Yes, as an “early” signing preference recruit, he will sign right away in the second session with a school one division below (if he was a D1 pool recruit, you’d have to wait until the final 24 hours of the 2nd session). He will jump to very high consideration with the team ahead in effort credit.
The answer to your second question is not necessarily. A team has to be somewhere in the vicinity of 60% of the effort credit - which is the accumulated value sum of all effort and recruiting actions a team performs for a given recruit - amassed by the leader to have a chance to sign the recruit. Basically, if you do 1000 points of “effort credit”, say 850 AP and a scholarship, and your rival does 600 points (450 AP+scholarship), the rival will be right on the edge of having a shot at the recruit. It will be something like a 20% chance. If you get to high consideration, you have a shot. If you get to very high, you have a better shot. If you’re the only team above moderate when the recruit wants to sign, he’s yours. You won’t know where you’re at with this recruit until the “red light” is lifted at the start of the 2nd session, *unless* you are the only team at moderate. If you are the only team at moderate, as a team recruiting a higher level recruit in the first session, you know you are actually the leader.
These are approximations, the exact relative value of every recruiting action has not been disclosed to players, nor has the exact location of Very High vs High vs Moderate thresholds.
7/12/2020 6:58 PM (edited)