41 points in growth and still green Topic

For defense. He’s a walk on but I do t think that matters.

https://www.whatifsports.com/hd/PlayerProfile/Ratings.aspx?tid=0&pid=4526919
6/10/2020 11:08 AM
Wow. Still green?! Never seen anything like it
6/10/2020 11:12 AM
Wow, how many practice minutes 100, more?
6/10/2020 1:33 PM
*somebody* has to know where that awesome study is that lays all this out so we can see how rare this kind of case is...
6/10/2020 3:20 PM
That's impressive, Joe. How many minutes do you have there?
6/10/2020 3:46 PM
90 minutes
6/10/2020 10:17 PM
I suspect def can raise a ton but most people are unwilling to try recruiting a guy sub 30 even if green, and for good reason.....
6/10/2020 10:18 PM
I'm not afraid of players with low defense that is green. I sign a lot of them while running press, if the player has good SPD/ST. I've never had growth even close to that tho!

I do get a lot of high growth in defense, but nothing similar or even close to what you posted here. Defense seems to be right behind PER/LP when looking at development before color change on average
6/11/2020 5:25 AM
I think it’s still a lot less. This is one instance so we can’t make huge conclusions. Recently I had 26 to 85 P development.

There was a study once on the average gains. Can anyone pull it up?
6/11/2020 9:46 AM
Y'all owe me. This took me like 2 hours of searching the forums but I think I found the thread gil has been talking about:

https://www.whatifsports.com/forums/Posts.aspx?topicID=483423

It's not a "dog" though - it's a possum (I know someone in another thread mentioned the person who posted the study was an "animal" username).

Full post:
I ran an Excel macro to pull data on some past rosters. I specifically looked at players whose first season in Crum was Season 67 (the first season they started tracking starting ratings and ending ratings). The data set includes 2,466 players. To clarify the table the columns show the number of players with ratings growth in each range listed on the far left (so 1,090 of the 2,466 players I pulled data on had an increase in athleticism ranging from 0 to 6 points, etc, etc.,) the "minimum"and "maximum" rows show the highest and lowest growth in each category and the "average" row is the average increase of all players in this grouping.

I didn't include it in the chart below but there were 16 players who showed overall increases of 300 points or better over their careers. 11 of those 16 were five-year players. The greatest increase was 364 points. The greatest increase for a four-year player was 339 points and the average player increased by 158.7 points.

# of Players
Rat. Growth Ath Spd Reb Def Blk LP Per BH Pa WE St Du
Negative 26 23 99 12 10 254 250 188 64 182 204 0
0 to 6 1090 954 1124 594 1290 1173 1108 940 1021 273 489 629
7 to 13 526 413 364 499 400 182 162 404 390 577 596 424
14 to 20 423 435 295 490 334 159 163 304 336 683 560 494
21 to 27 241 327 271 404 248 161 205 283 289 518 355 449
28 to 40 158 292 275 415 179 252 285 263 271 233 252 410
41 to 50 2 22 37 50 5 141 138 77 83 0 10 53
51 to 60 0 0 1 2 0 90 87 7 11 0 0 6
61 to 70 0 0 0 0 0 38 45 0 1 0 0 1
71 to 80 0 0 0 0 0 15 21 0 0 0 0 0
81 to 90 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0
TOTALS 2466 2466 2466 2466 2466 2466 2466 2466 2466 2466 2466 2466
Minimum -6 -4 -20 -29 -23 -42 -17 -18 -6 -51 -13 0
Maximum 42 46 51 52 45 82 84 53 62 36 50 62
Average 10.5 13 11.3 16.5 10.1 13.2 14.2 12.1 13 14.6 13.5 16.7
6/11/2020 10:04 AM (edited)
Great find! I wish he wouldve split 28 to 40 into another category. I'm mostly interested in just greens and their average growth.
6/11/2020 10:17 AM
Thanks man! I saved this! Possum, I knew it was an animal!
6/11/2020 10:33 AM
thanks sol!! kinda looks like bh/pass are after lp/per, although i don't really feel like i could independently verify that. then def. interesting.
6/11/2020 10:37 AM
41 points in growth and still green Topic

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