I don't know who Pat Buchanon is, but I'm quite familiar with Pat Buchanan. Bush was at 79% approval after the 1st Gulf War. Who dared run against him? Ron Paul dropped out before the primaries even began. That left crazy David Duke who ran as a Republican, (In 1988 he ran as a democrat) and "I run for President every year" Harold Stassen. Oh yeah. And there was one other guy. Pat Buchanan.
It's not as simple as Buchanan and Gingrich destroyed Bush. Revisionist history? I think not. Gingrich was a one trick pony on one vote. Buchanan was a journalist turned politician who was a thorn in the side. Clinton had the same problem with his opposition early on. That's what happens in primaries. More hurtful to Bush was what the democrats did to him (as I have already stated and you label as revisionist) and the most destructive element which neither of us have bothered to touch on. I will do so shortly. But first we'll take a look at the 1992 democratic field.
Bush was so strong none of the big shots in the party bothered to run. My short list of democrats who chose to sit this one out include Lloyd Bentsen, Bill Bradley, Mario Cuomo, Tom Foley, Al Gore, Dick Gephardt, Sam Nunn, Jay Rockefeller, Jackson, McGovern, Mitchell, Moynihan, Richards, Robb, Schroeder and others. Who the hell did run? Hummmm….Kerney, Harkin, Tsongas and McCarthy. OH yeah, and one other guy. Clinton. Billy boy didn't win ANY of the early primaries and only showed up on the 3rd and 7th when he won super tuesday. His populist demeanor finally gained traction against his lackluster opponents. (Who were by the way, bashing him in the primaries for the Jennifer Flowers incident)
So why did Bush go with the tax increase? Well…the economy was in a slight recession. Bush has since said he should have rode it out but other factors long since forgotten were in place at that time. Who controlled the Senate? Who controlled the House? It wasn't the Republicans. There was something in place called the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Act which called for a balanced budget. Had Bush done nothing there would have been mandatory across the board cuts to Medicare, Social Security and Defense. Bush wasn't willing to go there. Gingrich was. The democrats weren't. Two against one. So what happened?
Bush proposed a 5% or 5 cent increase (I forget which one) on gasoline and perhaps an increase on tobacco and alcohol. He thought he had enough support from the Republicans to get it passed. Enter Gingrich and the House democrats. Gingrich got over 100 Republicans to vote against it and the liberal democrats voted against it because they said it was too heavy a tax on poor people. Disaster! The government shutdown over the Columbus Day weekend and all hell broke loose. Bush came back over the weekend with a 3% tax increase on the richest Americans and modified other aspects of the new tax and was able to pass it. That was it.
Bush still had majority support. Buchanan bashed Bush no harder than Clintons opponents bashed him. Gingrich supported Bush the rest of the way. Eventually it won Gingrich the House leadership and lead to Republican control of the House for the first time in 40 years.
That's all interesting but that's not why Bush lost the election. Bill Clinton won with less than 50% of the vote. First time since Abe Lincoln unless Teddy and the Bull Moose party screwed up a majority vote earlier. I'd have to look that one up. Point is, it wan't the tax increase that killed Bush, although it didn't help. It wasn't Buchanan or Gingrich. It wasn't Clinton or the democrats.
THE ANSWER: Ross Perot.
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