I remember years and years ago, a coach named Porkpower (who was at A+ prestige Kansas), putting nearly 50K into an ineligible recruit who was among the most highly rated recruits that particular season. He was only a couple of hundred miles from the Kansas campus, 200 or so, and was offered a start, minutes, literally 100 home visits, etc. The recruit STILL went the JuCo route. I also had a stretch of 9 consecutive ineligibles show up at an A+ prestige D2 school over a period of a couple of decades using only a schollie, phone call, guaranteed start, and guaranteed minutes. $130, 9 success stories. Point being, no matter what, there are NO guarantees with ineligibles.
In your case, I would guess yes, but I wouldn't bet a nickel on it.