who schedule a tough SOS".
here's a question, which of these teams is more of a "heavy-lifter"?
A- 10-0 200-SOS
B- 5-5 3-SOS
my opinion is that the "heavy lifters" are the best teams, and most times , those are the teams with the best rpis. i sense that those who are not "heavy lifters" are a bit frowned upon, but, i think it is just a case where those who are not heavylifteing just dont have as good of teams.
you cant really judge anything at the end of OOC play. a 5 SOS could turn into a 205 SOS and vice versa. The perfect example was taz and his Chicago team in the upstate. season after season he would schedule the 10 toughest teams in wooden... Say he finished OOC with a 6-4 record. His RPI would usually be in the mid 100's and his SOS in the mid 200's. This is due to the fact that his opponents scheduled equally tough as well and were all 5 or 6 win teams.. . .
Now fast forward to conference game #5. Taz is now 8-4 and all his OOC opponents are 10-4. His SOS plummets from 240 to 40. And while his SOS "said" it was over 200 when conference play started, it really ends up being a Top 3 SOS when OOC is isolated at the end of the season.
As to your question: whats a heavy-lifter? At the end of conference play, its the coaches that have wins against teams with better RPI's and very few losses against teams with worse. Anyone in the Top 25 for RPI is an automatic "heavy-lifter"
I'm sure we could figure out some point system. zero points for wins against lower RPIs. zero for losses against better RPI. +1 when you beat a better RPI and -1 when you lose to a worse RPI.