I haven’t played long, so probably not a great question. My B- prestige team was 51% odds to sign a kid that signed with a 12% C- program. Does this happen often?

Yeah that would happen about 12% of the time.

I lost a kid that i was 76% on and the 24% team signed him. Id say that happens roughly 24 % of the time as well. It sux.

Worth noting that in 2-team battles, odds never get this long. In this case you likely had a 3 team battle (technically it may have been more, but 3 is most likely) where one team (yours) was a bit ahead in effort credit, there was a trailer a short bit behind, and then there was a long shot, which had done *just enough* to get into range. If there had not been another team between you, this battle would have been something like 78-22 in your favor, FWIW. It does hurt a bit, but keep in mind, in all cases, the odds you see at the end have been stretched a bit to favor the effort credit leader. A team has to have accumulated something in the vicinity of about 60% of the effort credit of the leader to be in signing range. When the odds make it look like you were winning 51-12, you were really ahead in effort credit more like 62-38. I don’t know if that softens the blow or not, but the considering odds are a little deceiving without that context, IMO.

Posted by shoe3 on 8/2/2021 6:16:00 PM (view original):
Worth noting that in 2-team battles, odds never get this long. In this case you likely had a 3 team battle (technically it may have been more, but 3 is most likely) where one team (yours) was a bit ahead in effort credit, there was a trailer a short bit behind, and then there was a long shot, which had done *just enough* to get into range. If there had not been another team between you, this battle would have been something like 78-22 in your favor, FWIW. It does hurt a bit, but keep in mind, in all cases, the odds you see at the end have been stretched a bit to favor the effort credit leader. A team has to have accumulated something in the vicinity of about 60% of the effort credit of the leader to be in signing range. When the odds make it look like you were winning 51-12, you were really ahead in effort credit more like 62-38. I don’t know if that softens the blow or not, but the considering odds are a little deceiving without that context, IMO.

This is really good. Yes, a three team battle actually. This is really good info!