Guess the odds: DIII vs. DI version Topic

Team A:
507 AP, 20 HV, 1 CV, no promises, VG Close to Home, Neutral Strong Conference, A+ Prestige in DIII

Team B:
280 AP, 0 HV, 0 CV, 25 promised minutes, 1 promised start, VG Close to Home, VG Strong Conference, C- Prestige in DI

I'll post the answer sometime tomorrow evening or over the weekend.
11/1/2018 8:01 PM
58-42 the d3 team
11/1/2018 9:25 PM
Did he have "wants to play" preference? If so, 60/40 D1.
11/2/2018 10:11 AM
I’m assuming no preference for playing time. I don’t think it would have been particularly close if there was a playing time preference. I suspect even just a campus visit would have put this solidly in team B hands.

54-46 for team A is my guess, as it stands.

I’ll be interested to to see the result, there aren’t many battles between these divisions.
11/2/2018 10:30 AM
Would also be useful to know how close each player is for the "Close to Home" pref...I am imagining the kid practically lives on the D3 campus if they were able to afford 20 HV?s and a CV given how small D3 budgets are.
11/2/2018 5:35 PM
Posted by Trentonjoe on 11/1/2018 9:25:00 PM (view original):
58-42 the d3 team
Agree with this. I don't think the D3 team should even be in contention in this scenario in light of the promises, but this is the game we have.
11/2/2018 8:23 PM
100-0 Team B
11/2/2018 10:57 PM
I'm confused to why the Division 3 team put all that effort in and didn't make any promises?

I'll go 54-46 Team B, which is the Division 1 team.

11/3/2018 1:06 AM
Posted by thewizard17 on 11/3/2018 1:06:00 AM (view original):
I'm confused to why the Division 3 team put all that effort in and didn't make any promises?

I'll go 54-46 Team B, which is the Division 1 team.

Good point added to this. That is rather odd. Maybe the D3 is a title contender this season, top heavy roster, running zone? Would take the freshman but doesn't wanna risk them in the lineup this season. Maybe with intent to attempt a redshirt?

I have no clue how to compare odds in this game. So I'll say 51/49 to the D1.
11/3/2018 5:06 AM
Where you at gdog? Supposed to post the result 2 days ago. I honestly don’t think the D3 has a chance and I’d be very surprised if it even went to a dice roll.
11/3/2018 1:28 PM
Posted by zagsrulez on 11/3/2018 1:28:00 PM (view original):
Where you at gdog? Supposed to post the result 2 days ago. I honestly don’t think the D3 has a chance and I’d be very surprised if it even went to a dice roll.
He said over the weekend. Today is Saturday.
11/3/2018 4:44 PM
Posted by zagsrulez on 11/3/2018 1:28:00 PM (view original):
Where you at gdog? Supposed to post the result 2 days ago. I honestly don’t think the D3 has a chance and I’d be very surprised if it even went to a dice roll.
The D1 school just doesn’t have much effort on the table. The promises don’t mean a ton by themselves, without a preference to play. You can argue that the stand-alone effect of a D1 start should be more than it is, but there are just as many people (on the forums, anyway) complaining that promises are too strong, and don’t like that they feel like they have to make promises to maximize their own chances. If the D1 school is ahead, it’s on the strength of that stand-alone promise, amplified by the division difference. It had good preferences, but with very little effort, declined to really utilize them.

I’d be mildly surprised if the D1 school is ahead.
11/3/2018 6:20 PM
Team B 66-34.
11/4/2018 3:22 AM
I am mildly surprised. Thanks for posting the battle, gdog. Good case study in how the differences between divisions actually works out.
11/4/2018 7:53 AM
Posted by gdog13cavs on 11/4/2018 3:22:00 AM (view original):
Team B 66-34.
This is somewhat encouraging. Thanks for posting!
11/4/2018 10:56 AM
Guess the odds: DIII vs. DI version Topic

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