Posted by craigaltonw on 4/20/2021 10:33:00 PM (view original):
I’m not sure I agree... because of Anderson’s Orchard as a huge offensive threat in the front court.
Fernandez I usually play at the 3. The reason I moved him to the 2 was for his defense skills to cover (and double) Anderson’s guards in a 2-3 zone.
Maybe I’m backwards... but if Guard defense is my weakness, why do I want to default to a 2-3 zone to expose them and allow the opponent’s backcourt to dominate?
Did I misunderstand you?
You may have misunderstood. I’ll back up a little.
My approach, if I’m not absolutely settled on what type of zone or personnel I’m going to use, would be to first look at Anderson’s scoring tendency. I see a C (Orchard) at 11 ppg, 2 guards at 10 ppg, then a few more PF/C below them at ~7, with some SF (who shoot some 3s) also around 6.5. Up top, it’s 2-1 in favor of guard scoring. Of the secondary scorers, it’s fairly balanced, maybe a little more toward forwards and frontcourt players, but not so much that it’s going to sway me. So basically, unless my team is really geared toward 2-3, I’m definitely going 3-2 here; if I’m really concerned about Orchard hurting me for some reason, I’d rather cheat down low at -3 or -4, and/or perhaps double him, than go 2-3 with personnel that doesn’t fit well.
The big problem with playing true guards at the 3 in a 2-3 is that you’re using a guard to defend a forward position. In zone, you’re defending zones, not individuals, and the system uses the same formula for SF and PF to determine the defender’s quality for that zone. So beyond the obvious rebounding you’re giving up playing a guard at the 3, you're also lacking block. Zone utilizes block more than the other sets, and while it’s most important at the 5 in a 2-3, it matters at the forward positions as well. Now at D3, it’s not super important to have it up high, which is why I said Fernandez might be “passable”, but that’s passable in the way that a D3 SF with 30 BH is passable, but with 1.... think twice, you know? You’re giving up an awful lot there. I’m not saying you can’t win like that, it just isn’t anything close to optimal.
I guess I don’t see guard defense as a weakness. Half your 10-man rotation is guard, and the average defense is over 60, which is fine (60%, and well over 65, if you include Fernandez, which you should). Ignoring promises and potential, I’m starting Bailey at point, Lucas at SG and playing Fernandez at the 3 in a 3-2 against everyone, except the kinds of teams I talked about up top. Then, and only then, I might think about slowing down and going 2-3. But then you have to get creative with your depth chart, because you only have 4 true front court players (if you’re not playing Yazzie), and with a 2-3 defense, you have 3 front court defenders on the court at all times.
So in short, your guard defense is fine, but even so, what I’m saying is default to 3-2, NOT 2-3. Thats my advice, because it is the superior defense against most human teams, and also because your team is better suited to it.
4/21/2021 11:10 AM (edited)