I’m going to divulge a bit of my personal gameplanning here, not like it’s a trade secret, or anything. I aim for about 50, give or take. No special reason, other than simplicity for my own sake. 50 is about the number of shots my teams take on average, in normal tempo games, so I’m basically setting distribution based on how many shots I would like each player to take. In this particular game, I had brought Salinas and Huang down a couple each from where they had been, because I was slowing down, and against this particular defense, I wanted a more balanced approach.
I normally view it something like doggg and fd, in that I have presumed the excess distribution gets distributed judiciously based on where the defense is set - so we’re not forcing it into the teeth of my opponents defense. Usually it plays out pretty close to what I expect. But this time, the opponent played a + defense, and my distribution skewed far in the direction opposite of what I wanted, or would have expected.
That has me leaning toward TJs explanation, along the lines of the constant doubleteam of a press skewing it more toward the guard, in spite of the defensive setting.