I have a guy who was hiting below .200 before the all-star break and has hit probably close to .400 in the last 30 games. And I'm sure we all have experienced players getting hot or going ice cold, sometimes for long stretches.
Question for the group:
(1) Do you think these streaks are just normal probabilistic fluctuations? ie. every at-bat is a completely independent event.
(2) Or have the developers built in a mechanism to simulate increasing or decreasing confidence? ie. a hidden modifier to the attributes that can change over time. I have played in simulation games that have a "confidence" attribute that you can explicity see change during the game and over the course of the season.
Have the developers ever addressed this?