def adjustments:
this one is way more debatable and meaningful. this setting has a meaningful effect on a substantial % of games.
before getting into mechanics, the answer largely hinges on your game planning. for starters... do you do it? if you are skipping game plans regularly, like during the regular season, the 'always' setting is probably the best, or maybe 'if losing'. generally speaking, the sim is adjusting based on where the shots are taken, and the majority of the time, the sim auto adjusts in the right direction. on the other hand, i'd never in a million years use 'always' for the post season.
when game planning, to me the question hinges on a couple things. one, how confident are you in what your opponent is going to do? 95% of opponents, if not more, run the same general scheme every game. sure, they may tweak this or that, but its not like one day, they are going to target shooting 40% 3s, and the next, 15%. but still, you have to do the work of looking. the more you do this work, the more confident you are in what your opponent's scheme is, the less you want to auto adjust.
the second thing is, how confident are you in your own game planning? if you are highly confident your +1 setting is the right setting, go ahead and put it on never or if losing by 10. this is typically where i am in the NT. i used to run a lot of 'if losing' or 'if losing by 5', but the sim engine is really not that intelligent in the adjustment here, and its not hesitant to make its most extreme adjustments (+ or - 2, the game won't adjust by more than 2).
so, it really comes down to - how confident are you in the setting you are running - the less you are, the better to let the sim adjust. the more you are, the worse the sim adjustment becomes.
the adjustment runs on shots taken, not what is made, and definitely not what 'should be made'. so its a pretty rough measure. if the opponent sucks at 3s and is jacking them up and missing most, do you need to go out +2 more and give up all those boards and make the paint shots better? definitely not. also, the variance in a single half is huge. what is your opponent taking, like 30 shots? that's a pretty crappy sample. the opponent might take 9 shots on average, thats 30%, but taking just 3 fewer or 3 more creates a 2 factor range (6/30 to 12/30, 20% to 40%). so, the 'input' to the 'defense auto adjust' function, its just half garbage to start with. garbage in, garbage out.
hence my conclusion - if you are skipping game planning or really new, let it adjust - even if winning. if you are fairly new but have basic competence, maybe if losing by 5? if you are pretty good, and we are talking post season, i'd just turn it off. maybe if losing by 10 because who knows, at that point, you may not be able to screw things up that badly? i still favor 'never' myself for the post season, but can't knock if losing by 10 too hard.
11/20/2019 11:09 PM (edited)