Torn between to lovers (Or FA SP) Topic

I have money to go all in for one guy. These are the two SP I have to pick from. 

Player 1 Age 31 - http://whatifsports.com/HBD/Pages/Popups/PlayerProfile.aspx?pid=4783224   Played in  Coors Field   3  2  3  4  4

Player 2 Age 29 - http://whatifsports.com/HBD/Pages/Popups/PlayerProfile.aspx?pid=4781052   Played in  Alliance Bank Stadium  0  0  0  0  0

There new home will be Safeco field  -3  -2  -1 -2  -2

Everything is about the same for these two guys except.

                     vLH    vRH     Vol    Gb     Age 
Player 1        75      83       42     42      31
Player 2        61      81       89     97      29




 

2/16/2014 10:11 AM (edited)
Melendez velocity and gb/fb make him a better pitcher, but you'd get 20(?) more IP/season out of Perez.  I'd go with Melendez.
2/16/2014 9:50 AM
Posted by shobob on 2/16/2014 9:50:00 AM (view original):
Melendez velocity and gb/fb make him a better pitcher, but you'd get 20(?) more IP/season out of Perez.  I'd go with Melendez.
Thanks for the input Shobob. I am surprised so many people have read this and did not have anything to say.  
2/16/2014 1:41 PM
Posted by shobob on 2/16/2014 9:50:00 AM (view original):
Melendez velocity and gb/fb make him a better pitcher, but you'd get 20(?) more IP/season out of Perez.  I'd go with Melendez.
I didn't comment because shobob nailed it perfectly.  +1.
2/16/2014 1:48 PM
I'd actually lean the other way, and not because of the extra innings (which could be more than 20). I actually wouldn't expect Melendez to be the better pitcher, inning for inning. He's younger, but not (IMO) better.

Oh, and unless this is the most pitcher dead World in history, I sincerely hope having the money to go "all in" on either of these guys does not mean you are anywhere near considering a max deal.
2/16/2014 11:37 PM
I'd expect Melendez to run an ERA of 3.10 - 3.20 in SEA in the AL, with Perez at about 0.3 worse than that.  Used carefully you can probably get 280-300 innings out of Melendez, and about 30-40 more out of Perez.  At that many innings those guys are each 5-6 WAR pitchers... I'd be pretty comfortable going $15M a season here and if my finances were right for it a max deal wouldn't be out of the question. 

But if you do go max, you have to juggle your rotation to get whichever one of them you end up with 45-50 starts, or starts with a long pitch count.

2/16/2014 11:52 PM
Both of these guys would be solid #1 SP in my (Season 9) pitching starved league. There are few all world guys but there is a big drop off after that. There will not be a real true #1 hitting the FA market until season #11. 
2/17/2014 12:10 AM
Torn between to lovers (Or FA SP) Topic

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