Question on particular pitcher.... Topic

I struggle with the knowledge on what to do with a pitcher like this guy Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Xander Miranda  I see so many people give up on a player like this and I wonder myself is his control so low that he is of no use in the ML? Where would his talents be best used? Am I relying on the AI projections too much and seeing some of the projections and putting too much value in them?  I learned today that 10M isn't really a lot for Advance so am I just banging my head on the wall until I learn to project players or spend more on Advance?

I know most of you can't see the projections or might not click so here is the Current rating followed by projection in "()"
Durability 21 (30), Stamina 78 (87), Control 46 (56), L Split 74 (86), R Split 69 (81), Velocity 94 (96), GB/FB 83 (84), P1 88 (88), P2 66 (66). P3 60 (66).



1/12/2015 5:44 PM
I'll take him off your hands
1/12/2015 6:19 PM

He's a good example about 10m in ADV being pretty much useless.

Between S27 and S28 he increased this much in the following:
Control 1
VL 0
VR 1
P1 0
P2 1
P3 0
P4 2

Any projection that has him increasing more than 1-2 in any of those categories is wrong. 

Anyway, back to his usage, he'll be OK as a BL pitcher.   Around league average.

1/12/2015 6:24 PM
Mike do you typically leave a guy like that as a starter? Or are guys with limited control and ok other values better in a different role?
1/12/2015 6:38 PM
I generally have 6-8 pitchers with starter stamina.   My best 5 begin as starters.   I usually have 2-3 that will stay there all season regardless of results.   The others get moved from SP to LR to SP until I find someone who can fill out my rotation.
1/12/2015 6:41 PM
Sounds good. Thank you for your help!
1/12/2015 7:07 PM
One thing that's very important to learn is that players usually don't develop much once they have 4 years of pro experience. There are exceptions, especially with pitchers. But generally after 4 years the player won't have any drastic improvement left.

1/12/2015 7:15 PM
I wouldn't give up on him. He might still improve 1 or 2 points in control, vR, speed, and pitches 2,3,and 4. That might end up making a pretty big difference in his stats by the time he's 26.
1/12/2015 7:27 PM
1) 1-2 points per category-- which is a high side estimate, I personally think he's not gaining anything given his lack of development last season and this season-- won't change his performance very much.
2)  I found a few comps for him; the weighted average was about 10% worse than park-adjusted league average.  About halfway between average and replacement.  I don't think you'll want to take him to arb more than once, but he'll be a useful LRB as long as he's making close to the minimum.
1/12/2015 10:18 PM
Thanks for the reply's fellas.
1/13/2015 11:21 AM
Question on particular pitcher.... Topic

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