Round 1 Sound Off, 2018 Topic

magicdreamer has a shot at making Round 2 despite having a team with over 120 losses! Incredible.
10/10/2018 1:42 PM
By blowing opportunities to clinch earlier, I now have two division-leading teams facing the 2nd place team (one 1 back, one 3 back) in the final series with no WC possible in either case. I still have a very outside chance of a 4th team getting in. Have only clinched one spot.
10/10/2018 2:56 PM
...and im trending to have 3 90 win teams miss the playoffs, argh!
10/10/2018 9:57 PM
The good news: with three games to go, only two of my teams have been eliminated from playoff contention.

The bad news: The other four teams are a combined ten games behind the teams they must catch. There's going to be a lot of disappointment tomorrow.
10/10/2018 11:27 PM
Feeling a bit better after starting the final series with a 5-1 and a 6-0 to clinch my 2nd and 3rd playoff teams and move into a tie for 25th. Still a lot of baseball to be played though.
10/11/2018 1:26 AM
Holy cow, my first double-schwarze! Final series now 5-1, 6-0, 6-0. Great time for a surge! Fingers crossed ...
10/11/2018 1:26 PM
27-33 over my last 10 sessions with some painful 9th inning defeats combined with hey you just plain suck 12-1's...definitely souring the mood! 2 90 win teams finish third in their division and with my usual 3-0 defeats in the first rounds in the WISC it'll be seeya next year most likely!
10/11/2018 2:13 PM
Somehow managed to salvage 2 playoff teams.

Around the 120 game mark, I had division leads of 8, 7 and 7, was tied for a WC spot, and was 3 games back of another division. 5 playoff teams looked like a real possibility. Then every single one of my teams tanked.
  • First team blew the 8 game lead and lost the division by 2 games.
  • Second team blew the division lead, but came back to win it by 2 games.
  • Third team blew the division lead, ended up 7 games back in 2nd place, then won its final 9 games to force a division tiebreaker (loser gets the WC).
  • 4th team ended up 8 games back of the WC
  • 5th team lost 11 of it's last 13 and finished 9 back in the division
It's absolutely unreal that 5 teams, all doing fairly well through 120 games, can all collapse like that over the last 1/3 of the season.
10/11/2018 7:18 PM
Got a much-needed schwarze in the PM2 cycle, helping my Coors team somewhat reverse its slide and steal the WC from NebHusker. I still snapped my four-year streak of at least one division title; only one of my five division winners won a playoff series, so it's not like I missed a ton of points or made use of them anyway.

Haven't missed the playoffs altogether since the Dark Days of 2013 (1 3rd/5 4th). I don't miss those days.
10/11/2018 9:27 PM
Seems like a good time to assess the quality of my predictions for the season, as included in my preseason writeups.

65M: "Playoff confidence is just 33%, and I’ll guess 81 wins."
Result: 73 wins, and nowhere near the playoffs (T2, 11 games back)

90M: "no more than 50% confidence in making the playoffs. Let’s call it 85 wins (+/- 3)."
Result: 89 wins (Won division by 5 games)

100M: "feels like a 90+-win squad to me. I give it an 80% shot at playoffs."
Result: 82 wins (T3, 7 games back, missed playoff TB by 1 game)

110M: "I’ll go with 85% playoff confidence and 90 wins projected."
Result: Nailed it! 90 wins and WC berth (2nd, 7 back and 7 ahead of next WC contender)

130M: "I’m going with 75% confidence in making the playoffs. Upper-80s feels right for a win total."
Result: My best team at 91 wins but no playoffs (2nd, 8 back and missed WC by 11)

255M: "50% playoff confidence and a projected 86 wins."
Result: 81 wins (Won division by 5 games)

So only 1 of my 3 highest confidence teams made the playoffs, but 2 others did. My biggest fear was correctly realized with my 65M disaster.

In the owner poll, I put myself at 50/50 for R2. I was pre-rank at 22. I am sitting at ... tied for 21st, which is basically also 22nd. Projected to finish 18th. I'll be thrilled if that happens.
10/11/2018 10:50 PM
I wish my "disaster" teams had 73 wins! Would likely be able to look at R2 themes if they were... also sad two teams had a chance to clinch division yesterday and neither came through, leaving me with (statistically speaking) tougher first round matchups. Oh well, like I said before, just talking playoff matchups is new and exciting. Good luck to everyone in playoffs and those in round two. Already looking forward to next year!
10/12/2018 7:39 AM
2 playoff teams!!! First time i have every made the playoffs in any league in this tourney!
10/12/2018 10:19 AM
Not surprisingly, my four teams were all eliminated yesterday. Time for a blistering post-mortem.
10/13/2018 1:38 AM
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Round 1 Sound Off, 2018 Topic

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