Posted by joshkvt on 6/11/2015 2:48:00 PM (view original):
If you don't think you'll get a different level of accuracy judging hitting skills against St. John's #3 than against Kershaw ...
Again, the ONLY job of a scout is to estimate how a kid will perform against professional competition. Good base running in a high school game in Montana could be running into outs in pro ball. Or it might actually be good base running. That's the job of the scout. A RF who can gun down guys going to third in front of a 250-foot fence may or may not be able to gun down guys going for third in front of a fence at 330. A hitter who can lay off a 40 mph curveball from a pitcher whose FB comes in at 75 and take walks may or may not be able to lay off a 73 mph slider when he's also looking at a 92 mph FB.
You're confusing RL with WIS terms. All real scouts are Advance scouts, sending their best projections to the home office. HBD is not real life. No real team is going to have $0 in what we call Advance. Ever.
Removing Currents is an attempt to close a loophole allowing teams to run 0 ADV and still draft quality players. It is not saying MLB scouts really can't provide an accurate rating of a player's skill. Not only are you confusing HBD and RL, you are using a fallacious RL argument to do so.
I know why WIS changed the scouting, and I'm not really complaining about it. Just that it doesn't seem to make much sense. A scout is looking at a players and he's going to have a better idea what that player can do now, then what he'll be able to do 5 years down the road when he has grown more physically and matured (hopefully). I also know this is WhatIfSports and not real life. real life scouts will tell a team what they think a player can do now and what they think he might be able to do in the future. If they wanted to close the advanced scouting loophole, why not give current ratings but no projected ratings to people with 40 in advanced scouting? Logically (in WIS world at least) that would make more sense. In the long run I guess it really doesn't matter.