factors you may (or may not but should) be considering that you didn't mention: conference budgets. carryover potential. distance from recruit for both, is the recruit a pulldown or immediately recruitable for you?
short answer is almost assuredly not worth it. He's probably got around a 2:1 prestige advantage, so at equal distance your 40k is only 20 for him to match...
also, posting this here tells everyone reading the thread your remaining budget, so you might not want that...