I think he only needs to out effort you by 40-50%, not 100%. that's very doable. I had a similar battle as a B school vs. C- school and lost.... went through extensive calculations
here. you also have to assume you each used your money most efficiently (HVs I would guess in this case, since most seem to agree that HV inside of 360 miles is best use of cash). with the geography being a toss up, I would say he only had to spend about 67.5K or so give or take a few dollars.
tianyi7886 was the one who put forth 40-50% advantage per letter grade in that thread.
Also, I don't think any effort is discounted regardless of the late push. You
may have won with the 45K up front if he was nibbling and only trying to match your efforts and save money. in that case, you may have gotten so far ahead that the player signed with you. I don't know how far ahead you have to get, but that's certainly possible. my understanding is the game tries to encourage battles - so it seems like unless there is overwhelming effort discrepancy between schools, the other coach gets a chance to respond.
2/17/2015 3:56 PM (edited)