Posted by possumfiend on 9/18/2015 11:45:00 AM (view original):
The propensity for histrionics and hysteria on these forums lately is laughable. By mully's definition in one of the posts above, I'm a good coach. I took over a C+ school that had one PI berth in the 10 seasons prior to my arrival. I have built them up to an A prestige, I have made the NT 12 seasons in a row including 3 Sweet 16s and an Elite 8 in the last 10 seasons, and in the current season I'm ranked #12, with the #7 RPI and I'm sitting at #9 on the projection report with one game remaining in the regular season. I probably could "move up" to a school with a higher baseline prestige, but I don't want to. I also know I'm not even in the running to be considered among the top coaches in this game (but who really cares - it's all very subjective anyway) because there are too many people out there with better resumes and better success, but I certainly don't have trouble competing and I'm also willing to cede some of the advantages that I now have if it helps to make the game more fun for other guys stepping into the world. I don't just want to hand everyone an A+ franchise so we can all compete evenly every single season while holding hands and singing kumbaya but the barriers to succeeding in this game are far too steep compared to what it takes to stay on top.
And let's also be clear that I'm not advocating for UMBC to be as attractive as BC (but then I'm not sure why BC should even really be that attractive ... the RL squad hasn't made a tourney appearance since 2009 and haven't advanced beyond the second round of the NCAA's in over 20 years). Still, I do think Big 6 schools SHOULD have advantages over the Horizon league, and they do in the way of baseline prestige. As I understand it that's not going away. I do think baseline's should be updated to more accurately reflect the current RL NCAA environment (I actually would like to see them updated annually after the National Championship game) but I have yet to hear one convincing argument for retaining postseason cash - particularly at the D1 level.
The issue with conference money is that even among the Big 6 conferences, the playing field isn't level in HD (and by and large there are very few SIMs in the Big 6 so presumably the disparity shouldn't be so great). I'm not talking about individual teams, I'm talking about conferences as a whole. Go back and look at the data over each world over the last last 10 seasons. One thing that is very obvious, and has emerged more so in some worlds than others, is the ACC has distinctive advantages with respect to recruit generation and how that ties into what stewdog refers to as "location, location, location". In every world except Phelan, Rupp and Wooden, the ACC has, over the past 10 seasons, outperformed every other conference in terms of post season cash. In Phelan and Rupp the balance is pretty even. In Wooden the ACC has taken a backseat to the Big East for territorial dominance and the Big East dominates that world like the ACC does in Allen, Iba and Crum. Excluding Phelan, Rupp, and Wooden, the average postseason earnings per team in each Big 6 conference over the last 10 seasons is:
ACC $41,482
Big 10 $24,655
Big 12: $30,179
Big East: $23,660
Pac 10: $24,357
SEC: $19,458
I could go on with more examples of the disparities among the Big 6 conferences which all pretty clearly demonstrate the problems and imbalances even among the Big 6 conferences. Imbalances and disparities that favor the East Coast in general and more specifically the ACC. Sure there are other schools around the country that are generally pretty successful season in and season out. The Big 12, Big 10 and Pac 10 have some isolation benefits that allow the higher baseline schools in those conferences to field successful teams. So teams like Kansas, Michigan St, Illinois, Wisconsin, UCLA, Arizona and Stanford all have above average chance for success.
Smart coaches like Stew figured this out a long time ago and of course someone in Stew's position will argue for keeping conference money and dumping prestige because if you dump conference money in favor of prestige then every season Stew has to actually compete on more equal footing with a schools like Kentucky and Florida that have similar or higher prestige (just like in RL). This would create a more real world scenario of ebb and flow among the elite baselines teams where some years the SEC is on top and some years the PAC 10 is on top and some years the Big 10 or Big 12 is on top and some years the ACC is on top. Conversely, if you eliminate prestige and allow the ACC to keep their money, Coaches like Stew are now on even footing from a baseline perspective but because the ACC is armed with such a distortion of funds in Allen, Crum and Iba the other Big 6 conferences will still be unable to compete. Stew will still get the cream of the crop and the cycle will perpetuate.
I don't really mean to pick on Stew (he just happens to be the one who decided to post his treatise in response to seble), but I did find his comments interesting. "Duke, unc, wake, nc st will all die if there's no conference tourney money". Maybe that's true, maybe not, but with continued conference tourney money going to the ACC every season it has been amply demonstrated that the SEC and Big East can't compete and have already died in IBA and ALLEN - but I guess that doesn't matter.
I guess I look at it this way, a while back there was a thread on these forums from a guy who liked to play NCAA Football or some video game on "easy mode". The community eviscerated the guy because everyone here likes "competition". Yet everyone gets completely out of sorts when seble says he is going to eliminate "easy mode" and force you to actually compete and not just "pick" the guy I want ever season because I've been at my school for 30+ seasons and I've won 4 consecutive championships and and have an A+ prestige and carryover more than most people dream about ... yada, yada, yada. Is that really fun for you?
If it is why don't we just ask seble to develop a What if Final Four game where we just pick the four most dominant schools in each world and just place them in the Final Four every season while the rest of us will play some meaningless games to bide the time?
I am concerned about the ambition here with this project, I really advocated for some textural changes in line with what FD and others have posted in these forums but I don't think that is going to happen and I'm still curious to see the product that the dev team comes up with and trust that they will take the time to get it right - I also trust if they don't, they'll scrap it or alter it (I may be wrong on that point). So if my choice is move forward with the proposal being developed or nothing at all I opt for moving forward and testing because I think the game would benefit if we all got to actually compete a little more and didn't just rely so heavily on the loopholes and advantages we exploit along the way.
Interesting take... but you didn't address a single solution I gave.
I do NOT want status quo and AGREE FULLY that I have ridiculous advantages that need to be mitigated... which is why I posted. But I also am not sure you read or commented on a single proposed solution or why they wouldn't work or help.
That would be more helpful to me than to say I want "easy mode" which I thought was clear from my post. I want to have to compete with UConn, Texas, UCLA, KS, etc. I want to have to debate whether to leave a high potential guy to Georgia and instead go after a top guy in California.
You wonder why BC is attractive in HD, not real life? Location- they are an outlier in a good conference. Location.
Why is ACC best? Baseline prestige attracts the best coaches produces a longer term cycle. I think if baseline prestige was eliminated, we would see great coaches spread into Big 12, which could be just as good other than the fact they don't typically have as high of calibur coaching from 1-12 (bc of prestige).
1- critique my solutions. I would love that. Simple "its not fair he's on top &he wants to play easy mode" are incorrect conclusions towards my aforementioned "rants." I would prefer a solution and critique of my proposals... that's why I put myself out there. I told you the loopholes and weaknesses and offered very real and very doable solutions.
2- Give me a realistic justification for why a "real life sports simulation" should do away with conference tourney money if there are other more realistic ways to even it out?
3- Does Wichita State EVER beat Kansas for priority recruits? Why can they compete in real life? Is recruiting really the problem here?