I have never paid much attention to spread, know not to place any stock in it, and understand its mostly window dressing.
That said, I always thought there was some consistent calculation behind the scenes.  Thus, even if it wasn't accurate, it was consistent.  I am now wondering if there is more randomness than I thought.

Case in point:  I am playing a conference mate back-to-back (pm game, am off, pm game) at D1.

We both have A+ home court.

1st game, at his place:  I am favored by 1 (I win by 3)
2nd game, at my place:  He is favored by 1.

Virtually as little has changed between the 2 games as possible and the main difference is who has home court. A consistent system, would award my team a few more points for the game being at home.  Instead, his team is favored.  Much ado about nothing, I'm just bored waiting to see if I'll get Ferrum back and this struck me as odd.

 

How many days between games?

Posted by mullycj on 8/29/2015 1:21:00 PM (view original):
How many days between games?

2 a day league.
We played PM, I had next am off, we played PM again  (he had 1 game in between).
So 24 hours between games.

maybe he won another game in the meantime and his record got better, changes the formula. Plus maybe home court is like prestige and there is no upper cap so not all A+ would be equal?